Widows And Orphans Daily Close Report (7/18/13)

Jul. 19, 2013 9:31 AM ETMMM, AAPL, MT, BRK.B, BKCC, CAT, GT, DHY, CSX, CYS, DD, EXG, EFC, GRMN, GE, HLF, JPM, PTMN, KKR, LMT, LO, MGA, MSFT, NAT, SCU, PBI, PSEC, GOLD, SKM, SLRC, SCCO, SXL, TMO, TTE, TWO, VZ, V, VOD, DHCP, XIN, ZTR

Widows&Orphans's Blog

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Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2013

Over 10 years of investing experience, I use dividend reinvestment to accumulate stocks. I view myself as a Long-Long investor, very rarely (if ever) making short term trades. My three model portfolios--Widows and Orphans, Climbers and Dogs, and Pretty Girls and Railroads, are basically each 1/3 of my actual trading portfolio, divided into thirds, with W&O being the top third and PG&R the bottom third. I consider myself an independant Buy-Side Analyst.

Equities

Performance

Day

30 Day

1 Year

3M Co
MMM:NYQ

+0.73%

+2.22%

+25.11%

American Capital Agency Corp
AGNC:NSQ

-15.06%

-22.16%

Apple Inc
AAPL:NSQ

+0.34%

0.00%

-16.87%

ArcelorMittal SA
MT:NYQ

+2.18%

+3.68%

-26.19%

Berkshire Hathaway Inc
BRK.B:NYQ

+0.79%

+2.94%

+32.17%

Blackrock Kelso Capital Corp
BKCC:NSQ

+1.03%

+2.72%

+2.75%

Caterpillar Inc
CAT:NYQ

+0.29%

+2.09%

-3.08%

Cooper Tire & Rubber Co
CTB:NYQ

+0.12%

+1.78%

+34.02%

Credit Suisse High Yield Bond
DHY:ASQ

0.00%

+0.86%

+2.32%

CSX Corp
CSX:NYQ

+1.79%

+1.03%

+30.80%

CYS Investments Inc
CYS:NYQ

-1.57%

-13.16%

-20.65%

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co
DD:NYQ

+0.38%

+6.39%

+29.62%

Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Diversified Equity Income Fund
EXG:NYQ

+0.31%

+1.89%

+16.58%

Ellington Financial LLC
EFC:NYQ

-0.04%

-3.88%

+10.88%

Garmin Ltd
GRMN:NSQ

+0.47%

+2.13%

-7.95%

General Electric Co
GE:NYQ

+0.38%

-2.08%

+14.20%

Herbalife Ltd
HLF:NYQ

+4.37%

+9.87%

+66.58%

JPMorgan Chase and Co
JPM:NYQ

+1.99%

+4.91%

+33.97%

KCAP Financial Inc
KCAP:NSQ

-0.27%

+5.72%

+26.57%

KKR & Co LP
KKR:NYQ

+3.60%

+3.70%

+39.54%

Lockheed Martin Corp
LMT:NYQ

+1.15%

+6.01%

+28.47%

Lorillard Inc
LO:NYQ

+0.63%

+3.58%

+248.81%

Magna International Inc
MGA:NYQ

+1.32%

+5.41%

+49.96%

Microsoft Corp
MSFT:NSQ

-0.84%

+1.32%

+34.39%

Nordic American Tanker Ltd
NAT:NYQ

+0.82%

+3.87%

+3.29%

Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC
OZM:NYQ

+0.99%

+2.00%

+28.37%

Pitney Bowes Inc
PBI:NYQ

+0.14%

-3.47%

+37.25%

Prospect Capital Corp
PSEC:NSQ

0.00%

+3.64%

+8.63%

Randgold Resources Ltd
GOLD:NSQ

-0.33%

-7.52%

-31.35%

Resource Capital Corp
RSO:NYQ

+0.16%

+4.34%

+21.93%

Siemens AG
SI:NYQ

+4.36%

+3.42%

+8.20%

SK Telecom Co Ltd
SKM:NYQ

+0.41%

+3.04%

+39.10%

Solar Capital Ltd
SLRC:NSQ

+0.59%

+6.32%

+7.85%

Southern Copper Corp
SCCO:NYQ

+2.75%

-4.50%

-23.58%

Sunoco Logistics Partners LP
SXL:NYQ

-0.97%

-3.62%

+28.09%

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
TMO:NYQ

+1.33%

+3.23%

+39.94%

Total SA
TOT:NYQ

+1.74%

+2.64%

+3.06%

Two Harbors Investment Corp
TWO:NYQ

-0.49%

-6.16%

-3.36%

Verizon Communications Inc
VZ:NYQ

-1.52%

-2.08%

+20.07%

Visa Inc
V:NYQ

+0.72%

+3.80%

+26.81%

Vodafone Group PLC
VOD:NSQ

-0.65%

+1.43%

+19.75%

Walter Investment Management Corp
WAC:NYQ

+2.50%

+0.32%

-11.44%

Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd
XIN:NYQ

+1.26%

+5.46%

+37.31%

Zweig Total Return
ZTR:NYQ

+0.69%

+0.26%

+12.47%

Total

+0.81%

+1.51%

+17.21%

As of BST 21:09 Jul 18 2013. Performance data is delayed by at least 20 minutes.

Today's Market Overview

FTSE 100	DOW	S&P 500
6,634 62.43 / +0.95%	15,549 78.02 / +0.50%	1,689 8.46 / +0.50%
BST 16:35 Jul 18 2013	BST 21:49 Jul 18 2013	BST 22:04 Jul 18 2013

Pretty Girls and Railroads

Climbers and Dogs

Top Stories

Analysts' Upgrades

Bally Technologies Inc. (NYSE:BYI) was upgraded by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating. They now have a $85.00 price target on the stock. 26.6% Upside.
Continental Resources Inc. Oklahoma (NYSE:CLR) was upgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley from an "equal weight" rating to an "overweight" rating. They now have a $120.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $85.00. 29.7% Upside.
Credit Agricole (NASDAQ:CRARY) was upgraded by analysts at Citigroup Inc. from a "neutral" rating to a "buy" rating.
Canadian Utilities (TSE:CU) was upgraded by analysts at RBC Capital from a "sector perform" rating to an "outperform" rating.
Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB) was upgraded by analysts at Macquarie to a "neutral" rating.
EasyJet PLC (NASDAQ:ESYJY) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. to an "overweight" rating.
Edwards Lifesciences Corp. (NYSE:EW) was upgraded by analysts at Northland Capital Partners from a "market perform" rating to an "outperform" rating. They now have a $74.00 price target on the stock. 11.3% Upside.
Exelon Corp. (NYSE:EXC) was upgraded by analysts at Drexel Hamilton from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating. They now have a $37.00 price target on the stock. 17.7% Upside.
easyJet (LON:EZJ) was upgraded by analysts at JP Morgan Cazenove from an "underweight" rating to an "overweight" rating. They now have a GBX 1,540 ($23.26) price target on the stock, up previously from GBX 625 ($9.44).
Forest Oil Corp. (NYSE:FST) was upgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley from an "underweight" rating to an "equal weight" rating. They now have a $6.00 price target on the stock, down previously from $7.00. 16.7% Upside.
Colabor Group (TSE:GCL) was upgraded by analysts at Scotiabank from a "sector perform" rating to an "outperform" rating. They now have a C$7.00 price target on the stock. 91.8% Upside.
Colabor Group (TSE:GCL) was upgraded by analysts at TD Securities from a "reduce" rating to a "hold" rating. They now have a C$4.00 price target on the stock, up previously from C$3.00. 9.6% Upside.
Hercules Offshore Inc. (NASDAQ:HERO) was upgraded by analysts at Macquarie from a "neutral" rating to an "outperform" rating.
Hochschild Mining (LON:HOC) was upgraded by analysts at Westhouse Securities from a "sell" rating to a "neutral" rating. They now have a GBX 150 ($2.27) price target on the stock, down previously from GBX 220 ($3.32).
Lincoln National Corp. (NYSE:LNC) was upgraded by analysts at Deutsche Bank from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating. They now have a GBX 45 ($0.68) price target on the stock, up previously from GBX 36 ($0.54). 12.9% Upside.
Marten Transport Ltd. (NASDAQ:MRTN) was upgraded by analysts at Avondale Partners from a "market perform" rating to an "outperform" rating. They now have a $20.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $19.50. 20.9% Upside.
Corporate Office Properties Trust (NYSE:OFC) was upgraded by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating. They now have a $31.00 price target on the stock. 12.6% Upside.
Panasonic Co. (NASDAQ:PCRFY) was upgraded by analysts at Deutsche Bank from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating.
Peugeot SA (NASDAQ:PEUGY) was upgraded by analysts at HSBC from a "neutral" rating to an "overweight" rating.
NASDAQ (NASDAQ:PEUGY.PK) was upgraded by analysts at HSBC from a "neutral" rating to an "overweight" rating.
Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. (NASDAQ:PNFP) was upgraded by analysts at Raymond James from a "market perform" rating to an "outperform" rating. They now have a $30.00 price target on the stock. 8.9% Upside.
Quality Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:QSII) was upgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley from an "underweight" rating to an "equal weight" rating. They now have a $17.00 price target on the stock. 22.2% Downside.
Quality Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:QSII) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from an "underweight" rating to a "neutral" rating. They now have a $20.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $17.00. 8.4% Downside.
Quality Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:QSII) was upgraded by analysts at JP Morgan Cazenove from an "underweight" rating to a "market perform" rating.
Southern Copper Corp. (NASDAQ:SCCO) was upgraded by analysts at Bank of America Corp. from a "neutral" rating to a "buy" rating.
U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) was upgraded by analysts at Hilliard Lyons from a "neutral" rating to a "buy" rating.
Xilinx Inc. (NASDAQ:XLNX) was upgraded by analysts at Lazard Capital Markets from a "neutral" rating to a "buy" rating. They now have a $51.00 price target on the stock. 17.2% Upside.

Analysts' Downgrades

Altagas (TSE:ALA) was downgraded by analysts at RBC Capital from an "outperform" rating to a "sector perform" rating.
ASML Holding (NASDAQ:ASML) was downgraded by analysts at Piper Jaffray Cos. from an "overweight" rating to a "neutral" rating.
Atlantic Power Corp. (NYSE:AT) was downgraded by analysts at RBC Capital from a "sector perform" rating to an "underperform" rating.
Atlantic Power Co. (TSE:ATP) was downgraded by analysts at RBC Capital from a "sector perform" rating to an "underperform" rating. They now have a C$4.00 price target on the stock, down previously from C$6.00. 17.7% Downside.
American Express Co. (NYSE:AXP) was downgraded by analysts at Susquehanna from a "positive" rating to a "neutral" rating. They now have a $80.00 price target on the stock, down previously from $84.00. 4.2% Upside.
Alexco Resource Corp. (TSE:AXR) was downgraded by analysts at Canaccord Genuity from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating. They now have a C$0.80 price target on the stock, down previously from C$1.50. 35.5% Downside.
Alexco Resource Corp (NYSE:AXU) was downgraded by analysts at Canaccord Genuity from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating.
Tate & Lyle (LON:BD15) was downgraded by analysts at Societe Generale to a "hold" rating. They now have a GBX 900 ($13.59) price target on the stock.
Black Hills Corp. (NYSE:BKH) was downgraded by analysts at Drexel Hamilton from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating. They now have a $47.00 price target on the stock. 11.7% Downside.
BHP Billiton (LON:BLT) was downgraded by analysts at Beaufort Securities from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating.
Boart Longyear Ltd. (ASX:BLY) was downgraded by analysts at UBS AG to a "sell" rating.
Compania de Minas Buenaventura SA (NYSE:BVN) was downgraded by analysts at Bank of America Corp. from a "neutral" rating to an "underperform" rating.
Citrix Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:CTXS) was downgraded by analysts at Raymond James from an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating.
CYS Investments Inc (NYSE:CYS) was downgraded by analysts at Credit Suisse from an "outperform" rating to a "neutral" rating.
Deutsche Lufthansa AG (NASDAQ:DLAKY) was downgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from an "overweight" rating to a "neutral" rating.
eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY) was downgraded by analysts at Needham & Company from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating.
Man Group (LON:EMG) was downgraded by analysts at RBC Capital from a "sector performer" rating to an "underperform" rating. They now have a GBX 85 ($1.28) price target on the stock, down previously from GBX 120 ($1.81).
Future plc (LON:FUTR) was downgraded by analysts at Numis Securities Ltd from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating. They now have a GBX 16 ($0.24) price target on the stock, down previously from GBX 23 ($0.35).
Hudson City Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ:HCBK) was downgraded by analysts at Sandler O'Neill from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating.
Hilton Food Group Ltd (LON:HFG) was downgraded by analysts at Numis Securities Ltd from an "add" rating to a "hold" rating. They now have a GBX 401 ($6.06) price target on the stock, up previously from GBX 386 ($5.83).
Halcon Resources Corp (NYSE:HK) was downgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley from an "overweight" rating to an "underweight" rating. They now have a $4.00 price target on the stock, down previously from $14.00. 33.8% Downside.
Hyperion Exploration (CVE:HYX) was downgraded by analysts at Dundee Securities from a "buy" rating to a "neutral" rating. They now have a C$0.40 price target on the stock, down previously from C$0.65. 2.6% Upside.
Keyera Corp (TSE:KEY) was downgraded by analysts at RBC Capital from an "outperform" rating to a "sector perform" rating. They now have a C$61.00 price target on the stock, down previously from C$65.00. 4.5% Upside.
Kirkland's Inc. (NASDAQ:KIRK) was downgraded by analysts at Sidoti from a "buy" rating to a "neutral" rating.
Merck & Co Inc (NYSE:MRK) was downgraded by analysts at BMO Capital Markets from an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating. They now have a $51.00 price target on the stock. 6.0% Upside.
M&T Bank Corp. (NYSE:MTB) was downgraded by analysts at Sandler O'Neill from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating.
Northern Trust Corp. (NASDAQ:NTRS) was downgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a "neutral" rating to an "underweight" rating. They now have a $55.50 price target on the stock, down previously from $58.50. 6.6% Downside.
Northern Trust Corp. (NASDAQ:NTRS) was downgraded by analysts at Evercore Partners from an "equal weight" rating to an "underweight" rating.
Northern Trust Corp. (NASDAQ:NTRS) was downgraded by analysts at JP Morgan Cazenove from a "market perform" rating to an "underperform" rating.
Nexstar Broadcasting Group Inc. (NASDAQ:NXST) was downgraded by analysts at Evercore Partners from an "overweight" rating to an "equal weight" rating. They now have a $37.00 price target on the stock. 0.9% Downside.
Insulet Corp. (NASDAQ:PODD) was downgraded by analysts at Northland Capital Partners from a "market perform" rating to an "under perform" rating. They now have a $28.00 price target on the stock. 15.1% Downside.
Elizabeth Arden Inc. (NASDAQ:RDEN) was downgraded by analysts at Oppenheimer from an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating. They now have a GBX 50 ($0.76) price target on the stock. 8.7% Upside.
Royal Dutch Shell Plc (LON:RDSB) was downgraded by analysts at Nomura from a "buy" rating to a "neutral" rating. They now have a GBX 2,400 ($36.25) price target on the stock, down previously from GBX 2,500 ($37.76).
NASDAQ (NASDAQ:RDS-B) was downgraded by analysts at Nomura from a "buy" rating to a "neutral" rating.
Renasant Corp. (NASDAQ:RNST) was downgraded by analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods from an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating.
Range Resources Corp. (NYSE:RRC) was downgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley from an "overweight" rating to an "equal weight" rating. They now have a $88.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $85.00. 16.2% Upside.
Schroders plc (LON:SDR) was downgraded by analysts at RBC Capital from an "outperform" rating to a "sector perform" rating. They now have a GBX 2,500 ($37.76) price target on the stock.
SHFL Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ:SHFL) was downgraded by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating. They now have a $21.00 price target on the stock. 7.7% Downside.
Smiths Group (LON:SMIN) was downgraded by analysts at JP Morgan Cazenove from an "overweight" rating to a "neutral" rating. They now have a GBX 1,460 ($22.05) price target on the stock, down previously from GBX 1,500 ($22.66).
SanDisk Corp. (NASDAQ:SNDK) was downgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley from an "overweight" rating to an "equal weight" rating. They now have a $66.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $60.00. 11.0% Upside.
Secure Trust Bank (LON:STB) was downgraded by analysts at Canaccord Genuity from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating. They now have a GBX 2,145 ($32.40) price target on the stock, up previously from GBX 1,950 ($29.45).
Tate & Lyle (LON:TATE) was downgraded by analysts at Societe Generale from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating. They now have a GBX 900 ($13.59) price target on the stock, down previously from GBX 955 ($14.42).
Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) was downgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a "neutral" rating to an "underweight" rating.
Valener (TSE:VNR) was downgraded by analysts at RBC Capital from a "sector perform" rating to an "underperform" rating.
Wabash National Corp. (NYSE:WNC) was downgraded by analysts at BB&T Corp. from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating. They now have a $12.00 price target on the stock. 14.6% Upside.
Xilinx Inc. (NASDAQ:XLNX) was downgraded by analysts at Wells Fargo & Co. from an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating. They now have a $51.00 price target on the stock. 17.2% Upside.
ZAGG Inc. (NASDAQ:ZAGG) was downgraded by analysts at Ladenburg Thalmann from a "buy" rating to a "neutral" rating. They now have a $5.00 price target on the stock, down previously from $7.00. 2.9% Upside.
ZAGG Inc. (NASDAQ:ZAGG) was downgraded by analysts at Credit Agricole to an "outperform" rating.

Analysts' New Coverage

Aegean Marine Petroleum Network (NYSE:ANW) is now covered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. They set a "buy" rating and a $14.00 price target on the stock. 61.3% Upside.
Bill Barrett Corp. (NYSE:BBG) is now covered by analysts at Morgan Stanley. They set an "overweight" rating and a $30.00 price target on the stock. 37.9% Upside.
Chuy's Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CHUY) is now covered by analysts at Wells Fargo & Co.. They set a "market perform" rating on the stock.
CME Group Inc. (NYSE:CME) is now covered by analysts at Argus. They set a "hold" rating on the stock. They noted that the move was a valuation call.
Comstock Resources (NASDAQ:CMRE) is now covered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. They set a "hold" rating on the stock.
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. (NYSE:COG) is now covered by analysts at Morgan Stanley. They set an "overweight" rating and a $87.00 price target on the stock. 24.8% Upside.
Capital Product Partners L.P. (NASDAQ:CPLP) is now covered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. They set a "buy" rating and a $12.00 price target on the stock. 24.2% Upside.
Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC (LON:CRST) is now covered by analysts at Jefferies Group. They set a "hold" rating and a GBX 375 ($5.66) price target on the stock.
Deutsche Lufthansa AG (NASDAQ:DLAKY) is now covered by analysts at JP Morgan Cazenove. They set a "market perform" rating on the stock.
Diana Shipping (NYSE:DSX) is now covered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. They set a "hold" rating on the stock.
EQT Corp. (NYSE:EQT) is now covered by analysts at Morgan Stanley. They set an "overweight" rating and a $100.00 price target on the stock. 22.3% Upside.
Twenty-First Century Fox Inc (NASDAQ:FOXA) is now covered by analysts at Sanford C. Bernstein. They set an "outperform" rating on the stock.
Fiesta Restaurant Group Inc. (NASDAQ:FRGI) is now covered by analysts at Wells Fargo & Co.. They set an "outperform" rating on the stock.
FX Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:FXEN) is now covered by analysts at Sidoti. They set a "buy" rating on the stock.
Health Care REIT Inc. (NYSE:HCN) is now covered by analysts at Citigroup Inc.. They set a "neutral" rating and a $68.10 price target on the stock.
Land Securities Group (LON:LAND) is now covered by analysts at Beaufort Securities. They set a "buy" rating on the stock.
Navios Maritime Partners L.P. (NYSE:NMM) is now covered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. They set a "hold" rating on the stock.
Navios Maritime Acquisition (NYSE:NNA) is now covered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. They set a "buy" rating and a $5.50 price target on the stock. 47.8% Upside.
Partnership Assurance Group PLC (LON:PA) is now covered by analysts at Morgan Stanley. They set an "overweight" rating and a GBX 560 ($8.46) price target on the stock.
PBF Energy Inc. (NYSE:PBF) is now covered by analysts at Citigroup Inc.. They set a "neutral" rating on the stock.
Southern First Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFST) is now covered by analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. They set an "outperform" rating on the stock.
Silicon Graphics International Corp (NYSE:SGI) is now covered by analysts at Needham & Company. They set a "buy" rating and a $22.00 price target on the stock. 41.8% Upside.
Seaspan Co. (NYSE:SSW) is now covered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. They set a "sell" rating on the stock.
Scorpio Tankers Inc. (NASDAQ:STNG) is now covered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. They set a "buy" rating and a $13.00 price target on the stock. 30.0% Upside.
Truett-Hurst Inc (NASDAQ:THST) is now covered by analysts at Feltl & Co.. They set a "strong-buy" rating on the stock.
Tsakos Energy Navigation (NYSE:TNP) is now covered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. They set a "buy" rating and a $6.00 price target on the stock. 23.0% Upside.
Trinity Industries Inc. (NYSE:TRN) is now covered by analysts at Avondale Partners. They set an "outperform" rating on the stock.
Vantage Drilling Co. (NYSE:VTG) is now covered by analysts at RBC Capital. They set an "outperform" rating and a $3.00 price target on the stock. 60.4% Upside.

Disclosure: I am long MMM, AAPL, MT, BRK.B, BKCC, CAT, CTB, DHY, CSX, CYS, DD, EXG, EFC, GRMN, GE, HLF, JPM, KCAP, KKR, LMT, LO, MGA, MSFT, NAT, OZM, PBI, PSEC, GOLD, RSO, SI, SKM, SLRC, SCCO, SXL, TMO, TOT, TWO, VZ, V, VOD, WAC, XIN, ZTR.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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