E-commerce reset: Amazon and eBay estimates clipped by BofA due to strong dollar

Oct. 03, 2022 8:42 AM ETAmazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), EBAYBy: Clark Schultz, SA News Editor9 Comments

Amazon.com Fulfillment Center. Amazon is the Largest Internet-Based Retailer in the United States


Bank of America cut estimates on Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY) to reflect higher macroeconomic uncertainty and the impact on earnings of a strong U.S. dollar.

While BofA's credit and debit card data showed U.S. online spending accelerated 20bps to +3.5% year-over-year in August, the acceleration on easier comparables has lagged the firm's expectations for more explosive growth.

BofA's reset on e-commerce: "Multiple recent indicators suggest a weakening outlook for discretionary consumer spending including; 1) higher than expected peak interest rates from the Fed; 2) a negative fiscal 1Q pre-announcement from FedEx; 3) a sharp decline in CarMax sales due to “affordability challenges” for consumers and; 4) the first MoM decline in the Case Shiller home price index since January 2019."

The firm reiterated a Buy rating on Amazon (AMZN) and Neutral rating on eBay (EBAY) amid the new macro backdrop that is forecast to pressure international revenue for both e-commerce giants even with currency hedges in play. Amid a more cautious view on Q4 and the first half of 2023, the price objective on AMZN was clipped to $157 from $170, while the PO on eBay (EBAY) was cut to $44 from $54.

Lower valuations broadly in the tech sector were also a factor in the price objective drops by BofA on the two e-commerce stocks.

Compare valuation metrics on AMZN and EBAY.

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