I primarily write about dividend stocks, long-term strategies, and marijuana investments.
I first discovered my passion for finance and economics through active entrepreneurship in my twenties. After honorably completing my six year U.S. Marine Corps Reserve obligation and tour to Afghanistan, I now spend my time as a full time investor managing my portfolio. Outside of work I enjoy reading, travel, & films.
The Information in my articles and comments on SeekingAlpha.com or elsewhere are provided for information purposes only. Do your own research or seek the advice of a qualified professional. You are responsible for your own investment decisions.
We are in a quest to redefine investment research, applying value investing to today's technologies and business models.
Since 2015, our portfolio of US equities has yielded 168%, representing 35% annual compounded returns and outperforming the S&P 500 by 131%, with 92% of profitable trades.
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Avi Gilburt is founder of ElliottWaveTrader.net, a live trading room and member forum focusing on Elliott Wave market analysis with over 3000 members and over 450 money manager clients. Avi emphasizes a comprehensive reading of charts and wave counts that is free of personal bias or predisposition.
Avi is an accountant and a lawyer by training. His education background includes his graduating college with dual accounting and economics majors, and he then passed all four parts of the CPA exam at once right after he graduated college. He then earned his Juris Doctorate in an advanced two and a half year program at the St. John’s School of Law in New York, where he graduated cum laude, and in the top 5% of his class. He then went onto the NYU School of Law for his masters of law in taxation (LL.M.).
Before retiring from his legal career, Avi was a partner and National Director at a major national firm. During his legal career, he spearheaded a number of acquisition transactions worth hundreds of millions to billions of dollars in value. So, clearly, Mr. Gilburt has a detailed understanding how businesses work and are valued.
Yet, when it came to learning how to accurately analyze the financial markets, Avi had to unlearn everything he learned in economics in order to maintain on the correct side of the market the great majority of the time. In fact, once he came to the realization that economics and geopolitics fail to assist in understanding how the market works, it allowed him to view financial markets from a more accurate perspective.
For those interested in how Avi went from a successful lawyer and accountant to become the founder of Elliottwavetrader.net, his detailed story is linked here.
Since Avi began providing his analysis to the public, he has made some spectacular market calls which has earned him the reputation of being one of the best technical analysts in the world.
As an example of some of his most notable astounding market calls, in July of 2011, he called for the USD to begin a multi-year rally from the 74 region to an ideal target of 103.53. In January of 2017, the DXY struck 103.82 and began a pullback expected by Avi.
As another example of one of his astounding calls, Avi called the top in the gold market during its parabolic phase in 2011, with an ideal target of $1,915. As we all know, gold hit a high of $1,921, and pulled back for over 4 years since that time. The night that gold hit its lows in December of 2015, Avi was telling his subscribers that he was on the phone with his broker buying a large order of physical gold, while he had been accumulating individual miner stocks that month, and had just opened the EWT Miners Portfolio to begin buying individual miners stocks due to his expectation of an impending low in the complex.
One of his most shocking calls in the stock market was his call in 2015 for the S&P500 to rally from the 1800SPX region to the 2600SPX region, whereas it would coincide with a “global melt-up” in many other assets. Moreover, he was banging on the table in November of 2016 that we were about to enter the most powerful phase of the rally to 2600SPX, and he strongly noted that it did not matter who won the 2016 election in the US, despite many believing that the market would “crash” if Trump would win the election. This was indeed a testament to the accuracy of the Fibonacci Pinball method that Avi developed.
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Passionate about profitable investing! Education: PhD - A Real Value Risk Estimation Model for an Emerging Market Experience: Investment manager at Let it grow investments, Netherlands Assistant professor at the University of applied sciences Amsterdam, Netherlands Data researcher at Bloomberg, London UK
Researching and writing at the corner of Main St. & Wall St. where real estate often intersects with trends in: technology, ecommerce, office/industrial, healthcare, cloud computing, energy infrastructure & green initiatives.
Data Center Knowledge - I cover business and investing news in a weekly column: DCK Investor Edge. Sr Contributor writing about data centers REITs -- a new and growing asset class -- attempting to bridge the gap between technology & traditional REIT investors.
In Q4 2015, it became clear to me that public cloud "friend or foe," was going to be a positive catalyst for Data Center REITs. The global public cloud giants follow a bifurcated strategy of owning and leasing space. Another paradigm shift involved Amazon Landlords, industrial REITs which own fulfillment, warehouse/distribution, and smaller "last mile" urban infill properties, and the DC REITs which support exponential growth of the AWS public cloud (as well as MSFT Azure, Google Cloud Platform, IBM Cloud, Oracle Cloud, Salesforce, and others).
Many SA readers have followed my work over the past few years to profit from my expertise, research and analysis. The majority of my insights and analysis are now published on REITs 4 Alpha, an SA Marketplace service where members get real-time access on Live Chat each day the market is open.
I have over 25 years of experience as a: developer of institutional quality office and industrial facilities, general contractor, homebuilder, managing general partner for private limited partnerships, and have performed consulting and transactional real estate services for others, including entitlements for planned commercial/office/industrial developments.
Past job experience included: V.P. of Energy Services for a Florida based Mechanical Contracting company, which subsequently was acquired by EMCOR (NYSE: EME). Responsibilities included development and "financial engineering" of projects to reduce energy consumption and total cost of ownership solutions, partnered with the two major Florida electric utilities, and private companies, (including Enron Energy Services!).
Education: UCLA - BA Economics, including graduate coursework in Real Estate Finance.
Masters Degree from St. Thomas University - Miami, FL
Machine learning and AI to for smarter investing for stocks, ETFs & mutual funds. Quality over quantity. No daily prognostications about markets, just high quality fundamental research.
Our forensic accounting technology analyzes thousands of documents to ensure you get the truth about profits and valuation. We are 100% independent and objective.
Ernst & Young demonstrates the material superiority of our research in the white paper "Getting ROIC Right".
Harvard Business School featured our unique technological capabilities in “New Constructs: Disrupting Fundamental Analysis with Robo-Analysts”.
David is CEO of New Constructs (www.newconstructs.com). David is a distinguished investment strategist and corporate finance expert. He was a 5-yr member of FASB's Investors Advisory Committee. He is author of the Chapter “Modern Tools for Valuation” in The Valuation Handbook (Wiley Finance 2010).
Having always been a learning machine, I speak five languages, have worked as a sales agent, project manager, translator, computer consultant, software engineer, built a house with my own hands, published books and essays on literature, philosophy and art, have written for magazines of various kinds in different countries.
After retiring early in 2004, little by little, I have become a fund manager for some friends and myself, following the principles of value investing laid out by Benjamin Graham, Phil Fisher, Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett.
In 2015 I won the Seeking Alpha Contrarian Contest and have been a regular contributor to Seeking Alpha Pro right from the start.
I strive to gather above-average knowledge about my stock picks. As this takes many hours, despite managing my portfolio full-time, you should not expect me to throw out new ideas each and every week.
One can't be an expert on everything, but can try to acquire deep knowledge about a careful selection of businesses. Only knowledge can provide the required conviction to profit from temporary market inefficiencies (i.e. buy into a sell-off).
If you want to learn more about my research process, take a look at my Marketplace service "Stability & Opportunity". It offers access to the totality of my research notes and updates several times daily on average.
Legal Disclaimer: My contributions to Seeking Alpha, or elsewhere on the web, are to be construed as personal opinion only and do NOT constitute investment advice. An investor should always conduct personal due diligence before initiating a position. Provided articles and comments should NEVER be construed as official business recommendations. In efforts to keep full transparency, related positions will be disclosed at the end of each article to the maximum extent practicable. My own trades are reported in my subscription service "Stability & Opportunity", but this cannot always be guaranteed due to technical constraints.
My premium service is a research and opinion subscription. No personalized investment advice will ever be given. I am not registered as an investment adviser, nor do I have any plans to pursue this path. No statements should be construed as anything but opinion, and the liability of all investment decisions reside with the individual. Although I do my utmost to procure high quality information, investors should always do their own due diligence and fact check all research prior to making any investment decisions. Any direct engagements with readers should always be viewed as hypothetical examples or simple exchanges of opinion as nothing is ever classified as “advice” in any sense of the word.
I am a 41 year old investor with a long term perspective and a lot of patience. I mainly think about the future when investing in stocks. I do not care about what my selection of stocks will do next year, but what the result will be in 2040 or so. To paraphrase Warren Buffett: "You should only have stocks that you would feel comfortable having if the stock market closed up for 10 years." That means that I look for stocks that have either growth or value or combine the two. It has been proven that the group of dividend initiators and fastest dividend growers outperforms the markets by far in the long run. So I mainly select stocks from this group, although I also select high growth non-dividend payers that I believe will grow out to great multibagger. Hence: from Growth to Value. I appreciate your comments, because I believe I can learn a lot from your feedback and I believe in the wisdom of crowds.
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.
I rub shoulders with the brightest and sharpest financial minds on a full-time basis. I have made great calls, I have made stupid calls over the course of my career as a professional investment executive.
As a student of the market, I use my educational background in psychology and business to understand the market environment and identify opportunities for generating performance. I have completed my MBA, obtained my CFA charter and I am a licensed derivatives trader.
My biggest aspiration for contributing on SA is to shine a light on stocks, bonds and volatility instruments so that the readers may learn and profit. I also find writing to be quite stimulative and helps me improve my thought process, which is a huge bonus.
Traded and Analyzed long/short equities, generally with an Asian focus. Specialize in the Tech Space, Metals and Mining, Gaming and Special/Deep Value situations. 12 years of experience. What feel's like 12 years of getting lied to by various managements. 12 years at an Asian focused fund the basis of my skepticism. More bad investments than I care to remember but you need to remember the bad ones. It's the only way we learn. If I can help one person avoid a land mine than this is a worthwhile endeavor. Use both Fundamentals and Technicals. My idea's are my own and may not represent the views or positions of my firm.
Karen Webster is one of the world’s leading experts on emerging payments and a strategic advisor to CEOs and Boards of multinational players in the payments and commerce space. As the CEO of Market Platform Dynamics, she works extensively with the most innovative players in the payments, financial services, mobile, B2B, digital media and technology sectors to identify, ignite and monetize innovation. Ms. Webster also serves as a member of the board for several emerging companies and helps these innovators develop and implement business strategies that drive market adoption for their products and services.
Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson is the Global Investment Strategist for Hartford Funds and Asset Allocation Strategist at Wellington Management Company. She has more than 25 years of experience in the capital markets, having held a variety of roles spanning the major asset classes. As global investment strategist, she analyzes and interprets markets and investment opportunities for Hartford Funds’ sales organization, the financial advisor community, and major broker-dealers and distributors. She also advises Wellington Management’s institutional clients, including pension funds, insurance companies, endowments and foundations, and central banks, consulting on strategic asset allocation issues to develop multi-asset investment solutions.
Brad Lamensdorf, a seasoned money manager started SQZZ ETF to take advantage of short squeeze opportunities. He also writes is The Lamensdorf Market Timing Report, a newsletter designed to help investors improve performance via market timing by assessing the environment of the stock market using a variety of technical, fundamental and sentiment-oriented tools from powerful independent research firms. Many investors mechanically enter and depart the market without a true “game plan.” Studies have shown that retail investors, in particular, are very poor market timers, tending to invest at or near market peaks and sell at or near market lows. The newsletter is designed to provide risk parameters for both professional and retail investors around the short-term stock market environment, giving subscribers better insight about when to allocate assets into or out of the equity markets.
Lamensdorf, a frequent guest commentator and analyst on major business networks including CNBC, CNN and Fox Business News.
Lamensdorf, also has managed investment portfolios for the Hughes family and acted as principal of Tarpon Partners, managing a long/short fund that was up more than tripling the fund over six years. Earlier in his career, he was as an equity trader/market strategist for Taylor and Company, the Bass brothers’ trading arm, co-managing a short-only strategy in a derivative format with notional exposure. He also served as the in-house market timing strategist for the entire internal and external network of Bass managers.
Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets?, (2) How much should we allocate to conservative assets?, (3) What are the most attractive risk assets?, and (4) What are the most attractive conservative assets?
Chris is an expert in identifying the best ETFs from a wide variety of asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and precious metals. The CCM Market Model compares over 130 different ETFs to identify the most attractive risk-reward opportunities.
Chris graduated summa cum laude from The Georgia Institute of Technology with a co-operative degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering. Prior to founding Ciovacco Capital Management in 1999, Mr. Ciovacco worked as a Financial Advisor for Morgan Stanley in Atlanta for five years earning a strong reputation for his independent research and high integrity. While at Georgia Tech, he gained valuable experience working as a co-op for IBM (1985-1990). During his time with Morgan Stanley, Chris received extensive training which included extended stays in NYC at the World Trade Center.
His areas of expertise include technical analysis and market model development. CCM’s popular weekly technical analysis videos on YouTube have been viewed over 700,000 times. Chris’ years of experience and research led to the creation of the thoroughly backtested CCM Market Model, which serves as the foundation for the management of separate accounts for individuals and businesses.
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JG Investment Research delivers a complete and detailed investment analysis mostly on small and mid-cap companies on Seeking Alpha. We have won several awards, including being named as one of TipRanks' “Top 100” financial bloggers with an average return per recommendation at 25.4%.
Bob McTeer is a Distinguished Fellow at the National Center for Policy Analysis (NCPA), covering macro-economic issues, including monetary policy, fiscal policy, tax and education policy. NCPA is a nonprofit, nonpartisan market-oriented public policy institute headquartered in Dallas, Texas, with offices in Washington, D.C. See www.ncpa.org.
Prior to joining the NCPA in January 2007, Bob was Chancellor of the Texas A&M University System from November 4, 2004 through November 22, 2006. The Texas A&M University System is composed of 9 universities, 7 state agencies and a statewide health science center. The system has approximately 25,000 employees and budgets totaling $2.5 billion. Its universities have approximately 102,000 students, including about 45,000 at its flagship, Texas A&M University in College Station.
Before becoming Chancellor of the Texas A&M University System, Bob had a 36-year career with the Federal Reserve System, including 14 years as President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). While at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond in the 1970s, Bob taught economics as an adjunct faculty member at the University of Richmond and Virginia Commonwealth University. While he ran the Richmond Fed’s Baltimore Branch in the 1980s, Bob taught two classes per semester in the evening program of The Johns Hopkins University.
Bob got his B.B.A. and Ph.D. in economics from the University of Georgia and taught there for two years before joining the Fed in 1968. His graduate education was financed by a National Defense Education Act (NDEA) fellowship. He holds an honorary doctorate in the Humane Letters from Austin College.
Bob serves on the Boards of Directors the Westwood Holdings Group, and Refocus Group. He is a former member of the Board of Overseers of UGA’s Terry College of Business, where he was named Distinguished Alumnus in 1991. He is past president of the Association of Private Enterprise Education, a national association of free enterprise scholars and others who advocate market solutions to public policy problems, and a former board member of the National Council on Economic Education. Bob was featured as a Texas Legend in Business in 2004 by the Texas Cable News Network.
As a Fed policymaker, Bob gained a national reputation as an independent voice, or maverick, dissenting from the Alan Greenspan majority twice in 1999 and once in 2002.
His dissents and his outspoken views and plain talk got him the labels “Lone Star Loner” and “The Lonesome Dove.” He says he’s been called worse.
Bob’s free-market views in general and his vigorous support of free-trade in particular, gave the Dallas Fed its reputation during his tenure as “The Free-Enterprise Fed.” Bob is a CNBC contributor. He has written numerous opinion pieces for the Wall Street Journal and other publications and has spoken worldwide.
Bob’s poetry and vignettes have been featured twice on the Dallas Community News Network. You may find these and other articles and speeches on www.BobMcTeer.com.
Long term prudent individual investor. Never speculate.
Like companies that have special edges or can survive difficulties and crisis. Love high premium and low risk buyout opportunities, profiting from market inefficiency. Prefer small companies and contrarian strategies. Always on the long side and never shorting. Shun dividend stocks.
I may write, on seekingalpha, when I feel strongly seeing things that the public doesn't.