Goldman bullish on commodities, sees gold holding off bitcoin as safe haven
- In a recent note put out by Goldman Sachs, they believe the commodities space will gain continued support over the next six months on positive forecasted demand.
- The investment bank has mentioned that they see commodities rallying another 13.5%, with oil reaching $80/bbl, copper rising to $11,000 per tonne and gold holding off bitcoin as a safe haven investment.
- Per Reuters, Goldman Sachs stated: "We expect the biggest jump in oil demand ever, a 5.2 million barrels per day rise over the next six months," relating to the buildup in traveling demand and increasing vaccine rollouts throughout Europe.
- For investors that share a similar sentiment and are interested in the energy markets see a handful of exchange traded funds: (NYSEARCA:USO), (NYSEARCA:XLE), (NYSEARCA:UCO), (NYSEARCA:XOP), (NYSEARCA:VDE), (NYSEARCA:GUSH), (NYSEARCA:OIH), (NYSEARCA:ERX), (NYSE:BGR), (NYSEARCA:BNO).
- Aside from oil, Goldman Sachs has also upgraded their outlook on copper. Goldman has forecasted the price of copper to reach $11,000 per tonne, setting a 12-month target.
- Copper has surged of late, approaching $10,000 per tonne on the London Metal Exchange. Furthermore, copper has not seen these current levels in over ten years. The last time prices were this high was back in 2011.
- A few of copper ETFs and ETNs to analyze are: (NYSEARCA:COPX), (JJCTF), and (NYSEARCA:JJC), and (NYSEARCA:CPER).
- Goldman Sachs also sees gold reaching levels of $2,000 over the course of the next six months. Gold which has seen a selloff since August of 2020, has witnessed a recent rise in April. Since March 31st of this year, gold has risen nearly +5.5% from $1,678 to $1,768.
- During the same time as gold's recent rise, bitcoin (BTC-USD) has slid. Since March 31st, bitcoin has sold off nearly -6.00%. Goldman believes it's still too premature for bitcoin to compete with gold for demand as a safe haven investment.
- In the recent note, the bank said: "While bitcoin benefits from greater liquidity, it suffers from lack of real use and weak environmental, social, governance ESG scoring, due to its high energy consumption,"
- (NYSEARCA:GLD), (NYSEARCA:GDX), (NYSEARCA:IAU), and (NYSEARCA:SGOL) are some gold-related exchange traded funds that can be useful for market participants to examine.
- VanEck CEO, Jan van Eck, shares a similar view with Goldman Sachs as he stated in a recent interview, "I think that commodity companies are disciplined to not supply too much into the market, so I think higher prices are here to stay across the commodity spectrum."