Gold Reconfirms Bullish Intermediate-term Translation

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The breakout predicts another 4 to 8 weeks of gains heading into the next Intermediate-Term Cycle High (ITCH). A strong monthly close in April would reconfirm the bullish translation of the annual cycle from January and forecast additional gains during the second half of 2011.
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The US dollar index will likely form an ITCL sometime during the next 3 weeks, and it will be important to monitor the gold market response to the forthcoming short-term rebound in the dollar. If gold is able to hold near recent all-time highs as the dollar reacts, that positive divergence would be a bullish sign supporting a continuation of the long-term uptrend.
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