National Covid-19 Statistics And State-By-State Death Rates Through June 30,2020
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Since March 18th, I have been updating daily a spreadsheet of cumulative confirmed Covid-19 cases and deaths attributed to Covid-19 for the United States. All of my data is lifted from the website of the Centers for Disease Control (cdc.gov). I track the data so that I can refer to it and relate it to reporting from various sources that may or may not provide the factual context that I am looking for. I offer summaries of it to SA readers who may have the same interest.
This post has two main parts: Part One covers cumulative confirmed cases and deaths for the United States through June 30. Part Two introduces a state-by-state breakdown of deaths attributed to Covid-19 through June 30.
Part One:
Here are the numbers for the months ended June 30th (followed by those at May 31):
U.S. Cumulative cases to date: 2,581,229; (1,761,503)
5-Day average of daily new infections: 41,389; (19,818)
7-Day average of daily new infections: 39,849; (19,913)
10-day average of daily new infections: 36,561; (21,041)
1-month average of new infections: 27,324; (24,399)
During the entire month of June, average daily new infections rose 12% over May. However, average daily new infections for the last 10 days of June rose 73% over the comparable May period. Even worse, the 5-day average at the end of June was 108% greater than at the end of May. Not a good trend.
As of June 30, 2020, 0.794%, (or 794 of 100,000) of U.S. residents had been confirmed as having contracted the disease.
U.S. Cumulative deaths to date: 126,739; (103,700)
5-Day average of daily deaths: 986; ( 1,088)
7-day average of daily deaths: 915; ( 950)
10-day average of daily deaths: 712; ( 1,025)
1-month average of daily deaths: 768; ( 1,256)
During the entire month of June, average daily deaths declined by 39%. The average daily deaths for the 10-days of June declined 25% over the same period in May and the 5-day average declined only 9%.
At June 30, the ratio of the death count to the case count stood at 4.98%, compared to 5.89% at May 31.
Part Two:
The following table lists the individual States plus Washington, D.C. in descending order of their deaths per 100,000 residents. This table arranges data from the CDC website, not from the individual websites of the 51 jurisdictions. There could be timing differences that would adjust the results. Rounded population estimates are from here.
(Population estimated)
State |
Population |
Deaths. |
Per 100,000 |
New Jersey |
8,900,000 |
14,992 |
168 |
New York |
19,500,000 |
31,769 |
163 |
Massachusetts |
6,900,000 |
8,095 |
117 |
Rhode Island |
1,000,000 |
946 |
95 |
Washington, DC |
600,000 |
551 |
92 |
Louisiana |
4,600,000 |
3,199 |
70 |
Michigan |
9,900,000 |
6,161 |
62 |
Delaware |
900,000 |
507 |
56 |
Illinois |
12,700,000 |
7,103 |
56 |
Maryland |
6,000,000 |
3,190 |
53 |
Pennsylvania |
12,800,000 |
6,649 |
52 |
Indiana |
6,700,000 |
2,624 |
39 |
Mississippi |
2,900,000 |
1,037 |
36 |
Colorado |
5,800,000 |
1,682 |
29 |
New Hampshire |
1,300,000 |
367 |
28 |
Georgia |
10,600,000 |
2,784 |
26 |
Minnesota |
5,600,000 |
1,470 |
26 |
New Mexico |
2,000,000 |
493 |
25 |
Iowa |
3,100,000 |
708 |
23 |
Arizona |
7,300,000 |
1,588 |
22 |
Virginia |
8,500,000 |
1,763 |
21 |
Alabama |
4,900,000 |
931 |
19 |
Nevada |
3,000,000 |
536 |
18 |
Washington |
7,600,000 |
1,320 |
17 |
Missouri |
6,100,000 |
998 |
16 |
Florida |
21,400,000 |
3,447 |
16 |
Ohio |
18,700,000 |
2,818 |
15 |
California |
39,500,000 |
5,936 |
15 |
Nebraksa |
1,900,000 |
269 |
14 |
S. Carolina |
5,100,000 |
720 |
14 |
Wisconsin |
5,700,000 |
784 |
14 |
N. Carolina |
10,500,000 |
1,325 |
13 |
Oklahoma |
3,200,000 |
401 |
13 |
Kentucky |
4,600,000 |
560 |
12 |
S. Dakota |
900,000 |
91 |
10 |
N.Dakota |
800,000 |
79 |
10 |
Vermont |
600,000 |
56 |
9 |
Kansas |
2,900,000 |
270 |
9 |
Arkansas |
3,000,000 |
265 |
9 |
Texas |
29,000,000 |
2,403 |
8 |
Tennessee |
6,800,000 |
560 |
8 |
Maine |
1,300,000 |
105 |
8 |
W. Virginia |
1,800,000 |
93 |
5 |
Idaho |
1,800,000 |
91 |
5 |
Oregon |
4,200,000 |
204 |
5 |
Utah |
3,900,000 |
171 |
4 |
Wyoming |
600,000 |
20 |
3 |
Montana |
1,000,000 |
22 |
2 |
Alaska |
700,000 |
14 |
2 |
Hawaii |
1,400,000 |
18 |
1 |
Total |
330,500,000 |
122,185 |
37 |
States like Arizona, Florida, Texas and California have been in the news of late for recent spikes in case numbers in their jurisdictions. As of June 30, each of those States' still had death rates below the national average of 37 per 100,000 and far below the triple-digit death rates of States like New Jersey, New York and Massachusetts. That fact may have encouraged some of them to loosen restrictions and the loosening of the restrictions may have been interpreted as a "license" for residents to ignore the recommended mitigating behaviors. The resulting jump in cases is causing some authorities to amend their restrictions and re-emphasize the importance of masking and social distancing. And, some States who have already contributed more than their fair share of cases to the national total, but have improved their performance recently, are now implementing travel restrictions from States with burgeoning case counts.
This data changes daily. The rate per 100,000 will go up for all States that have any new deaths, but, over time, States with faster infection growth will likely experience faster growth in cumulative deaths, which, of course, follow infections. This could eventually cause some major reordering of the list of States as constructed here.
Besides the change in the incidence of new infections, the relative change in death rates will ultimately be affected by the demographic profile of the newly infected, the behavior of the residents, especially those infected but having no symptoms and by individuals with comorbidity factors, and by the quality of care for patients who need care.
NOTE TO READERS:
I TRACK THE DATA FOR MY OWN USE SO THAT I CAN RELATE IT TO MEDIA REPORTING AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH SOMETIMES MAY NOT PROVIDE THE FACTUAL CONTEXT I SEEK. I SHARE IT ON THIS PLATFORM FOR INVESTORS WHO MAY FIND IT A HELPFUL, ADDITIONAL RESOURCE.
READERS ARE WELCOME TO ADD THEIR COMMENTS REFLECTING THEIR CONCLUSIONS FROM THE DATA OR TO SUPPLEMENT THE DATA PRESENTED WITH ADDITIONAL DATA FROM THE CDC OR OTHER SOURCES.
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