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The Euro Came Crashing


What’s up forex peeps?! Welcome to another day of forex trading! We have the EURUSD in today’s fx pick. As you can see from its 4-hour chart, the EURUSD or the fiber came crashing in yesterday’s trading. After reaching a new 3-month high just above 1.3300. , the euro slid, breaking the pair’s uptrend line in the process. In less than a week, the fell by more than 400 pips against the greenback! Ouch! At present, the pair is trading just below 1.2900 and since the next obvious support is still somewhere within 1.2800 and 1.2700, it still have some room to move lower. If the support here gets taken out, beware as the pair could fall all the way to 1.2500! But given its recent drop and its oversold condition, it can also range or even retrace as sellers pocket some of their profits.

Fundamentally, the slide in the the euro was caused by several factors. The weaker-than-expected retail sales (17.9% versus 18.5%) in China damped the confidence of the market. You see, a 17.9% is not really weak but apparently the market is expecting a lot from China. Why? Well, China is now the number 2 biggest economy in the world and a robust figure in its retail sales could mean business for all its trading partners. The number 3 economy, Japan, also failed to impress with only a 1.9% jump in its machinery orders, lower than the 5.6% forecast.

The Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve worsened the situation further by saying that risks are still present in their respective economy.

As a result, risk aversion in the broader market made a comeback, leading investors to flee to the safety of the greenback. Stocks, as well as currencies like the euro, as a consequence, were sold off.

The highlight of today will be the release of the US’s unemployment claims for the week ending July 31. Initial jobless claims are seen to be at 465,000, lesser than the 479,000 tallied the week before. Now, lesser jobless claims could ease the markets while a worse count would more likely extend the losses. Watch out for its announcement today at 12:30 pm GMT.

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