The market opened on its highs and trended lower most of the day. There was a late day rally following a failure to make a second leg lower. Sound familiar? It was option expiration day and it wasn’t a day setup for a lsrge decline.
In the latest round of bad news that just keeps dragging this market lower…India has raised interest rates in an effort to slow their economy and fight inflation. Ahh, what’s next!
Sometimes it is funny to think about what the headlines would say if this market were down 30 percent this year. You have stifling federal deficits, Greece is bankrupt and several other countries are close, India and China are slowing their economy, very high and stagnant unemployment rates, serious threats of the U.S. losing their AAA rating and the list goes on. You would think these headlines reflect a much lower market and not one that has rallied 60 to 90 percent in the last year. This is why I favor technical analysis over fundamental analysis.
Monday should make for an interesting trading day. We have the healthcare circus over the weekend and more news out of Europe could surface. Recent history tells us Monday will be another trend higher day. The charts are breaking down a bit and Monday could be a sharp downward day in a normal world. However, we are not in a normal world. I have to err on the side of buying dips. A sharply lower close on Monday might have me thinking the tide has changed.
Disclosure: no individual stocks