As a data analyst, Freddy Hutter of Trendlines Research provides guidance in chart format on the specialties of peak oil, realty bubbles, baseline GDP projections and election predictions. Virtually each day an update is published to the website's MemberVenue. All charts are made publicly available the site's FreeVenue after a 90-day exclusivity to subscribers. TRENDLines coverage commenced in 1989, but Hutter's macro economic guidance goes back to 1971. Accurate and timely analysis includes the TRENDLines Recession Indicators (TRI) for Canada, China & USA; the Realty Bubble Monitor's tracking of housing bubbles in Australia, Canada, UK & USA; the Barrel Meter's tracking of price components for gasoline and crude oil along with 1/5/10/23-year crude price projections; and the PS2500's multi-century forecast for oil production & depletion; and the Debt Wall - USA 30-year Debt/Deficit projections. Randomly the firm provides c02 projections on the effects of fossil fuel contribution to climate change; and key international election forecasts.
I could put on this bio my education, work experience, investment strategy, and a nice thin (if I can find one) picture of me in a suit looking *smart*. Sorry but that's not my intent here. Sure I invest, help family make financial decisions, and make a ton of mistakes along the way. But my time spent here is to give all a formula for a well rounded view of fellow investors ideas and recommendations.
My goal is to have posters and investors educate one another so that eventually everyone has the opportunity to make money !! We should all have that same end game. Put the daily noise aside and think "outside the box" !!
I find investments are very different and difficult in these extremely Interesting Times!! We hear whispers of manipulation. QE'S that have never been done before. Then we have a template experiment in Cyprus to see the worlds reaction. I just ask everyone to sit back and ask themselves " 10 years ago would we even have thought a Cyprus could occur? "
Tossing ideas around is always fun....Authors posting their links on our blog is welcomed as well. Newbies with questions are urged to post. Either you learn from the answers or have asked a question no one has thought of . Either way that is EDUCATING !!
So feel free to join us !!
Professional investment portfolio management since 1974. CFA Charter (1981). Juris Doctor degree, Northwestern University School of Law (1965). Founder, current Chairman and CEO, Askari Equity Management LLC, successor corporation to RIA asset management proprietorship since 1974. "Semi-retired". Interested in consulting to small investment firms and to institutional clients. Very limited willingness to accept new accounts. Practiced corporate law in Chicago (1968-1982); including General Counsel to minority-enterprise Small Business Investment Company. Service on various Boards in Tucson, AZ (1980s-1990s) Peace Corps Volunteer, Kenya (1966-1967).
e21: Economic Policies for the 21st Century is a Washington-based center of the nonprofit, nonpartisan Manhattan Institute dedicated to economic research and innovative public policies for the 21st century. Drawing on the expertise of practitioners, policymakers, and academics, we aim to advance free enterprise, fiscal discipline, economic growth, and the rule of law.
Have managed money for clients as an independent advisor since 1991. Published a newsletter ECONOMIC LEADS from 1988 to 1993. Have an economics degree from Vanderbilt University. Focus on the macro picture forecasting the US economy and broad stock market. Also have a model to estimate long term equity returns for several countries.
Dr. Chauvet is a professor of Economics and the Chair of the Latin American Studies Program, and Graduate Economics Advisor at the University of California Riverside (UCR). Professor Chauvet is one of the founding members and spokesperson for the Brazilian Business Cycle Dating Committee since 2005.
Professor Chauvet has contributed articles to numerous renowned scholarly journals. Her articles have received several awards and recognitions. Her research has been featured in the financial press, including The New York Times, The Financial Times, The Washington Post, and several international newspapers. Professor Chauvet’s research focus is on macroeconomics and financial markets, and she is particularly interested in measuring and forecasting economic conditions, especially recessions, recoveries, and booms. She has developed a real‐time recession prediction model that is widely popular in the media and business community. She is consulted frequently by the U.S. government, foreign governments, and the regional and international business community. The model gives a real time assessment of the strength or weakness of the economy on a current basis and the results are regularly posted on her webpage.
Prior to joining the UCR faculty in 1995, she worked at the Ministry of Industry in Brazil, where she served as a research economist and policy adviser. She worked as a senior economist and associate policy adviser for the Research Division at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. She has been a visiting scholar at numerous government organizations, including the International Monetary Fund, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, and the University of Brasilia. She has also been a consultant to international institutions, governments, Central Banks and to the private sector.
She received her M.S. in economic policy from the University of Brasilia and M.S. and Ph.D. in economics from the University of Pennsylvania.
Michael William Sunner, Ph.D.
SUNNER & ASSOCIATES
Michael William Sunner was a senior manager at Treasury for over 23 years and was responsible for overall compliance with Treasury’s auction program and risk management activities. Previously he was responsible for Treasury’s financing operations, which includes auctions and buybacks of Treasury marketable debt securities and operational oversight of the Federal Reserve’s “Fedwire Securities Service,” which issues, holds, maintains, transfers, and redeems Treasury marketable debt securities (i.e., the National Book-Entry System).
He helped lead the Treasury-Federal Reserve Project Team that implemented Treasury’s Automated Auction Processing System (TAAPS) in 1993, and was the key person responsible for the codification of Treasury’s auction rules in that same year. He was project manager for Treasury’s Inflation-Indexed Securities, which were implemented in 1997, and he also was responsible for developing and implementing Treasury’s buy-back program and its comprehensive auction compliance program. He was the lead in the redesign and engineering of Treasury’s auction processes in order to implement a 2-minute auction, and has had management responsibility for Treasury’s systems development and design teams for over 15 years. These project groups developed, enabled, and deployed two separate versions of TAAPSLink (TL v1 and TL v2). The version TL v2, provided Primary Dealers access over a Virtual Private Network using frame relay, which supports a web-based browser bidding system and was used exclusively by Primary Dealers to submit bids for Treasury’s marketable debt auctions. This basic infrastructure is still used today with the current TAAPS, which was deployed after 5 years of design and development work on April 7, 2008.
He led Treasury’s 2004 Auction Enhancement Project which involved changing Treasury’s pricing convention to 6-decimals in all auction automated systems, providing for negative yield bidding for TIPS, zero-filling rates/yields for all bids submitted with less than 3 decimals, and providing the news services with additional auction statistics electronically using XML technology. The project also implemented raising the noncompetitive bid and award limits for Treasury bills to $5 million.
Michael has worked in various federal, state, and local government programs for over 30 years. He joined the Treasury in 1988, and he holds a Master's and Ph.D. in Political Science with specialties in Public Administration, Constitutional, International, and Public law. His doctoral dissertation topic was on Newsmen’s Privilege, and First Amendment rights. He has published several articles on debt collection and Treasury debt financing (1985-1995), and co-authored an article (1999) explaining the fungibility of Treasury interest payments for inflation-indexed securities (TIPS). In May 2004, he published an article on “Continuous Improvement in Treasury’s Debt Management Program.” His most recent publication was released in October 2007 in the Journal of Securities Compliance, Volume 1, Number 1, “U.S. Treasury Auction Compliance: How Dealer Visits are Conducted, What is Discussed and Treasury Expectations for Auction Participation.” He is currently working on a publication that takes the reader from the 1990’s Salomon debacle to present day Treasury auctions. Publication date is expected to be in March 2011.
Over his years of service, he advised staff on improving Treasury’s automated auction systems especially with respect to managing operational risk, security, and regulatory compliance. As part of furtherance of a global risk management strategy, he established an additional Treasury auction contingency site in 2003, which is now fully operational. Dr. Sunner worked closely with the primary dealer community to ensure that auctions and settlement of Treasury securities would continue in the event of a major disaster event. Toward that end, he developed a Strategic Plan for Business Continuity, agreed to by the United States Treasury, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and 18 Primary Dealers. He was a regular speaker at industry conferences sponsored by SIFMA and the Global Investment Operations group. He also participated regularly on SIFMA’s Operations Committee. Dr. Sunner’s new book, Borrowing Through the U.S. Treasury’s “Fast Money Tree,” The Need to Balance Austerity and Growth in the 21st Century is available through Amazon and Borders.
A new age platform for the latest in finance and everything else.
Through Bidness Etc, we’re bringing the 99% back in the loop by presenting the best financial research in the simplest and most creative ways possible.
We have distilled a decade and billions of dollars’ worth of trading experience into developing the idea behind Bidness Etc, and we feel we can do a better job of analyzing and reporting financial matters than anyone else.
We are a team of more than 60 financial wizards, musicians, rock stars, artists, singers, aspiring philosophers and tech geeks working hard to change the way human beings think and interact with finance.
We know that quality financial analysis requires a higher level of intelligence, and that what is reported by financial media is too far behind the curve to be of any relevance to the savvy reader. Here’s our solution to that problem: a platform that gives away the best information and analysis out there for free, thereby democratizing individuals’ access to finance. We’re also pushing the envelope by delivering it visually.
We feel that by doing so, Bidness Etc. will become humanity’s first step into a new age for financial media, and that we’ll set the standards for tomorrow with our revolutionary new product.
And that’s not all.
We know that figures, facts, numbers and stats can get quite mind-numbing after a while. Therein lies the kicker: we’re presenting our data in the most visually appealing ways possible. By doing so, we are quite literally transforming financial reporting into a new form of art. We have also incorporated an entertainment section in our website, which tracks the global zeitgeist and provides our take on the hottest topics trending on the web. We feel that this will help us take finance to the mainstream, and complete what the Bidness Etc. experience is all about.
This is a beta version of our web portal. We hope it will keep you coming back for more, because we have a major surprise in store for readers for the month of November. Here’s a spoiler, though: finance will never have looked better once we go all out! And you’ll know we’ve meant Bidness all along when we claim to become the best place on the web.
I am Seeking Alpha's CEO and Editor-in-Chief. My love for the stock markets goes back to when I was a kid. Who else remembers combing through the stock quotes at the back of the business section of your local paper?
I joined Seeking Alpha in 2006 and launched Wall Street Breakfast and Market Currents, our top-of-class short-form breaking news for investors. In 2010 I became editor-in-chief and in 2015 I became CEO.
I live in Jerusalem with my wife and a bunch of exceptional kids. Most days, you'll find me making the commute from Jerusalem to Raanana. Occasionally I get to work from my home-office, from where I keep an eye on the beautiful Judean Hills.
To contact me, send me a direct message, or email me at firstname.lastname@example.org.
I am engaged in trading Asian emerging market currencies and formerly the accountant for and a staff member of a local non profit business engaged in community service.
Please understand, the views I express are my own and are not intended to influence any positions other than my own and for our business. I have a degree in business management with an emphasis in economics.
Formerly enlisted in USAF Air Defense, both ballistic missile and aerospace defense, including joint service counter narcotics surveillance and deployments under imminent danger.
I was a partner in a small business, now a retired saver being punished by the central bank.
Nothing I write should be considered investment advice. Only you can decide if any specific financial asset, security, allocation, opinion, idea, etc. is best for your financial portfolio.
Author of two books, available here, Options Strategies Every Investor Should Know and The 5 Fundamentals of Building a Retirement Portfolio (both available in paperback and eBook).
I'm the lead investment research analyst for income and dividend investing at Investors Alley, an independent investment research service. My primary role is editor of several investment advisories bringing actionable income and dividend investment recommendations to investors hungry for yield with relative safety. These advisories include The Dividend Hunter, 30 Day Dividends, and Automatic Income Machine.
Prior to joining Investors Alley, I was a stock broker, a Certified Financial Planner, and an F-16 fighter pilot and flight instructor with the United States Air Force. In addition to my primary duty of flying the F-16 to defend our nation's skies I was an instructor in the F-16 Flying Falcon as well as the OV-10 Bronco. During my time in the service I was stationed at various military locations in including Osan AB, Korea, Patrick AFB, Florida, and Nellis AFB in Las Vegas. I graduated from the United States Air Force Academy with a degree in mathematics.
It was during those years when I was a Certified Financial Planner and helping families and individuals plan their finances and make wise investment decisions that found my second passion in life: investment research. (Flying was and still is my first.)
My area of specialty is evaluating income generating investments to find the combination of sustainable and growing dividends, special dividend opportunities, and share price appreciation driven by management's commitment to dividend growth. I have a particular emphasis on master limited partnerships, business development corporations, and real estate investment trusts.
I've previously written for USA Today, The Motley Fool, eHow, SFGate, Chron.com, Wikinvest.com, Moneynews.com, iStockAnalyst, among others, and have contributed vast firsthand research to a major provider of data on master limited partnerships, another area of extreme interest to me. Along with my duties with Investors Alley I'm a regular contributor to Seeking Alpha.
In addition to the articles posted here on Seeking Alpha you can find my investment analysis on the Investors Alley website and the weekly newsletter, The Market Cap.
Avi Gilburt is founder of ElliottWaveTrader.net, a live trading room and member forum focusing on Elliott Wave market analysis with over 3000 members and over 450 money manager clients. Avi emphasizes a comprehensive reading of charts and wave counts that is free of personal bias or predisposition.
Avi is an accountant and a lawyer by training. His education background includes his graduating college with dual accounting and economics majors, and he then passed all four parts of the CPA exam at once right after he graduated college. He then earned his Juris Doctorate in an advanced two and a half year program at the St. John’s School of Law in New York, where he graduated cum laude, and in the top 5% of his class. He then went onto the NYU School of Law for his masters of law in taxation (LL.M.).
Before retiring from his legal career, Avi was a partner and National Director at a major national firm. During his legal career, he spearheaded a number of acquisition transactions worth hundreds of millions to billions of dollars in value. So, clearly, Mr. Gilburt has a detailed understanding how businesses work and are valued.
Yet, when it came to learning how to accurately analyze the financial markets, Avi had to unlearn everything he learned in economics in order to maintain on the correct side of the market the great majority of the time. In fact, once he came to the realization that economics and geopolitics fail to assist in understanding how the market works, it allowed him to view financial markets from a more accurate perspective.
For those interested in how Avi went from a successful lawyer and accountant to become the founder of Elliottwavetrader.net, his detailed story is linked here.
Since Avi began providing his analysis to the public, he has made some spectacular market calls which has earned him the reputation of being one of the best technical analysts in the world.
As an example of some of his most notable astounding market calls, in July of 2011, he called for the USD to begin a multi-year rally from the 74 region to an ideal target of 103.53. In January of 2017, the DXY struck 103.82 and began a pullback expected by Avi.
As another example of one of his astounding calls, Avi called the top in the gold market during its parabolic phase in 2011, with an ideal target of $1,915. As we all know, gold hit a high of $1,921, and pulled back for over 4 years since that time. The night that gold hit its lows in December of 2015, Avi was telling his subscribers that he was on the phone with his broker buying a large order of physical gold, while he had been accumulating individual miner stocks that month, and had just opened the EWT Miners Portfolio to begin buying individual miners stocks due to his expectation of an impending low in the complex.
One of his most shocking calls in the stock market was his call in 2015 for the S&P500 to rally from the 1800SPX region to the 2600SPX region, whereas it would coincide with a “global melt-up” in many other assets. Moreover, he was banging on the table in November of 2016 that we were about to enter the most powerful phase of the rally to 2600SPX, and he strongly noted that it did not matter who won the 2016 election in the US, despite many believing that the market would “crash” if Trump would win the election. This was indeed a testament to the accuracy of the Fibonacci Pinball method that Avi developed.
I am a passionate business thinker who loves analyzing companies from a micro, macro, and leadership perspective. My goal is to give viewers both fundamental and technical analysis, so they can make more informed investment decisions and ultimately gain one new perspective on the company at hand.
Peter Morici is a Professor of Business at the University of Maryland. Prior to joining the University, he served as Director of Economics at the U.S. International Trade Commission. He directed the agency's professional economists working on ITC investigations and provided international economic policy advice to the House Ways and Means and Senate Finance Committees, U.S. Trade Representative, Council of Economic Advisors, and other government agencies.
Dr. Morici received his Ph.D. in Economics from the State University of New York at Albany in 1974. From 1974 to 1976, he taught at Augsburg College in Minneapolis. In 1976, he joined the Federal Energy Administration, and in 1978, moved to the National Planning Association in Washington. At NPA, Dr. Morici served in positions of increasing research and managerial responsibility and was elected a Vice President in 1983. Dr. Morici joined the University of Maine as a Professor of Economics in 1988 and was Director of its Canadian-American Center from 1990 to 1993.
An acknowledged expert on international economics and agreements, macroeconomics, and industrial policy, he has advised many leading corporations and governments regarding trade and regulatory issues. He serves on the Reuters macroeconomic forecasting panel. His views are frequently featured on CNN, Reuters Financial Network, Bloomberg News, CNBC, ABC, Fox, National Public Radio and Broadcasting, and the BBC, and in columns on the opinion pages of newspapers and portals in the United States and abroad.
The Ford, Rockefeller, Sloan, Donner, and several other foundations have supported his work. He is the author of 18 books and monographs. Among these are: Reconciling Trade and the Environment in the World Trade Organization; Labor Standards in the Global Trading System; Antitrust in the Global Trading System: Reconciling U.S., Japanese and EU Approaches; Setting U.S. Goals for WTO Negotiations ; The Trade Deficit: Where Does It Come from and What Does It Do; Free Trade in the Americas: An Architecture for Hemispheric Integration; Trade Talks with Mexico: A Time for Realism; Making Free Trade Work: The Canada-U.S. Agreement; and Reassessing American Competitiveness. He has published widely in leading public policy and business journals such as Foreign Policy, International Economy, Regulation, Asian Wall Street Journal, and the Harvard Business Review.
Founded in 1990, TrimTabs Investment Research is the leading independent institutional research firm focused on the supply and demand of shares of stock and the money available for investment. Our key premise – which we term Liquidity Theory – is that stock prices are a function of liquidity rather than value. Like the prices of any tradable good, the prices of stocks are driven primarily by supply and demand.
Unlike most quantitative stock-evaluation models, which focus on easily available price, volume, and earnings data, Liquidity Theory insights depend on detailed data on asset flows and how they shift over time. Since data on the supply and demand for stocks is scattered across so many sources, most strategies ignore stock market liquidity altogether.
By maintaining detailed quantitative models that track key areas of market liquidity and changes in the supply and demand for equities and equity-like vehicles, TrimTabs provides our clients with comprehensive real-time analysis of all aspects of equity-market liquidity.
On the supply side, we measure changes in the float of shares by aggregating corporate actions. On the demand side, we track the money moving into and out of the stock market by measuring the flows into and out of mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, and hedge funds. To obtain an early edge on future liquidity trends, our Real Time Macro research focuses on real-time measures of consumer income and employment. Follow TrimTabs and Charles Biderman on Twitter, @CharlesBiderman
As Chairman of Guggenheim Investments and Global Chief Investment Officer, Mr. Minerd guides the Firm’s investment strategies and leads its research on global macroeconomics. Prior to joining Guggenheim Partners, Mr. Minerd was a managing director at Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse. He is involved in leadership roles at a number of civically-minded organizations, including Cedars-Sinai Medical Center and Strategic Partners Among Nations.
Economics PhD, Business School Dean, University Chancellor, Books and articles on macroeconomics, economic development, unemployment, and taxation. Legislator on ways and means committee, Regulatory commissioner, CEO Newspaper and radio station chain, CEO of Internet company. Investor,
Operates a forecasting consultancy and manages individual investment accounts oriented towards long-term appreciation. Presently he is funding high risk/high return micro-equity investments overseas.
Hale Stewart spent 5 years as a bond broker in the late 1990s before returning to law school in the early 2000s. He is currently a tax lawyer in Houston, Texas. He has an LLM from the Thomas Jefferson School of Law in domestic and international taxation where he graduated Magna Cum Laude He is the author of the book US Captive Insurance Law, Captive Insurance in Plain English and the Lifetime Income Security Solution.
Follow me on Twitter at @originalbonddad
You can read his legal analysis on his law office's blog.
Dr. Moors has appeared over 1,400 times as a featured television and radio commentator in North America, Europe and Russia, including ABC, BBC, Bloomberg TV, CBS, CNN, NBC, Russian RTV and regularly on Fox Business Network.
A professor in the Graduate Center for Social and Public Policy at Duquesne University, where he also directs the Energy Policy Research Group, Moors has developed international educational programs and he runs training sessions for multiple U.S. government agencies. And until recent revisions in U.S. policy, Dr. Moors was slated to be the deputy director of the Iraq Reconstruction Management Office (IRMO) in Baghdad.
Please visit him at OilandEnergyInvestor.com
Disclaimer: Money Morning and Stansberry & Associates Investment Research are separate companies, and entirely distinct. Their only common thread is a shared parent company, Agora Inc. Agora Inc. was named in the suit by the SEC and was exonerated by the court, and thus dropped from the case. Stansberry & Associates was found civilly liable for a matter that dealt with one writer’s report on a company. The action was not a criminal matter. The case is still on appeal, and no final decision has been made.
My name is Scott Sumner and I have taught economics at Bentley University for the past 27 years. I earned a BA in economics at Wisconsin and a PhD at Chicago. My research has been in the field of monetary economics, particularly the role of the gold standard in the Great Depression. I had just begun research on the relationship between cultural values and neoliberal reforms, when I got pulled back into monetary economics by the current crisis.
Cited by Barron's as one of the top financial websites to visit on the weekend, Financial Sense (www.financialsense.com) provides educational resources to the broad public audience through a daily podcast, editorials, current news and resource links on salient financial market issues. Begun in 1985 as a local talk radio program, Financial Sense Newshour (www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour) is a weekly webcast with host Jim Puplava and top financial thinkers. Writing staff of Financial Sense includes: Jim Puplava, Chris Puplava, Ryan Puplava, and Cris Sheridan.
The Atlanta Fed's macroblog provides commentary on economic topics including monetary policy, macroeconomic developments, financial issues and Southeast regional trends. Authors for macroblog are Dave Altig and other Atlanta Fed economists.
Chief economist and editor-in-chief of Visible Economy LLC, a new venture that combines news and education. As an economist and journalist, I focus mainly on growth and innovation, short-term and long-term. I blog at http://www.southmountaineconomics.com ("Mandel on Innovation and Growth"). Former chief economist at BusinessWeek.
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.