Construction Stocks Rated by ValuEngine

Jan. 20, 2012 3:04 PM ETORN, LPX, TXI, MHO, USG, MDC, J, RYN, CBI, URS, WY, CNR, URI, AYI, EXP

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Long/Short Equity, Long Only

Contributor Since 2010

Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Melbourne, Florida-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 8000 US, Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes ValuEngine's complex quantitative models to create products and services for both individual investors, and institutional clients. Steve's research is distributed throughout such organizations as Wells Fargo, Fidelity Investments, Scotia Capital, Bank of New York, etc. His research reports are published on Yahoo Finance, Thomson/Reuters, Capital IQ, Bloomberg, and others. Hach developed the ValuEngine Forecast 16 MNS Portfolio Newsletter so that individual investors could access one of ValuEngine's most successful and well-researched hedge fund-type strategies. The newsletter relies on ValuEngine's Forecast Model-- which utilizes fundamental data along with complex mathematical modeling to pick stocks that outperform the markets. With both a long and a short side, the VE Forecast 16 MNS Portfolio provides a combination of high returns and low volatility in both good markets and bad. This newsletter is perfect for those seeking to take advantage of today's advanced stock forecasting and portfolio-construction techniques. Hach has a varied research background that includes military experience as an intelligence specialist, a Master’s degree in US History, and Doctoral work in US Diplomatic History and International Relations.

MARKET OVERVIEW

Index	started week	Thursday Close	3 day change	3 day change %	ytd
DJIA	12423.12	12624	200.88	1.62%	3.33%
NASDAQ	2736.34	2788.33	51.99	1.90%	7.03%
RUSSELL 2000	769.05	782.37	13.32	1.73%	5.59%
S&P 500	1290.22	1314.5	24.28	1.88%	4.52%

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued	68.36%
Stocks Overvalued	31.64%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%	31.86%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%	8.69%

SECTOR OVERVIEW

Sector	Change	MTD	YTD	Valuation	Last 12-MReturn	P/E Ratio
Aerospace	1.28%	2.38%	2.38%	9.53% undervalued	-12.76%	16.47
Auto-Tires-Trucks	0.23%	8.42%	8.42%	12.93% undervalued	28.53%	14.8
Basic Materials	0.23%	5.51%	5.51%	11.32% undervalued	-21.80%	22.9
Business Services	0.37%	3.97%	3.97%	10.41% undervalued	4.36%	29.98
Computer and Technology	0.86%	6.67%	6.67%	10.47% undervalued	-4.75%	44.57
Construction	1.47%	10.51%	10.51%	9.32% undervalued	-15.04%	40.26
Consumer Discretionary	0.68%	3.54%	3.54%	11.84% undervalued	-4.19%	28.39
Consumer Staples	0.20%	3.76%	3.76%	8.66% undervalued	-1.25%	18.24
Finance	0.64%	3.55%	3.55%	9.18% undervalued	-5.32%	20.48
Industrial Products	0.76%	7.00%	7.00%	8.29% undervalued	-5.67%	24.51
Medical	0.80%	4.08%	4.08%	15.88% undervalued	13.69%	35.22
Multi-Sector Conglomerates	0.58%	5.28%	5.28%	7.26% undervalued	4.27%	14.82
Oils-Energy	-0.28%	3.15%	3.15%	12.38% undervalued	-15.15%	38.43
Retail-Wholesale	0.89%	3.64%	3.64%	2.16% undervalued	5.27%	23.61
Transportation	0.99%	5.40%	5.40%	6.74% undervalued	-15.16%	20.73
Utilities	-0.38%	-0.88%	-0.88%	5.06% undervalued	-0.43%	28.47

Sector Talk—Construction

Below, we present the latest data on leading Construction Sector Stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Construction Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker	Name	Mkt Price	Valuation(%)	Last 12-M Retn(%)
ORN	ORION MARINE GP	6.48	175.15	-45.86
LPX	LOUISIANA PAC	9.48	-14.19	-2.17
TXI	TEXAS INDS	32.39	-10.12	-17.12
MHO	M/I HOMES INC	11.45	-37.35	-24.37
USG	USG CORP	14.24	-9.74	-11.5

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker	Name	Mkt Price	Valuation(%)	Last 12-M Retn(%)
USG	USG CORP	14.24	-9.74	-11.5
LPX	LOUISIANA PAC	9.48	-14.19	-2.17
TXI	TEXAS INDS	32.39	-10.12	-17.12
MHO	M/I HOMES INC	11.45	-37.35	-24.37
MDC	MDC HLDGS	21.27	-42.95	-28.02

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker	Name	Mkt Price	Valuation(%)	Last 12-M Retn(%)
JEC	JACOBS ENGIN GR	45.16	-25.11	-9.84
RYN	RAYONIER INC	47.5	-2.87	30.85
CBI	CHICAGO BRIDGE	43.67	-6.27	26.87
URS	URS CORP	40.38	-14.29	-3.81
WY	WEYERHAEUSER CO	21.01	-18.4	1.64

Top-Five Construction Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker	Name	Mkt Price	Valuation(%)	Last 12-M Retn(%)
ORN	ORION MARINE GP	6.48	175.15	-45.86
NCS	NCI BLDG SYSTEM	11.47	99.56	-6.44
URI	UTD RENTALS INC	34.69	41.93	36.31
AYI	ACUITY BRANDS	57.75	27.06	5.23
EXP	EAGLE MATERIALS	30.18	26.89	8.8

Construction Stocks Rated by ValuEngine

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