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Risk Asset Prices Have Peaked As Expected: An Invitation To Join Predictive Analytic Models (PAM)

Summary

This blog is written by Tim Kiser for Predictive Analytic Models.

The market has turned and now is a good time to initiate trades for the next few weeks. We were able to time Friday's peak and have initiated short positions.

We also previously caught the final up move and “Bearded the Lion.”.

We also documented how we anticipated the market turn during June 25 - June 26, exited short equities and long bond positions. make structural bets on Long INFO TECH SECTOR, Short CONSUMER STAPLES SECTOR; structural in the sense that we would like to hold it until a July-August top.

We invite you to join Predictive Analytic Models (PAM) and increase your net worth with examples of precise trades executed for the PAM portfolio. Check our performance so far.

This blog is written by Tim Kiser for Predictive Analytic Models

You have chosen to follow Robert P. Balan on Seeking Alpha and may or may not know about the PAM service. I encourage you to take a look (here).

Please look at our list of closed trades (here).

The market has turned and now is a good time to initiate trades for the next few weeks. We timed the peak, exited long equity trades, and initiated a short of the major indexes last Thursday, and have captured the down move in the NDX 100 and will take profits in due time. Prior to the sell-off, we also caught the final up move and “Bearded the Lion.”

We also documented how we anticipated the market turn during June 25 - June 26, exited short equities and long bond positions, made structural bets on Long INFO TECH SECTOR, Short CONSUMER STAPLES SECTOR; structural in the sense that we would like to hold it until a July-August top. See that report here. 

Robert Balan created PAM to give retail or ordinary investors access to the tools that the pros use. Robert has a long career in the financial industry. Read his background here. He desires to utilize his tools and 50 year career to help investors profit from the markets.

Robert Balan recently said to a subscriber of PAM:

(Start of quote)

In the final analysis, it is Risk Management that brings in success, Calling the market direction is not the biggest part of the equation. The best way to use the PAM service is to understand that fundamental and liquidity data come in monthly and weekly increments. I have to take the extra step of interpolating the aggregated data into daily data points, in the hope of calling the turning point to the DAY. That DAY forecast is optimized -- so the actual turning points can be minus 2 days or plus two day. This is the weekly data point (of 5 trading days) that has been translated into DAY increments.

The rationale for putting up PAM is (aside from boredom, now that I am not actively trading for my principal company in Switzerland) is to illustrate that there is a more optimal way of using fundamental data to trade. That using fundamentals plus a modicum of support from tech analysis to time entry and exit, we can do high probability short term trades. Short-term trades are part of a net worth building process when you have a trading tool that gives you a mathematical advantage. The liquidity tools, other models and technical tools do give you an advantage which I reckon to be close to 70-30. With your tools having high utility value, you use the Law of Large Numbers to make sure that the math advantage gets translated into reality. The more trades you do, the higher the odds that your success will hew closer to the 70-30 probability. So you have a high motivation for doing short, but successful trades. Hence you see us exiting trades, then resetting at better levels if we get the chance.

This is the rationale for PAM. We are here to prove that this approach works. It has worked in my 50-yr career in the market. Now I am trying to show how this method works to people who are interested. Calling the market is just part of what we at PAM are trying to do. We are also trying to show examples, so that interested people can learn.

(End of quote)

Come and learn from Robert P. Balan and make PAM trades with Tim Kiser. You will enjoy your time at PAM, while you learn. 

These are some reviews from PAM subscribers (here).

This is how you join (link here)

Thank you for your time in reading this introduction to PAM. Please go back to the top and see the spreadsheet link so that you can see the results on the PAM portfolio, so far. The results should speak for themselves and you can match those results with the reviews our subscribers have blessed us with.

Tim Kiser

Discussions like these occur every day and in greater detail at our PAM investment service site. Consider paying us a visit today! Try our free two-week trial to see how the Predictive Analytic Models work in real time. Their signals are discussed in the Chat Room as actionable events form up. You have nothing to lose - a lot of market knowledge to learn. More details about the signals here.

More actionable investment ideas based on this article have been earlier presented to, and discussed with, members of the PAM investment community. We invite readers to join us.

For more detailed information about our service, kindly go here.

Disclosure: I am/we are short Equities.

Additional disclosure: Short Equities