Shares of Dell Inc (NASDAQ: DELL) Decline to Support

Aug. 24, 2010 4:26 PM ETDELL-OLD
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Frank started market timing in 1982 when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and sparked the 1980’s bull rally. Realizing that this rally could have been forecasted, he began to search for indicators which had similar forecasting ability. Within a year, his first newsletter was launched, “Growth Fund Strategies Report” which used a market timing strategy consisting of changes in interest rates, Fed changes, Market breadth and market price (using the S&P 500 Index). The strategy was hugely successful and issued a major sell signal on September 10th, 1987, just five weeks before the market crash on October 19th. In 1996 his first market timing website was launched. “Market Timer Report” used a refined strategy to market time the general U.S. stock market, and followed a variety of growth stock mutual funds. It was geared towards more conservative mutual fund investors and averaged only one to two switches a year. By the end of the 1990s, the strategy was refined to one that followed market trends instead of using interest rates and breadth on which to base market timing decisions. Because trend following never missed major trends trends, and those trends which failed resulted in minimal gains or losses, it became apparent that this was the better way to profit in what was quickly becoming a hugely overbought stock market. The bear market of 2000 through 2002 generated substantial “bearish position” profits by following trends and Frank began using Fibonacci support and resistance levels to look forward and help identify trends. In 2002 we changed the name of our timing service to FibTimer.com (live link) to better identify ourselves to prospective subscribers. We also began the process of adding new timing strategies, using our trend trading systems to develop both aggressive market timing strategies as well as conservative market timing strategies. In time we added sector fund timing, gold fund timing, bond fund timing and small cap fund timing. In 2003 we expanded to ETF timing strategies as well as starting a portfolio of individual stocks. All using our trend following systems to time the markets. Frank is currently the editor and chief market analyst of FibTimer.com, as well as president of Market Timing Strategies, Inc.

August 25, 2010

Shares of Dell Inc (NASDAQ: DELL) have been in a steep decline since reaching 2010 highs back in April. From a high at $17.52 a share, shares have reached $11.59 as of the close on Tuesday, August 24, a 34% loss.

The $11.33 level is the 61.8% retracement support level for the entire February 2009 to April 2010 advance. If it is broken to the downside, share prices have no further support until they reach $7.99, the February 23, 2009 closing lows.

This would be an additional 31% loss in share value.

We would not take a position in shares of Dell Inc unless the downtrend is reversed. That would take a reversal and close above $14.00 a share, an unlikely event for the near term.

The Fibtimer.com (http://www.fibtimer.com) Stock Timing Strategy does not currently hold a position in Dell Inc.



Disclosure: The Fibtimer.com (www.fibtimer.com) Stock Timing Strategy does not currently hold a position in Dell Inc.

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