TANER Daily Momentum (DTM) (Feb. 12, 2020 Wednesday)

Feb. 11, 2020 7:18 PM ET
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Long Only, Momentum

Contributor Since 2010

O. Young Kwon, a NYU Ph.D. in Economics (1980), had worked in the security industry for ten years as a Registered Investment Adviser (RIA). He taught Macroeconomics (CUNY, Staten Island) and Statistics (Rutgers, Newark) during 1979 to1981.


In the first half of 1980s, he, as a full-time Research Associate, researched at the Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR) (with Geoffery H. Moore) on business cycles, growth cycles, international indicators, composite indexes, and forecast of business conditions and inflation.


Prior to his academic career, he was an Economist/Bank Supervisor at the Bank of Korea (the Fed's counterpart) for ten years (1963 - 73). In 1971, he visited the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, sent by the Bank of Korea: He studied the long-run central banking in the computerized environment.

He had been a conservative investor, targeting a reasonable investment goal (inflation plus 5%), by setting well-diversified portfolios with Vanguard and Charles Schwab Exchange-Traded (Mutual) Funds (ETF) in the long run (5 to 7 years) until 2020, as shown in my various articles (20).


In recent years, significantly increased market volatility induced mainly by the more frequent online trading pattern, however, forces investors towards somewhat aggressive trading to gain more or lose less. It is a very serious challenge to conservative investors like him. He has traded in very short terms, based primarily upon his (manual) real - time framework. It successfully provides him with the turning points in a given session.


Now, he has invested in very-short terms (anywhere between a few seconds and a couple of sessions) in two trading accounts in Charles Schwab and TD Ameritrade (whit 40% of his nest egg).


 He also has had two internet savings in Marcus: Goldman Sachs with (the remaining 60%), earning 1.5% of the annual percentage yield (APY) which is daily compounded and FDIC protected. (if you're an investor older than 70, my portfolio might be right for you in the current market condition).


He studied at NYU under Oskar Morgenstern (Economic History, Game Theory), Wassily Leontief (Input-Output Theory), Fritz Machlup (International Finance and Trade), William J. Baumol (Economic Theory and Operations Analysis), M. Isaq Nadiri (Macroeconomic Theory), and Edward Wolff (Econometric Modelling).


He worked on various research projects: The input-Output Framework of the U.S. Economy (Leontief), U.S. Productivity Measurements (Nadiri), Knowledge Distribution (Machlup), Firms, Games, Decisions (Baumol), and U.S. Household Spending and Saving Behavior (Wolff).


His Doctoral Thesis under Machlup (1980): Theory of Foreign Exchange and Economic Policy.


(UCONN MA in Economics 1975, Seoul Nat'l U BA in Economics 1963, Kyung-gi H 1958. Pohang M 1955, and Pohang E 1952 for His Dear Alumni & Friends)


 

Summary

  • The TANER Sector Rotation Model (TRM) (Feb. 12, 2020 Wednesday).
  • The Schwab Model (SWM) (Feb. 11, 2020 Tuesday).
  • The ETF Model (ETM) (Feb. 10, 2020 Monday).
  • The TANER StockModel (TSM) (Feb. 7, 2020, Friday).
  • The VanguardModel (TVM) (Feb. 6, 2020, Thursday).

TANER Daily Momentum (DTM

"Traders should take an advantage from the market volatility only if we can get a right guide. My approach of the guide is a top-to-bottom, starting macroeconomic views, and updating daily TANER System: The Daily Market Information (7 days a week), The Daily TANER Momentum ETF Model (M), The DTM Schwab Model (T), The DTM Rotation Model (W), The DTM Vanguard Model (TH), and The DTM Stock Model (F)" (From The Outstanding Records of Investing and Trading…in 2016: Would The Strategy Prevail in 2017 Too?The Outstanding Records Of Investing And Trading With ETFs In 2016: Would The Strategy Prevail In 2017 Too? - O. Young Kwon

The TANER ETF Model (TEM), The TANER Stock Model (TSM), The TANER Rotation Model (TRM), and The TANER Vanguard Model (TVM]) The TANER Charles Schwab Model (TWM), were introduced in my article. Link:seekingalpha.com/article/817551-the-red-...

TANER Momentum ™ List on Feb. 12, 2020 Wednesday, based upon Closing Prices on Feb. 11, 2020 Tuesday. The ROTATION Model

The ETF Model (ETM) (Feb. 10, 2020 Monday)

The ETF Model (ETM) (Feb. 10, 2020 Monday)

ETF T1 (TIP BND) A1 (VPU PFM) E1 (PGF PZA) R1 (VHT VWO)

ETF T2 (PFM PGF) A2 (QQQ VPU) E2 (BND TIP) R2 (MDY VWO)

ETF T3 (VPU PGF) A3 (QQQ VHT) E3 (TIP BND) R3 (MDY VWO)

SUMMARY OF THE ETM

ETF1-2-3 (VPU PGFTIP BND VWO) ETF1-2 (PFM) ETF1*3 (VHT) ETF2*3 (QQQ MDY) ETF1 (PZA)

The Schwab Model (SWM) (Feb. 11, 2020 Tuesday)

SCHWAD:T1 (SCHP SCHZ) A1 (SCHB SCHX) E1 (SCHA SCHF) R1 ( SCHD FNDX)

SCHWAD:T2 (SCHP SCHZ) A2 (SCHB SCHX) E2 (CVY SCHF) R2 (SCHC RYE)

SCHWAD:T3 (SPLV SCHP) A3 (SCHB SCHX) E3 (CVY SCHF) R3 (SCHA SCHE)

SUMMARY OF THE TEM

SCHWAB 1-2-3 (SCHP SCHB SCHX SCHF) SCHWAB 1-2 SCHZ) (SCHWAB 1-3 (SCHA) SCHWAB 2-3 (CVY) SCHWAB 1 (FNDX SCHD FNDX) SCHWAB 2 RYE) (SCHWAB 3 (SPLV SCHE)

The TANER Sector Rotation Model (TRM) (Feb. 12, 2020 Wednesday)

ROTATION:T1 (IYH KCE) A1 (EDV SLV) E1 (ITM KIE) R1 (KBE MBB)

ROTATION T2 (IYH KIE) A2 (PSK REM ) E1 (XHB LQD) R2 (SLV XOP).

ROTATION T3 (XHB ITM) A3 (REM XNTK) E3 (SHY KIE) R2 (SLV XME).

SUMMARY OF THE TRM

R.TM.1-2-3 (KIE SLV) R.TM.1-2 (IYM) R.TM.1-3 (ITM) R.R.TM.2-3 (RXHB EM) R.TM.1 (KCE EDV KBE MBB) R.TM.2 (PSK LQD XOP) R.TM.3 (XNTK SHY XME)

The Vanguard Model (TVM) (Feb. 6, 2020, Thursday)

VANGUARD T1 (VXF VTI) A1 (VUG) E1 (VTWO VXUS) R1 (VOO BND)

VANGUARD T2 (VTI VXF) A2 (VTWO VIG) E2 (VTV VB) R2 (BNDX VDE).

VANGUARD T3 (VTI VFH) A3 (VCIT VIG) E3 (BSV VWO) R3 (VOO BNDX)

SUMMARY OF THE TVM

VANGUARD 1-2-3 (VTI VTWO BNDX) VANGUARD 1-2 (VXF) VANGUARD 1-3 (VOO) VANGUARD 2-3 (VIG) VANGUARD 1 (VUG BND VXUS) VANGUARD 2 (VTV VB VDE) VANGUARD 3 (VFH VCIT BSV)

The TANER Stock Model (TSM) (Feb. 7, 2020, Friday)

STOCK T1 (JNJ CAT) A2 (HD KSU ) E1 (FDX JWN) R1 (YUM CI)

STOCK T2 (CAT WMT) A2 (JMJ FDX) E2 (KSU NKE) R2 (JWN CI)

STOCK T3 (WMT CAT) A3 (AMZN CME) E3 (JWN SU) R3 (CVS CI).

(AET was cash-merged by CVS so the former is replaced by the latter.)

(ESRX was cash-merged by Ci so the former is replaced by the latter.)

SUMMARY OF THE TSM

S.TM 1-2-3 (CAT JWN CI) S.TM 1-2 (JNJ FDX KSU) S.TM 2-3 (WMT) S.TM 1 (HD YUM)) S.TM 2 (NKE) S.TM 3 (AMZN CME SU CVS)

Note:

T (Topping): Leading Leaders.(LDLD)

A (Advancing): Lagging Leaders (LGLD)

E (Emerging): Leading Laggards (LDLG)

R (Reversing): Lagging Laggards.(LGLG)

The numbers in parentheses (1-2-3) are one-month, two-month, and three-month terms.

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