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UPDATE: ACTUAL 10YR YIELD AND S&P 500 2Q CHANGE VS. RISK ON - RISK OFF MODELS - 19/01/2016

Current Status of Models and Assets (19/01/2016), see chart above:

Click on the link to update chart.

product.datastream.com/DSCharting/gatewa...

Models' Forecasts: Long Treasury yields and S&P 500 may be on a brief risk-off mode soon, and could initiate countertrend rallies which may last three weeks. However, the risk-off model may resume thereafter and both 10yr yield and SPY may continue to decline until about March 22 2016.

Investment implications: Risk-off mode continues until perhaps 3rd week of March. After that a sharp recovery for yields and SPY over subsequent weeks, as suggested by the RO-RO models.

The favored technical outlook for SPY:

product.datastream.com/DSCharting/gatewa...

The favored technical outlook for the US 10yr bond yield:

product.datastream.com/DSCharting/gatewa...

Click on the links to update the charts.

NOTE: This blog is merely an OPINION of the author, is NOT an INVESTMENT ADVICE, and does NOT constitute a SOLICITATION for business.

USE THE INFORMATION HEREIN AT YOUR OWN RISK. THE AUTHOR IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY LOSSES YOU MAY INCUR AS A RESULT OF INVESTING OR TRADING USING THE INFORMATION FROM THIS BLOG.

Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.