Fear And Loathing In The VIX And Put/Call Camp

Nov. 03, 2016 7:41 AM ETSPY
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Long/Short Equity, Value, Growth At A Reasonable Price, Contrarian

Contributor Since 2010

Mr. Palmerton is the founder of Baseline Analytics TrendFlex, a market trend-following system incorporating high-probability trend change signals. Robert is a Registered Investment Advisor. He is co-founder and advisor to The Absolute Return, LLC, which manages a family of absolute return portfolios, where he applies the TrendFlex signals to its tactical portfolio management.

Robert has over 25 years experience in Corporate Finance, holding positions as CFO, Director of Finance, Financial Management and Analysis roles for Fortune 500 and multi-national firms (ADP, Honeywell, BOC Group) as well as early-stage growth companies. Mr. Palmerton has raised equity and debt financing as a co-founder in three technology and services-based ventures. Robert is a member of the Market Technician’s Association (MTA), where he was awarded the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation. His market analysis focuses on sector timing research, market sentiment and volatility studies, trend-following and breakout trading opportunities. Robert has been using a blend of technical and fundamental analysis for the past 15 years. Mr. Palmerton received an MBA in Finance from the University of Michigan, and a BA in Economics and Statistics, summa cum laude, from Fordham University. Mr. Palmerton holds a Series 65 license, and is a member of the Detroit Metastock User’s Group and The Detroit Chapter of the MTA.  

Watching two "fear" indicators, VIX and the Put/Call Ratio have reached extremes that in the past have preceded short-term rallies. Note the peaks and troughs of the VIX and Put/Call readings and their correlation with shifts in the S&P 500. Note VIX especially as it gaps higher or lower than its moving average.

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