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Shares of Texas Instruments Inc (NYSE: TXN) in the News

Apr. 04, 2011 4:58 PM ETTXN, NSM
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Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2009

Frank started market timing in 1982 when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and sparked the 1980’s bull rally. Realizing that this rally could have been forecasted, he began to search for indicators which had similar forecasting ability. Within a year, his first newsletter was launched, “Growth Fund Strategies Report” which used a market timing strategy consisting of changes in interest rates, Fed changes, Market breadth and market price (using the S&P 500 Index). The strategy was hugely successful and issued a major sell signal on September 10th, 1987, just five weeks before the market crash on October 19th. In 1996 his first market timing website was launched. “Market Timer Report” used a refined strategy to market time the general U.S. stock market, and followed a variety of growth stock mutual funds. It was geared towards more conservative mutual fund investors and averaged only one to two switches a year. By the end of the 1990s, the strategy was refined to one that followed market trends instead of using interest rates and breadth on which to base market timing decisions. Because trend following never missed major trends trends, and those trends which failed resulted in minimal gains or losses, it became apparent that this was the better way to profit in what was quickly becoming a hugely overbought stock market. The bear market of 2000 through 2002 generated substantial “bearish position” profits by following trends and Frank began using Fibonacci support and resistance levels to look forward and help identify trends. In 2002 we changed the name of our timing service to FibTimer.com (live link) to better identify ourselves to prospective subscribers. We also began the process of adding new timing strategies, using our trend trading systems to develop both aggressive market timing strategies as well as conservative market timing strategies. In time we added sector fund timing, gold fund timing, bond fund timing and small cap fund timing. In 2003 we expanded to ETF timing strategies as well as starting a portfolio of individual stocks. All using our trend following systems to time the markets. Frank is currently the editor and chief market analyst of FibTimer.com, as well as president of Market Timing Strategies, Inc.

February 5, 2011

Shares of Texas Instruments Inc (NYSE: TXN) closed on Monday, April 4, at $34.11, down $0.12 cents. TXN had reached $34.96 a week ago, after bottoming back on March 16, but today there was market moving news.

In an announcement after the close, TXN offered to acquire National Semiconductor Corp. (NYSE: NSM) in an all-cash deal worth $6.5 billion, the companies said late Monday. The $25-a-share offer has been approved by the boards of both companies.

Trading was halted for both companies after the close, but there is one way to trade TXN. Look for either a breakout or breakdown.

If TXN can close above $34.96 in coming days, that would be a bullish signal to traders and with Monday’s announcement, the likelihood of a rally in coming weeks would be high.

On the other hand, if TXN breaks down below $33.63 (closing price) we would either short this stock or at least stay away from it.

Fibtimer.com does not currently have a position in Texas Instruments

Kollar is editor and chief analyst at FibTimer.com (http://www.fibtimer.com) which offers market timing strategies for S&P and Nasdaq index fund traders, as well as bond, gold, small cap, sector, ETF and stock trading strategies.

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