Market trends that you should be knowledgeable about.
First, markets act like fishing rods. They go up nice and smooth and collapse in a straight line.
Second. Major stock indexes rally into the recession. Everything is happy, then very quickly the whole world is falling apart. As the chart below shows only two instances where price did not rally into a recession. (note: A few instances were price did not fall during a recession as well).
Gray zones are official recessions.
Third. Inflated prices tend to peak during or before a recession period. Crude oil is a huge part of PPI/CPI prices.
Point: Keep and eye on crude oil.
Disclosure: I am long SPY. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.