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I'm an asset manager at Hebba Alternative Investments with a focus on real assets. In my articles I like to focus on events that affect the macro environment for assets (especially gold and silver), and also introduce readers to different metrics that I believe are under-utilized when assessing investments.
On a more personal note, I'm a firm believer that there can be honesty, morality, and integrity in finance (though its rare) and i'd like to believe that I stick to those principles. Thus I never "pump and dump" stocks, I always list the securities we own, and I take it very seriously when I recommend a company - I do not want to see any investors/readers lose money because of my recommendations.
I'm not always right with recommendations, but investors and readers can know that I always tell the truth (there is no deception) and I eat my own cooking as recommendations are either always owned OR the reason I dont own them is given (usually related to restrictions on stocks I can buy).
Advising people in financial matters is a serious issue and integrity is much more important than money to me, but I do believe both can co-exist. You live with money, but after your death you only have your morality and integrity and thus i've made my choice between the two. A bit philosophical for a bio, but I dont think there's a better way to give investors my background than that.
We offer investors a free weekly email list detailing gold, silver, and general economic markets which you can sign up for at: http://www.communitysynergy.com/subscribe/hebbainvestments_subscribe.html
James A. Kostohryz has accumulated over twenty years of experience investing and trading virtually every asset class across the globe.
Kostohryz started his investment career as an analyst at one of the US's largest asset management firms covering sectors as diverse as emerging markets, banking, energy, construction, real estate, metals and mining. Later, Kostohryz became Chief Global Strategist and Head of International Investments for a major investment bank. Kostohryz currently manages his own investment firm, specializing in proprietary trading and institutional portfolio management advisory.
Born in Mexico, Kostohryz grew up between south Texas and Colombia, has lived and worked in nine different countries, and has traveled extensively in more than 50 others. Kostohryz actively pursues various intellectual interests and is currently writing a book about the impact of culture on economic development. He is a former NCAA and world-class decathlete and has stayed active in a variety of sports.
Kostohryz graduated with honors from both Stanford University and Harvard Law School.
You can receive custom delivery of all of Mr. Kostohryz's published work on Seeking Alpha, The Street, and other media, as well as exclusive material, by following the link below. It is absolutely free:
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Nigam Arora is a distinguished master of the financial markets, a popular columnist, an engineer and nuclear physicist by background, has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies, has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures, is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management, is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method to profit from change in trading and investing that has produced unrivaled investment performance in both bull and bear markets over a long period of time. Nigam's advanced mathematics skills have played a key role in the success of the combination of ZYX Change Method and the adaptive ZYX Allocation Model which automatically changes based on market conditions. The adaptiveness has overcome the weakness of conventional models in that they work for a while and then stop working as market conditions change. Nigam is the founder and Chief Investment Officer of the globally well-respected firm The Arora Report. He is also the founder of the Change Management Center. Nigam is a contributor to Forbes, MarketWatch which is an online affiliate of The Wall Street Journal, and Kitco. His writings have also been seen or referenced in numerous additional media and investment research platforms across the globe. Nigam's writings have generated over 50 million page views. His columns are routinely among the most popular and often the headline at MarketWatch. His columns have also been often among the most popular at Forbes and Seeking Alpha. People close to Nigam call him an economist due to his deep knowledge in applying leading economic indicators to call the markets to generate high risk adjusted returns. Nigam is known for his prescient calls from which subscribers to The Arora Report have handsomely benefited. Over the years, Nigam has made thousands of accurate calls on macro, individual stocks, individual ETFs, commodities including precious metals and crude oil, and currencies. Here are some of his major macro calls. STOCKS • Calls to go to 100% cash prior to the 2008 stock market cash for long only investors • Calls to go to 100% short prior to the 2008 crash for investors who were able to short • In the early stages of the decline prior to 2008 crash, calls to go heavily in inverse ETFs • In the 2008 crash when most investors lost half of the value of their portfolios, subscriber to The Arora Report made money by the boat load • Call to take profits on inverse ETFs in February 2009, just before the market bottom • Calls to take profits on all short positions in February 2009, just before the market bottom • Calls to aggressively buy stocks long in February and March of 2009 right at the market bottom • Aggressive hedging and profit taking prior to market downturn in 2011 making 2011 a profitable year for The Arora Report subscribers, a year in which most investors lost money • Staying aggressively long, at times with protective hedges, during the long bull market of 2009-2015 • Calls for up to 50% cash and aggressive hedging in late 2015 prior to the market downturn of early 2016 GOLD AND SILVER • Calls to backup the truck and buy gold in $600s with average of $663 before a run to $1904 • Calls to allocate 20% (maximum allowed under diversification rules) to silver in $16-18 range with average of $17.73 before a run to $50 • Call to sell all of the silver at $48.50 close to the to the top at just over $50 • Call to short sell silver over $50 and holding the short position all the way down to $14 range. • Call to sell half of the gold at the exact top at $1904 and put a stop on the remaining at $1750, subsequently gold fell to $1000 range. • Correctly stayed bearish on gold and silver since 2011 top to early 2016 with numerous calls to trade mostly from the short side and a handful of correct calls to take long positions to profit from countertrend rallies CRUDE OIL • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2007 in the range of $65-73 with an average of $68.71 before a run to the range of $140 in 2008 • Call to sell all of the crude oil position in 2008 at $138.87 in 2008 right near the top in $140 range • Bearish calls to sell crude oil short in 2008 in the range of $121-133 with an average of 127.34 before a fall to the $40 range • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil short position in 2009 at $41.86 right near the bottom • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2009 in the range of $43-49 with an average of $47.18 before a run to the range of $108 in 2011 • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil long position at $103.43 in 2011 • Bearish calls to sell short crude oil in the range of $108 in 2014 right near the top • Correctly stayed bearish on oil in 2014 to early 2016 as oil dropped to $27 range EUROPE • During European sovereign debt crisis when many gurus were calling for failure of euro, made the correct bold call that euro will survive as a currency and European Union would not break up • Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits CHINA • When China GDP was growing at about 12% and everyone with rare exceptions was bullish on China, made a bold bearish call that China super-cycle was over; by 2016 China true GDP growth fell to about 6% • Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits
Avi Gilburt is founder of ElliottWaveTrader.net, a live trading room and member forum focusing on Elliott Wave market analysis with over 3000 members and over 450 money manager clients. Avi emphasizes a comprehensive reading of charts and wave counts that is free of personal bias or predisposition.
Avi is an accountant and a lawyer by training. His education background includes his graduating college with dual accounting and economics majors, and he then passed all four parts of the CPA exam at once right after he graduated college. He then earned his Juris Doctorate in an advanced two and a half year program at the St. John’s School of Law in New York, where he graduated cum laude, and in the top 5% of his class. He then went onto the NYU School of Law for his masters of law in taxation (LL.M.).
Before retiring from his legal career, Avi was a partner and National Director at a major national firm. During his legal career, he spearheaded a number of acquisition transactions worth hundreds of millions to billions of dollars in value. So, clearly, Mr. Gilburt has a detailed understanding how businesses work and are valued.
Yet, when it came to learning how to accurately analyze the financial markets, Avi had to unlearn everything he learned in economics in order to maintain on the correct side of the market the great majority of the time. In fact, once he came to the realization that economics and geopolitics fail to assist in understanding how the market works, it allowed him to view financial markets from a more accurate perspective.
For those interested in how Avi went from a successful lawyer and accountant to become the founder of Elliottwavetrader.net, his detailed story is linked here.
Since Avi began providing his analysis to the public, he has made some spectacular market calls which has earned him the reputation of being one of the best technical analysts in the world.
As an example of some of his most notable astounding market calls, in July of 2011, he called for the USD to begin a multi-year rally from the 74 region to an ideal target of 103.53. In January of 2017, the DXY struck 103.82 and began a pullback expected by Avi.
As another example of one of his astounding calls, Avi called the top in the gold market during its parabolic phase in 2011, with an ideal target of $1,915. As we all know, gold hit a high of $1,921, and pulled back for over 4 years since that time. The night that gold hit its lows in December of 2015, Avi was telling his subscribers that he was on the phone with his broker buying a large order of physical gold, while he had been accumulating individual miner stocks that month, and had just opened the EWT Miners Portfolio to begin buying individual miners stocks due to his expectation of an impending low in the complex.
One of his most shocking calls in the stock market was his call in 2015 for the S&P500 to rally from the 1800SPX region to the 2600SPX region, whereas it would coincide with a “global melt-up” in many other assets. Moreover, he was banging on the table in November of 2016 that we were about to enter the most powerful phase of the rally to 2600SPX, and he strongly noted that it did not matter who won the 2016 election in the US, despite many believing that the market would “crash” if Trump would win the election. This was indeed a testament to the accuracy of the Fibonacci Pinball method that Avi developed.