Update, Thanks to the many much more experienced members here and their vast storehouses of knowledge I've been able to overcome my early investing mistakes and turn things around. Not an easy thing to do these past 2+ years. Thanks Guys and Gals! -------------------------------------- Laid-off 2 yrs ago, forced into trying to manage and make money from my IRA (formerly 401k). paying my dues in the market as I slowly learn the art of successful investing and trading. IRA does not allow day-trading w/o SEC violations so I am relegated to trying to develop a successful weekly (or partial wkly) to monthly trading strategy based on technicals and market trends. No easy task. Focus is on High Dividend earners, mReits being number 1 at this point, also trying to take short term 5-10% gains from undervalued stocks when they run-up (ie: S) suddenly. I appreciate the knowledge base of the many fine authors here & I hope to learn much from all of you.
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A regular guy (still alive from New York!) who shows how he would manage a model (not actual) portfolio for educational purposes only, my personal finances are my own business and the disclosure statement is only for the portfolio we are discussing (if an asset is held personally, I will note that in the disclosure). I give absolutely no advice, and only offer suggestions on how I could manage a portfolio. My personal portfolio and finances can change at any time, which has nothing to do with the educational value of any article.
The main reason for a subscriber to "Follow" me, especially for the model portfolios (TARP or otherwise), is to glean some knowledge to become a better investor and not simply place bets. Money management is every bit as important as any other aspect of investing, and by following a portfolio and the actions taken, you can gain some insight into a somewhat higher level of investing acumen. There are no requirements, and this is not "rocket science" - it is simply a powerful way for you to put the money you have worked hard for to work even harder for you. My message will be consistent, and my hope by doing this is to share my own experiences, illustrated in the model mock portfolios I build exclusively for Seeking Alpha. Knowledge is power, and many folks shy away from the investing world because that very world makes it more confusing each and every day in an effort to sell you something: stock picks, technical strategies, books, videos, subscriptions with "secret ideas," gadgets, and even snake oil. My promise to you is that my work here will remain free to all of my followers, with the hope of giving to you some of the things that took years for me to learn myself.
I'm a retired individual investor. I retired at the end of 2013 after a 35 year career as a professor and research scientist at a major research university. So -- a career as a researcher and an educator, which is what I'd like to do here. Virtually every good teacher I've ever known says some version of "I learn more from teaching than my students do." There's a lot of truth in that, enough that there's an underlying selfish motivation for my writing here as I continue to learn about investing.
My professional life involved multiple international projects and collaborations, so I traveled extensively over those 35 years. I still will be doing so in my retirement. One consequence is that I'm liable to disappear from the site for extended periods. How can you miss me if I don't go away?
My investing priorities are building and refining portfolios designed to provide income and capital growth: Income for my retirement needs, and capital growth for my estate. My investing interests are tax-advantaged income from a range of sources, portfolio strategies, information- and bio-technology, and strategic allocation.
Why I Write for Seeking Alpha: I learned long ago that "writing is nature's way of letting you know how sloppy your thinking is." The line comes from a Guindon comic strip of many years ago. As an academic scientist I routinely published my research results. It's how I spent my working career, so it comes more or less naturally to me. It forces me to think about details I might otherwise overlook.Like all academics, I consider it an essential part of doing research. So, the writing I do here is as much for myself as for the reader. It also opens me to feedback from others who may draw quite different conclusions.
As a research scientist I spent a career spanning four decades devoted to free exchange of information vetted by rigorous peer review. It's a concept I firmly believe in. So, I encourage and appreciate thoughtful comments, especially from those who disagree with me (although I will ignore obvious trolls and encourage others to do so as well).
My Investment Philosophies and Strategies: I maintain two portfolios: one for income and one for growth. As I have reached the age where I have to take mandatory withdrawals from my IRAs,I have transitioned my taxable brokerage account to a nearly pure growth focus along with a large holding in tax-free municipal-bond CEFs. My goal for the IRA is to generate income to meet MRD levels. The remainder is held in a fairly defensive growth portfolio. I've reached a point where I'm more concerned about drawdowns than I am about beating the market.
Who Is Left Banker? Ah yes, the name. When I first joined Seeking Alpha I had no intention of being anything but an occasional reader. I saw it as another research site. So, I just ported a name I've used on other sites. I spent some of the best times of my life living on the left bank of the Seine and am always thrilled to be back in La Belle Paris. Add that I also like it because I find several word plays there; I'll leave it to you to decipher that comment.
Finally, I've chosen to remain anonymous, which I feel obligated to address. First, I have no professional role in finance and nothing to sell, so there is no advantage to be gained by "making a name for myself' here. Second, I value my privacy and have kept my internet presence as low-key as my professional life allowed. But I do have a professional on-line presence which I'd prefer not to mix with my Seeking Alpha persona. I certainly want to avoid any possibility of some internet connection trying to track me down. Odds against that happening are, of course, outrageously long, but why take them on at all?
Disclosures: I have no ties to the financial or security industries in any form. My interests are strictly personal. The banker part of the nym has absolutely no relationship to the profession of the same name. Readers should be aware that I am an investing novice, some might say dilettante, but when I write about something here, it's something that I have a personal financial stake in (perhaps a negative stake in that I'll tell you why I rejected it). I do not give advice; what I publish is much more in line with my research notebook. Anyone who finds anything of interest will necessarily want to do his or her complete research and due diligence. It would be foolish to rely on my conclusions without having done so.
Yield Hunting is an alternative income investing service dedicated to income investors who are searching for yield hunting without the high risk of the equity market. Founded by a Lead Wealth Advisor, Chief Investment Strategist, and individual investor with two masters degrees and a CFA designation with over 20 years of investment experience. This premium subscription service authored by Alpha Gen Capital features a core-satellite model that allows investors to adjust for their own particular risk tolerance. We specialize in fixed income closed-end funds for generating income during retirement, micro and small-cap value investing, and macro analysis.
Quad 7 Capital, parent company of Quad 7 Research, Quad 7 Partners, and Quad 7 Poker, was founded in 2017 by a team that consists of a long time investor, health researcher, financial author, professor, professional poker player, and politician. For investors and traders, Quad 7 Capital will soon be launching its BAD BEAT Investing Service, focused on extreme value, and leveraging news driven events for rapid return swing trades.
The company has expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory and the sciences. The company has experience with government, academia, and private industry. Quad7Capital.com covers a wide range of sectors and companies, with particular emphasis on news related items and mini-analyses on growth companies, cryptocurrencies, REITS, biotechnology/ pharmaceuticals, precious metals, blue chips and small-cap companies. It further offers money saving tips and market news.
Quad 7 Partners is the driving force behind the overall focus on current events, earnings, and timely developments, while Quad 7 Research aims to conduct several in depth analyses per month to identify misplaced market bets, and deep value situations. We are on Stocktwits, and Twitter under username _Quad7Capital_, and on Facebook and TalkMarkets under Quad7Capital.
A full time investor in stocks, bonds, options, and real estate who previously worked as a financial/investment journalist/analyst. Previous industry stints include privately held SageOnline Inc. - where he held multiple positions - as well as Multex.com, acquired by Reuters, where he was an equity research editor. Aloisi is a cum laude graduate of Penn State University, currently residing in native South Central Pennsylvania with his wife and 2 children.
Income investing has become his focal interest due to the challenges that the ZIRP environment presents. Not an advocate of any single portfolio strategy, he promotes a "go anywhere" philosophy predicated on value, forward thinking, sustainability, and personal objectives. While the past may be instructive, Aloisi cautions on over reliance.
In his free time he likes to talk politics, play the piano, garden, and go antiquing. Mr. Aloisi voluntarily serves as VP of his local school board.
2016 returns: 22.40%
2017 returns: 22.05%
The REIT Forum is in the top 1% on TipRanks: http://bit.ly/cwmftip
The REIT Forum focuses on risk-adjusted returns with a defensive strategy. With a strong background in accounting and finance, fundamentals are a top priority. Buying a strong company with great fundamentals at an attractive price is a good long-term strategy. The subscription platform allows me to do a few things very well. It allows me to share the research I’m doing for my own investment decision making. It allows me to communicate rapidly with investors that are willing to pay for my best work.
The REIT Forum includes:
Subscriber only – Extensive research (thousands of articles) on 50+ companies, buy targets, and forward looking analysis.
Subscriber only - Weekly articles comparing 50+ preferred shares and finding the best opportunities. Preferred shares offer investors high yields with relatively lower risk.
Subscriber only - Analysis and updates on the REIT sectors. This includes finding the best investments within a subsector.
Subscriber only – Risk ratings and dividend sustainability research.
What is my view on risk?
The traditional view is to see earning excess returns as compensation for taking on high levels of risk. I believe it is far better to focus on earning returns from catching market failures. These failures happen due to poor liquidity and investors (including analysts) working with incomplete information. I believe that by knowing the individual companies well, the investor can step in when the “risk” is heavily skewed in favor of “returns”.
I do not try to generate higher returns, I try to generate more consistent returns by reducing the downwards risk. Occasionally that results in exceptionally high returns when something corrects, but it also means I am willing to pass on several decent opportunities because I want the risk/return profile skewed heavily in my favor.
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: he has been a partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm. Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics and Finance from the University of Tampa. Chuck is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a Veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.
I am a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) (prior FL; current NJ and NY license) and a Certified Financial Planner (CFP). I have also been a member of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA) for 18 years (CFF as well). My current title is partner at a national accounting firm. I have audit, tax, and consulting experience with entities in the following sectors: closed-end funds, energy, financials, healthcare, homebuilders, pharmaceuticals, private equity, REITs, and telecoms. I've also have experience with C-corps., estates, high net worth individuals, LLCs, LLPs, S-corps., and trusts. I am an active investor. My investing fundamentals are based on both qualitative and quantitative information. By using my financial / analytical skills, I create specific investing ideas / strategies based on valuations and total returns. The two main sectors I currently provide articles on are mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs) and business development companies (BDCs).
Winner of the Summer 2017 PRO Promotion
Previous Projection Articles' Performance vs. Actual Results:
# of Projections Stated Within All Articles: 257
# of Projections PENDING: 0
# of Projections 100% Accurate or Within Range: 239
# of Projections Inaccurate or Outside of Range: 18
Projection “Within Range” Success Rate: 239 / 257 = 93.0%
For a detailed list of every projection I've made at Seeking Alpha (vs. actual results), please send me a personal message ("pm") through the inbox feature (too long to list here).
Disclaimer: I cannot own and will not give an opinion on any investments my current employer has any direct or indirect professional services with (accounting, audit, tax, consulting, etc.). As such, most large-cap stocks are "off the table" regarding my articles. All accounting insight, analysis, and opinions stated within any articles I write (in regards to a specified stock) are entirely from my own personal research and analysis. I believe my articles are both informative and in some cases educational.
NOTE: A growing number of readers/investors, analysts, and representatives of firms have requested to be provided with my "spreadsheets/models" to help better understand certain companies/sectors. My researched data is several files of 100+ spreadsheets/models containing both stocks I write about on S.A. and stocks I choose to not write about on S.A. To reduce the repeated requests to provide such data, these spreadsheets/models are ALL linked together. As such, all current and future requests to "share" ALL my data/models will be politely declined. Thanks for your understanding regarding this matter.
I appreciate my loyal readers and I’ll continue to try to provide high quality, in-depth articles.
Below are the stocks I currently cover (as of May 2018):
Stocks Covered (21 mREITs; 14 BDCs; 8 Other Sectors): ACSF, AGNC, AINV, AI, ANH, ARCC, ARR, BMNM, BXMT (New), CHMI, CMO, CYS, DX, EFC, FSIC, GAIN (New), GBDC, GPMT (New), IVR, MAIN, MCC, MFA, MITT, MO, MTGE, NEWT, NLY, NRZ, NVS, NYMT, OCSI (formerly FSFR), OCSL (formerly FSC), ORC, PHM, PMT, PSEC, PM, SLRC, TCPC (New) TOL, TRP, TWO, and WMC.
Commonly Asked Questions:
Question 1): If you are only paid per article, why make your articles so long / detailed?
- I like to provide the “nuts and bolts” of a company. As such, I strive for my articles to have some sort of “hard to obtain” facts / figures. From this data, I like to fully discuss / analyze specific topics within a particular stock. This mainly consists of a quarterly projection article and a series of articles on a company’s dividend sustainability. In certain instances, I also write articles in regards to specific, material events that occur during a quarter.
- I believe a company’s quarterly results and upcoming dividend declarations are two of the most important topics readers are requesting information on. My analysis takes the “average” article several steps further to allow readers to have access to information that is rare to public viewership.
Question 2): How come you only write 1-2 articles a week (would like to see more)?
- As stated in my profile above, I have a full-time professional career. I write / analyze stocks in my free time. To provide these types of high quality / in-depth articles, I can’t see writing more than 2 articles a week. I believe “quality” should always be a higher priority versus “quantity”.
- As many readers should know by now (if you’ve followed me for a while), I not here for the monetary rewards. If that was the case, I’d write 5+ weekly articles and provide little to no engagement in each article’s comment section. I believe the comments section is as important as the article themselves b/c readers have a wide range of questions in relation to each article or the sector in general.
Question 3): What do you personally gain from writing these articles?
- I am not here trying to promote a company, book, or website. There’s nothing wrong with that. That’s just not what I’m about. I’m here for the “average Joe”.
- When I decided to write these articles, I based it on the notion I am filling a “special niche” per se. Using skills that have been built up over my professional career, my articles usually provide unique information that most writers either a) don’t have the technical expertise to provide or b) don’t bother providing due to the time it takes to compile such data. As such, I believe the S.A. community benefits from my articles. I solely do this b/c it’s a passion of mine and I like helping readers have accurate, reliable data that is not readily available. Yes, I understand this may seem “hard to believe” in this day and age.
Question 4): How come you do not write about more stocks?
- To give readers the level of detail that I provide in my articles, I amass large amounts of data every quarter (or even weekly). As a direct result, a large amount of time is consumed by obtaining / analyzing this data.
- If I expanded the stocks I research, it would most likely take away the quality of other articles I currently am writing about. Again, this gets back to the “quality vs. quantity” metric.
- There is a fairly large range of stocks / investment vehicles I cannot write about / provide an opinion on due to various conflicts of interests (regarding my professional career). This is a topic I take VERY seriously.
Aside from free articles available to the general public, additional early-access, value-added ideas and deep-dive articles are offered to paid subscribers on my premium SA platform, "Retirement: One Dividend At A Time" . This exclusive RODAT Portfolio has performed even better than my popular FTG Portfolio, with higher dividend income growth and greater capital appreciation.
If you are interested in any of my digital utility solutions to add to your investing tool box to improve your investment outcomes, please visit my site
You'll find elegant applications that make it simple for you to track your portfolio in real time, make a watch list to follow in real time, track your dividend income and growth, and other applications. These applications will allow you to set alerts at prices you choose in order to obtain the yield and income that you want. They function as real time trade assistants and will improve your investment performance. You can even mirror the successful FTG Portfolio with "My FTG Mirror Calculator", and subscribers can mirror the premium subscriber portfolio with "MY RODAT Mirror Calculator" if they wish to emulate the out performance we've achieved in capital and income growth.
I am a retired clinical psychologist, and administrator and owner of a rehabilitation clinic we founded 40 years ago. For over 55 years I have managed several portfolios composed of investments accumulated over our professional careers. Since the financial crisis of 2008, I have employed specialized, customized dividend growth strategies aimed at enhancing and growing a dividend income stream.
Since December 24, 2014, I have demonstrated on Seeking Alpha the ongoing construction and portfolio management of the Fill-The-Gap Portfolio aimed at highlighting strategies investors may utilize to close the gap between an average Social Security benefit and the much greater costs faced in retirement.
This portfolio has outperformed all of the broad market indexes by a very wide margin, growing dividend income and total portfolio value consistently while the broader indexes struggle in negative territory all year.
Let me show you how to build and grow your portfolio and dividend income, step by step, towards a comfortable and secure retirement.
James A. Shell is currently working as an ISO9001 Quality Systems Consultant and a technical consultant to various other industries,
A veteran of 3 decades in the petrochemical supply chain, I have worked with customers in 19 countries on four continents on formulation development, business development, recycling, logistics, and process improvement projects.