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Monitoring The Decoupling In Paper Silver Versus Physical Silver

|Includes: PSLV, iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV)

With the current suppression of silver I think it's time to monitor the premium to see if a real shortage is actually building up.

One of the best ways is to use the Engelhard bullion price, which can be found here:

Table 1: Engelhard Industrial Bullion Prices

I have subtracted the Engelhard silver bullion price by the spot silver price and then divided the result by the spot silver price to get a percentage. I have bad news. The premium is trending down. This means there isn't really a problem with supply or any sign of decoupling.

Chart 1: Silver Premium Engelhard bullion to spot silver

If there were a problem with supply or a decoupling between physical and paper silver, the chart would be more like this:

Chart 2: Spot Silver Premium

I'll continue monitoring this so that investors can have the breaking news when the premium starts going up.

Disclosure: I am long PSLV.