Chan is an investor in cheap businesses. Focus on low P/E or significant events. Generally like good balance sheets unless huge upside. Chan also like momentum plays. But avoid most risks. Chan also self-appointed spiritual leader of StockTalk. Follow Chan!
Market Trend Signal™ is the leader in Trend Following, Market Timing and Stock Ratings.
Market Trend Signal clients receive access to stock ratings on over 15000 stocks as well as market timing trend following signals on all major markets and sectors.
Market Trend Signal™ provides users with an easy to use market timing system to determine whether the stock market is providing favorable or unfavorable trading conditions.
Our investment analysis and stock ratings are based solely on price. This method is a trend following method. Our proprietary market timing signals and stock ratings find strong stocks in rising industries again and again, and will ALWAYS identify best of breed stocks using our StrengthRank setting. We place a very simple BUY, SELL or HOLD stock rating with a short term trend following signal for early indication of a shifting entry or exit signal.
It is our objective to provide every individual with a Market Timing System and trend following system, to allow success in investing and trading.
In an ever changing economic environment investors need a serious, disciplined approach to trading, trend following, market timing
Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015. From his website: INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors. Rules of Investment Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing. Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off. Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.) Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'. Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions. More information on CGTS is available at: http://home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS142.htm His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJCwriting.htm Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.
CGTS: THE NEW SCIENCE OF INVESTING
John Cofran is a professional individual investor and money manager with 23+ years experience, and over $15,000,000 in assets under management. He is a former Pricewaterhouse auditor with degrees in Finance, Accounting and Economics from Boston College. In addition to building several highly successful private businesses over the last decade, John has also served as President and CFO of several international businesses. A value investor, currently he is focusing on high margin of safety opportunities through a variety of conservative investment strategies. John's unique discipline and experience has allowed him to produce returns that far exceed the market, his peers and most world-renowned asset managers over the last decade.
I use two complementary strategies for investing:
One is a quantitative, algorithm based, statistically modeled market timing strategy that I began developing in 1990, and started using 1994. The algorithms rely heavily on intra-day data, and none are based on “traditional” TA.
The original algorithms were developed using very short term intraday data and tested on reams of data, generating tens of thousands of signals. These are somewhat similar to directional HFT algorithms used today, basically searching out statistical “fingerprints” of high probability countertrend reversal points. The intention was to create a trading system requiring very limited human decision making. Since markets are fractal, these algorithms were found to work well with all time times, and are therefore not “curve fitted” to longer term daily or weekly time frames where they may trigger signals a very limited number of times (a dangerous practice). Automated analysis of multiple time frames form the basis of buy/sell signals, and incorporate risk control. The system is very selective. Longer term signals are generated infrequently, and have proved very reliable.
The second strategy is a fundamentally-based, bottoms-up, Graham and Dodd style value-based strategy, complemented by an algorithm-based component providing entry and exit points for individual stocks.
Occasional hedging, with both options and short positions, are a part of both strategies. Typically, dollars generated by closing longer term positions are earmarked for reinvestment in other asset classes or, if the continuation of an upward trend is anticipated, are used for short to intermediate trading of stocks or leveraged broad market ETF's (I have disclosed only longer term lower risk positions, and some examples of options hedging strategies in realtime on SA).
In 1998, I decided to invest and trade my own account full time. I have been happily and successfully doing this since then, and have no intention of doing otherwise in the future.
I seek not seek to change hearts and minds, but only to provide a little food for thought to those who are interested, and garner some from others as well. My views are always based on the output of my computers, and other than expressing them in probabilities (which is a realistic necessity), I don’t equivocate, and back them up with positions in the markets.
I believe that approaching both life, and the markets, with a little levity is a good thing. My sense of humor doesn’t show up at all in this bio, but I do have one!
By the way, "Hal" is my computer's name (quantitative strategy).
Lejun James Shao is the founder of www.myIRAs.net (http://www.myIRAs.net/), WhitePine Investment Inc of USA, and CEO of WhitePine Software Inc, Beijing, China. He was the top finisher in MSN's 1st US One Million Dollar Investment Contest, "Strategy Open Tournament," with a +45.88% return in 4 months from August 28 - December 2008.
An IT wizard turned professional investor, James Shao graduated from the University of Michigan with a PhD degree in Computer Engineering in 1990 and worked as an assistant professor in Singapore's Nanyang Technology University for 5 years after graduation. He worked as Chief Software Engineer in DSP Technology, Design Engineer in Ford Motor Company, and several other high tech companies after his return. James Shao started his investment profession in 2001.
I developed my own trading system, based on magnetism (physics) and velocity vectors...I find the center of the compression, and factor time with volume which determines the outward velocity vector (linear expansion) thereby predicting price and time.
I have a market update service
I've been in the markets since 1984
Option Millionaires was started in February 2008 to provide traders with information about option trading. Led by three career option traders, whose pseudonyms are JimmyBob, UraniumPintoBeans, and Vantillian, they started one of the most popular option trading communities on the web.
Now, Option Millionaires provides a blog, a live chat forum in which we allow our subscribers to mirror our trades, educational classes, and intraday market commentary to its subscribers. Thanks for stopping by and happy trading!
Erik is the senior market technician for Prometheus Market Insight and has been performing chart analysis since 1995. The software program that he developed to monitor long-term stock market trends has correctly identified 92% of the cyclical turning points in the S&P 500 index since 1940. His Gold Currency Index has predicted every major trend change in the US gold market since its creation in 2005.
DeWayne Reeves is the founder of CFRN and host of a popular radio program heard daily in over 20 countries. A former equities trader, he has focused primarily on the S&P 500 Emini Futures Market for the past 10 years. His insights and trading methodology are a blend of traditional technical analysis and the strategic use of proprietary indicators. He is the founding director of New Hope Orphanage and Primary School in Kampala Uganda East Africa which is home to over 800 orphans. Mr Reeves currently resides with his wife in Phoenix Az. where he actively trades his personal account.
Tune in M-F from 12pm-2pm Eastern for market analysis, technical tips and lively discussion. CFRN / http://www.cfrn.net
Joshua "MauiTrader" Hayes is CEO, President and founder of Big Wave Trading Inc., a Maui, Hawaii-based stock market advisory service. Hayes is a well-respected stock trader who combines fundamentals, technicals, psychology and money management to trade professionally for his personal, family, and friends accounts for 16 years. Hayes also runs BigWaveTrading.com, an online stock market commentary and stock selection service for intermediate-term investment strategies using CANSLIM and other strategies. Hayes is a contributor to SeekingAlpha.com has been a contributor to Telechart as Sir Aloha, Realmoney.com, InvestorsParadise.com, BestWayToInvest.com, iStockAnalyst.com, and StraightStocks.com.
*** These days I post my charts/thoughts on http://www.stocktwits.com under the same user name BreakoutTrader ***
"Charts are worth a million words." - Ralph Acampora
"Having learned what folly I was capable of, I closed that particular incident." - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” - John Maynard Keynes
"For those properly prepared in advance, a bear market in stocks is not a calamity but an opportunity." John Templeton
I bought my first stock in the late 1980's and have been in and out of the markets
since then ...
Over these years, I have traded in equity, options and futures markets and have
used trading and technical analysis software such as TradeStation, Wealth Lab
Developer, Amibroker, StrataSearch, VectorVest, TC2000, etc.
Being a software engineer with professional certification and advanced degrees
in Computer Science and Physics, I have been using my technical and science
skills to develop my own trading strategies, technical indicators, and screeners.
My primary trading style is looking for stocks in consolidation using technical
analysis with indicators and screeners I have developed. I am in particular
interested in using relative strength to identify trading opportunities.
I believe options strategies, when used properly, not only can achieve better returns,
but also can do so with less risk than pure equity trades. However, analysis must be
performed independent of options strategies before choosing the right options strategies.
I have therefore been mainly trading with options after I have done my technical analysis
on equities and the markets.
O. Young Kwon, NYU Ph.D. in Economics had worked in securities industry for ten years as a Registered Investment Adviser. He taught Macroeconomics (CUNY, Staten Island) and Statistics (Rutgers, Newark).
Prior to his academic career, he was an Economist/Bank Supervisor at the Bank of Korea (the Fed's counterpart). In 2009 he set up the TANER System in order to synthesize performances and relative strengths of 20 ETFs and 40 equities thoroughly. The System captures dynamics of momentum changes of individual securities on the daily basis. The System also builds successfully their momentum trends over time.
He is a conservative investor, targeting on a reasonable investment goal (inflation plus 3%). His investment preference is a relatively long-term (three to twelve months) long-only strategy. He allocates his assets as an auto-pilot portfolios (90%) in Vanguard and TIAA . As the title of his portfolio indicates, any short-term frequent portfolio adjustment is not needed.
The significantly increased market volatility induced mainly by more frequent online trading pattern with ETFs in the recent years, however, forces investors towards somewhat aggressive trading to gain more and lose less. It is a very serious challenge to conservative investors like him. He has traded daily, based on TMs, provided by the TANER System. .
The Daily Market Information (DMI) (7 days a week), The Daily 25ETFRANKS (25R) (M-F), The Daily TANER Momentum (DTM) ETF Model (TEM) (M), The (DTM) Schwab Model (TWM) (T), The (DTM) Rotation Model (TRM) (W), The (DTM) Vanguard Model (TVM) (Th), and The (DTM) Stock Model (TSM) F), and checking “My Portfolios in Seeking Alpha” (P.SCH, P.TD, SCH25, AND TD16 Which are my holding at Schwab a/c, holding at TD a/c, 25 Schwab ETFs, and 16 TD ETFs, respectively) before buying or selling ETFs.
In 1971, he was a visiting Economist (sent by the Bank of Korea) at the NY Fed and the Bank of NY to research long-range planning.
After earning his M.A. in Economics at U-Conn, he studied at NYU under Oskar Morgenstern (Economic History, Game Theory), Wassily Leotief (Input-Output Theory), Fritz Machlup (International Finance and Trade), William J. Baumol (Economic Theory and Operations Analysis), M. Isaq Nadiri (Macroeconomic Theory), and Edward Wolff (Econometric Modelling). He workd on various research projects: The input-Output Framework of the U.S. Economy (Leontief), U.S. Productivity Measurements (Nadiri), Knowledge Distribution (Machlup), Firms, Games, Decisions (Baumol), and U.S. Household Spending and Saving Behavior (Wolff).
His Doctoral Thesis under Machlup (1980): Theory of Foreign Exchange and Economic Policy. In the early 1980s .He, as a Research Associate, researched with Geoffery H. Moore at the Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR) on business cycles, growth cycles, international indicators, composite indexing, and forecast of business conditions and inflation.
I have been an active investor for almost 20 years. My main focus is on high-yield stocks, particularly MLPs, and high-growth oil companies in the Eagle Ford shale. I have a portion of my portfolio allocated to short-term trading, with a focus on over-reactions to company news and directional plays on VIX-based ETFs. I am happy to answer just about any question sent my way, especially from those new to the stock market.
Trader - Economist - Health Care Specialist - Chart interpreter
Happy New Year!
2014 may not be kind to equities. Caution for most investors.
Great Year for traders!
YEAR OF THE BEARS - 2014!