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Binary Options in the Real World-Trading the German Ifo Business Climate Release

One of the ways that traders can use binary options is as a hedging vehicle. Rather than use only a stop-loss to protect against further loss, we can use binary options. The reason that binary options can be more attractive than stop-losses is that stop-losses lose money when they are hit. On the other hand, using a binary option hedge/stop loss combination, which is simply a stop-loss combined with a binary option position placed to win in the opposite direction of our Forex trade, we benefit from better protection than with a stop-loss alone because if our Forex trade fails at the stop loss, then our binary option position wins. This fully hedges our Forex position below the breakout point and ultimately leads to zero losses if our Forex trade fails all the way to our stop loss.

The German Ifo Business Climate Release is a leading indicator of economic health – businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment. The release on February 23 was anticipated to affect the EURUSD pair as well as correlated pairs such as the GBPUSD. Of the two, I preferred the GBPUSD because at the time it had a stronger resistance line to break. The actual release of 95.2 was below forecast of 96.2 which triggered a sell-off of the EURUSD and GBPUSD and broke through my breakout point as seen below:


 

As soon as the breakout point, seen as the blue dashed line, was broken, i placed 3 trades in this order:
A) Short the GBPUSD 10 mini lots (Value $100,000).
B) Stop loss at the red dotted line (max loss capped at ~$140 dollars).
C) Bought 2 GBPUSD Call Binary Options at www.startoptions.com.

The binary option positions that I bought would have made a gain of $140 at my stop loss, should my GBPUSD breakout fail. This would offset my losses at the stop loss point. On the other hand, the success of the GBPUSD breakout would result also in a failure of my Binary Option hedge, so the breakout would have to continue past the green line, in order for the entire combination to be profitable.

So why go to all this trouble? My experience, and probably yours as well, has shown that strong event-related breakouts either win big or lose big. In other words, the loss-area between the blue and green lines in the image above, is the least likely to occur. If you agree, you should try this strategy for yourself.

Bio:

J.Mavor is an active options trader for more than 10 years and the Chief Dealer at StartOptions.com.

 



Disclosure: No Positions