Rating Gold And Consumer Staples With ValuEngine.com

May 04, 2012 3:18 PM ETEL, ABEV, NWS, MATV, BGS, PPC, SAM, SPGI, SFD, RAI, AM-OLD, STEI, BEAM-OLD, MNST, HAIN, MSFT, GOLD, NSU-OLD, AUQ, HMY, GFI, IAG, KGC, EGO, AU, NEM, AEM
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Long/Short Equity, Long Only

Contributor Since 2010

Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Melbourne, Florida-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 8000 US, Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes ValuEngine's complex quantitative models to create products and services for both individual investors, and institutional clients. Steve's research is distributed throughout such organizations as Wells Fargo, Fidelity Investments, Scotia Capital, Bank of New York, etc. His research reports are published on Yahoo Finance, Thomson/Reuters, Capital IQ, Bloomberg, and others. Hach developed the ValuEngine Forecast 16 MNS Portfolio Newsletter so that individual investors could access one of ValuEngine's most successful and well-researched hedge fund-type strategies. The newsletter relies on ValuEngine's Forecast Model-- which utilizes fundamental data along with complex mathematical modeling to pick stocks that outperform the markets. With both a long and a short side, the VE Forecast 16 MNS Portfolio provides a combination of high returns and low volatility in both good markets and bad. This newsletter is perfect for those seeking to take advantage of today's advanced stock forecasting and portfolio-construction techniques. Hach has a varied research background that includes military experience as an intelligence specialist, a Master’s degree in US History, and Doctoral work in US Diplomatic History and International Relations.

MARKET OVERVIEW

Index

started week

Thursday Close

4 day change

4 day change %

ytd

DJIA

13228.39

13206.6

-21.79

-0.16%

8.09%

NASDAQ

3060.06

3024.3

-35.76

-1.17%

16.09%

RUSSELL 2000

825.47

806.59

-18.88

-2.29%

8.86%

S&P 500

1403.26

1391.57

-11.69

-0.83%

10.65%

 

 

Summary of VE Stock Universe

 

 

Stocks Undervalued

61.15%

Stocks Overvalued

38.85%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

26.74%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

15.54%

SECTOR OVERVIEW

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-M Return

P/E Ratio

Aerospace

-1.96%

-1.69%

4.05%

11.45% undervalued

-9.46%

15.53

Auto-Tires-Trucks

-2.20%

-1.41%

8.42%

10.07% undervalued

-11.39%

16.74

Basic Materials

-1.86%

-2.73%

2.23%

8.57% undervalued

-29.03%

21.02

Business Services

-0.96%

-1.27%

7.76%

4.31% undervalued

-2.24%

27.07

Computer and Technology

-1.65%

-1.27%

12.96%

10.77% overvalued

-12.03%

40.17

Construction

-1.29%

-0.83%

18.33%

3.04% undervalued

-12.86%

38.16

Consumer Discretionary

-1.29%

-0.78%

15.97%

2.08% overvalued

-4.22%

27.77

Consumer Staples

-0.76%

-0.94%

6.26%

7.55% overvalued

-9.13%

24.71

Finance

-0.70%

-0.66%

13.93%

10.53% overvalued

-2.35%

23.86

Industrial Products

-1.42%

-1.51%

7.91%

7.47% overvalued

-12.75%

24.03

Medical

-1.03%

-0.82%

11.45%

13.40% overvalued

-13.58%

44.84

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

-0.41%

-0.38%

10.95%

4.14% overvalued

-8.25%

16.92

Oils-Energy

-1.70%

-2.54%

-1.72%

6.24% undervalued

-24.55%

28.35

Retail-Wholesale

-1.32%

-0.71%

11.82%

13.40% overvalued

7.37%

23.22

Transportation

-1.11%

-0.74%

10.23%

5.91% overvalued

-17.21%

16.91

Utilities

-0.75%

-1.80%

0.42%

3.07% overvalued

-7.29%

26.61

Sector Talk-Consumer Staples

Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Staples Sector Stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

EL

ESTEE LAUDER

64.15

3.1

34.66

ABV

AMBEV-PR ADR

42.17

22.22

36.78

NWS

NEWS CORP INC

19.99

-9.36

8.23

SWM

SCHWEITZER-MAUD

69.83

-16.18

41.1

BGS

B&G FOODS CL-A

21.75

-10.44

27.57

Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

EL

ESTEE LAUDER

64.15

3.1

34.66

ABV

AMBEV-PR ADR

42.17

22.22

36.78

PPC

PILGRIMS PRIDE

6.87

14.08

23.34

BGS

B&G FOODS CL-A

21.75

-10.44

27.57

SAM

BOSTON BEER INC

110.65

2

19.96

Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

SWM

SCHWEITZER-MAUD

69.83

-16.18

41.1

MHP

MCGRAW-HILL COS

49.25

-24.52

24.84

SFD

SMITHFIELD FOOD

20.27

-26.84

-11.64

NWS

NEWS CORP INC

19.99

-9.36

8.23

RAI

REYNOLDS AMER

40.54

-3.65

14.71

Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

AM

AMER GREETINGS

15.53

300

-32.27

STEI

STEWART ENTRP A

6.27

300

-20.43

BEAM

BEAM INC

59.92

58.22

-5.8

MNST

MONSTER BEVERAG

67.07

42.44

111.38

HAIN

HAIN CELESTIAL

47.31

40.03

42.2

Mining and Gold

Here are the VE datapoints for buy-rated gold mining stocks:

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

Forecast 1-Month Retn(%)

Forecast 1-Yr Retn(%)

P/E Ratio

ABX

BARRICK GOLD CP

37.98

-25.37

-21.01

1.9

12.08

7.87

NSU

NEVSUN RESOURCS

3.5

-20.6

-37.16

1.24

12.03

4.73

VGZ

VISTA GOLD CORP

2.86

-53.57

-7.14

1.8

10.1

7.53

JAG

JAGUAR MINING

2.28

-70.67

-56.41

2.64

6.12

11.69

AUQ

AURICO GOLD INC

8.7

-13.84

-12.39

0.94

5.78

11.25

HMY

HARMONY GOLD

9.25

-27.96

-35.81

1.16

6.14

11.86

GFI

GOLD FIELDS-ADR

12.41

-27.45

-24

1.57

10.35

7.05

IAG

IAMGOLD CORP

11.75

-38.79

-39.4

1.15

8.24

10.9

KGC

KINROSS GOLD

8.54

-55.78

-42.18

1.93

9.56

10.29

EGO

ELDORADO GOLD

13.11

-36.46

-21.12

1.19

8.04

19.4

AU

ANGLOGOLD LTD

32.77

-33.69

-31.17

1.75

10.85

7.76

GG

GOLDCORP INC

36.39

-31.26

-28.2

1.67

9.38

16.2

NEM

NEWMONT MINING

45.59

-28.12

-17.26

1.73

10.32

10.02

AEM

AGNICO EAGLE

38.4

-40.47

-39.56

0.74

5.88

22.54

GOLD

RANDGOLD RSRCS

81.89

-23.21

0.15

1.28

8.12

15.79

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

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