Hard Work & Defense
Interestingly, across a variety of sports, factors and statistics related to hard work and consistency are more closely related to winning championships than glitzy statistics such as quarterback rating and homeruns. In particular, our work shows that defense does indeed win championships.
Alabama gets the nod in this category, with its top-ranked defense in terms of both points against and yards per game. It is notable that LSU is #2 -- but a distant #2, yielding 252 yards per game vs. Alabama's 191 yards/game....
Big Game Experience & Coaching
Statistics show that experience and coaching can yield a measurable difference in the outcome of championships. Alabama has appeared in a National Title game over the past three years (LSU's most recent appearance was for the 2007 regular season). Both coaches have done well in games with national title implications, with Alabama's Nick Saban going 2-0 in these games, and LSU's Les Miles going 1-0. We'll give the edge to Alabama in this category.
Sports Psychology Factors and the BCS Championship
So who will win this year's college football championship?
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Jay Granat is a psychotherapist and founder of StayIntheZone.com. Carlton Chin is an MIT-trained quantitative and alternative assets portfolio manager for CARAT/Adamah Capital.
Some articles by Carlton Chin on alternative investment strategies: