2011 Stock Picks
Apr. 16, 2011 4:13 PM ETHGG, ENTR-OLD, RCL, GM, CSCO, FCX, X, F, UAL, GOOG, ETR, HAS, NTR, CME, WBD, MOS, WFC, SNI, CCI, BK, LEN, ITRI, AMD, BWA, GOLD, RSG, WMT, UPS, MFGLQ, MCD, AAPL, GPC, PEP, PCP, IVZ, SLB, SAPE, YUM, PVH, JPM, UNP, MMP, MDLZ, UTX, MMM, LOW, ABT, RIG, HON, ORCL, SHEL, V, VECO, DD, WELL, CMCSA, DHR, DLR, SBUX, NVR, EW
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Long Only, Special Situations, Medium-Term Horizon, Growth At A Reasonable Price
Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2011
Dark-Liquidity.com operates a free website primarily with a interest in quantitative trading strategies. The site tracks the stock / ETF holdings and performance of various trading strategies and several other mainly free trading strategy websites. The site focuses on market timing with many strategies either attempting to switch to different asset classes or move to cash on market downturns.
At the end of every year various personal finance magazines and stock brokers publish their best stock ideas for the upcoming year. Often these are selections are never mentioned again. We decided to track the stock pick portfolios for SmartMoney, Money, Fortune, Kiplinger and Barrons publications and also brokers, J P Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
As of April 15th, only 3 of the 8 stock pickers are beating the S&P and Nasdaq indexes.
Fortune had an early lead up over 6% in the first 2 weeks but is now in last place. Kiplinger had a bad start, down almost 3% in the first week but has since recovered into positive territory. The chart below shows the portfolios profit / loss plotted weekly at the Friday closing prices.
Goldman Sachs currently holds five of the top ten best performing stocks selected.
Stock Name |
Stock Symbol |
Profit |
Magazine / Broker |
Rubicon Technology |
RBCN |
31.15% |
Goldman Sachs |
Blackstone |
BX |
30.48% |
Goldman Sachs |
Tyco international |
TYC |
24.07% |
Morgan Stanley |
Chicago Bridge & Iron |
CBI |
21.40% |
Goldman Sachs |
JBHunt |
JBHT |
17.20% |
Goldman Sachs |
VF Corp. |
VFC |
16.53% |
Kiplinger |
Pfizer |
PFE |
15.99% |
Barrons |
Treehouse Foods |
THS |
15.72% |
Goldman Sachs |
TJX |
TJX |
15.37% |
Smartmoney |
Polo Ralph Lauren |
RL |
15.10% |
Kiplinger |
The three bottom stock pickers hold two stocks each from the overall 10 worst performing stocks selected.
Stock Name |
Stock Symbol |
Profit |
Magazine / Broker |
hhgregg |
HGG |
-38.46% |
Kiplinger |
Entropic |
ENTR |
-36.61% |
Fortune |
Royal Carribean |
RCL |
-19.75% |
Fortune |
General Motors |
GM |
-18.97% |
Barrons |
Cisco Systems |
CSCO |
-16.72% |
Barrons / Smartmoney |
Freeport-McMoran |
FCX |
-16.72% |
Smartmoney |
US Steel |
X |
-15.90% |
Kiplinger |
Ford |
F |
-14.79% |
Goldman Sachs |
It is only a little over one quarter the way through the year. We'll publish a mid year update to monitor how they continue to perform.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.