I'm a chartered accountant by profession, hailing from India, who is also pursuing CFA. I look for investments that generate strong value in the long run, and also help investors avoid pitfalls through my analysis.
I have a new website (http://theknifecatcher.com) -- Hooray! SO, if you wanted to get a deeper dive into my philosophy or just wanted to check it out (there are some easter eggs in there) it'll be updated periodically.
Some motivational quotes below, if you ever find yourself bleeding from a failing knife.
"Investment success doesn't come from “buying good things,” but rather from “buying things well.” (Howard Marks)
"Cycles always prevail eventually. Nothing goes in one direction forever. Trees don't grow to the sky. Few things go to zero. And there’s little that’s as dangerous for investor health as insistence on extrapolating today’s events into the future." (Howard Marks)
"The received wisdom is that risk increases in the recession and falls in the booms. In contrast, it may be more helpful to think of risk as increasing during the upswings, as financial imbalances build up, and materializing in recessions" (Andrew Crockett)
“To buy when others are despondently selling and to sell when others are euphorically buying takes the greatest courage, but provides the greatest profit.” (Sir John Templeton)
I've retired from a career in commercial Real Estate. Now I manage a conservative portfolio of blue chip equities. I target dividend-paying blue chips on sale. The majority of my articles will focus on what I know best (and what is under-covered on Seeking Alpha), Canadian mid and large caps. REITs are my focus, though I dabble in everything. Ranked 8th on Seeking Alpha for Services stocks!
To get notified when I release a new article simply hit the orange follow button above!
Connect with me on Twitter!
Contributors: Scott Tzu, Parke Shall, Thom Lachenmann
(contributors write under pen names for anonymity purposes)
Please read Seeking Alpha's Policy on Anonymous Contributors to familiarize yourself with the site's terms and conditions relating to anonymous authors.
Steven H. Goldman is a commercial litigation lawyer and senior partner in the Toronto law firm of Goldman Hine LLP. Steven graduated with a B.A., President's Medal recipient (1976, Carleton University, Ottawa, Ontario) and J.D. (1980, Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario). He is a former member of the board of directors of Tribute Pharmaceuticals Inc., a Canadian public pharmaceutical company which recently merged with Pozen Pharmaceuticals on February 5, 2016, and now known as Aralez Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: ARLZ), and a former member of the board of directors of Select Sands Corp. (TSX.Venture: SNS.V), having resigned from the board on December 21, 2016. He is currently a member of the board of directors of Comstock Metals Ltd. (TSX.V: CSL.V) which trade on the TSX Venture exchange, and member of the Executive of the Ontario Bar Association, Franchise Law Section. Steven was President & CEO of Speedy AutoService and Minute Muffer from December 2007 to December 31, 2009 (with approximately 160 locations across Canada).
With over thirty years experience in the securities and investment industry, including Director of Research at First National Bank of Maryland, Portfolio Manager of over $1.5 billion in US and Canadian equities at General Accident Insurance Company and Co- manager of the $2.3 billion Large Cap Growth Fund at BlackRock, currently Steven Ralston, CFA, is providing independent research through Zacks Small-Cap Research on small and micro cap companies in the consumer staples and resources sectors, including the mining, petroleum and alternative energy industries. As a Senior Analyst, Steven generates comprehensive investment reports on 8 companies. In his spare time, he is conducting research on the integration of proven expert systems with Chaos theory on the ultimate complex system, the U.S. equity market.
I manage a long-only investment partnership. I primarily invest in great businesses with competitive advantages and long growth runways when they become cheap and unpopular. I intend to hold these investments for 5-10 years, or ideally forever, to allow business value to compound over time.
The limited partners in my fund are high net worth individuals who appreciate value investing principles and who have both the capital and the temperament to truly invest for the long term. This investor base is a competitive advantage because it allows me to invest in businesses that have bright futures at attractive prices due to an uncertain near-term outlook.
The fund is not a good match for everyone. If you think you might be a good match for the fund, and are an accredited investor who has capital you don't need for another purpose for at least the next five years, please contact me for more information.
Long Hill Road Capital is a pseudonym I use on Seeking Alpha for regulatory reasons.
I am the impassioned pundit at whyistherestillhunger.com.
I have long studied and written about hunger, as it killed some members of my family (a generation before me). Currently I am dedicating much of my life to convincing people that hunger can be abolished this year. A relatively small investment of about $30 billion would end the holocaust of hunger and slow population growth tremendously (as mothers are convinced that their children will survive).
I have also been studying and investing in alternative energy companies for several years. A generational shift in attitudes about the climate and air quality continues to move policy in the direction of cleaner energy.
Shudeep Chandrasekhar is a business consultant by profession and a musician by passion. With extensive experience in senior management, he has a thorough understanding of the internal workings of various types of businesses and what makes them tick. A keen student of the human mind and its potential, Shudeep constantly strives to understand the decision-making processes that underline every major business move. An enthusiastic traveller, Shudeep has lived and worked in more than a dozen countries including the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Japan, Oman and many more. He is a truly global personality and currently lives in the bustling coastal city of Chennai, India - his birthplace.
Arquitos Capital Management is the general partner of a value-oriented hedge fund, Arquitos Capital Partners. Launched in 2012, Arquitos Capital Partners focuses on company-specific situations such as reorganizations, recapitalizations, liquidations, spin-offs, break-ups, rights offerings and other unique circumstances. Steven Kiel is the president and chief investment officer of Arquitos Capital Management. He is the portfolio manager of Arquitos Capital Partners, a private investment partnership focused on value-oriented holdings. Steven is a judge advocate in the Army Reserves. He is a veteran of Operation Iraqi Freedom and currently holds the rank of major. Prior to launching Arquitos Capital Management, he was a lawyer in private practice. He has been quoted in The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, MarketWatch, Deal Journal, The Atlantic, USA Today, and other publications. Steven sits on the board of Sitestar (OTCBB:SYTE), a Virginia-based real estate investment company. Steven is a graduate of George Mason School of Law and Illinois State University, and is a member of the bar in Illinois (inactive) and Washington, D.C.
I am an activist investor in US and Chinese stocks. I was previously an investment banker in New York Hong Kong and London for 9 years, focused on Equity Capital Markets. I look at both long ideas and short ideas and typically focus on a small number on names where I can spend the time to conduct very deep research. I spend my time living between Los Angeles and Beijing, China.
The goal as everyone knows, is to buy good stocks at a discount and sell-short overvalued stocks when they are at a premium. I have a background in business and deal with internal models, analysis, sales pitches and ad information daily. In my downtime, I am enthusiastic about the markets highs, lows and volatility. I believe in real lags between market and business reactions, with the former often in advance of the latter, and vice versa. I look to call manic enthusiasm with a distinct opportunity to go short. A change in sentiment is all it takes. I research fundamentals while scavenging for value.
I write The Kelly Letter, a weekly review of the financial markets with a portfolio of three price rebalancing strategies.
They are: The 3% Signal (from my book of the same name), The 6% Signal, and The 9% Signal.
Each uses one stock fund and one bond fund, makes one switch per quarter, and beats the market with no forecasting and no stress from indecision. Such rational price reaction is the way to win at this business.
In 2016, the letter returned 18.9% compared with 12.0% for the S&P 500, both on a total return basis. To see longer-term performance, please visit http://jasonkelly.com/resources/strategies/
The letter's strategies are perfect for your retirement accounts. Switch to rational reaction and never look back at pundit guessing games. No forecaster knows what will happen next. With my approach, you won't care because your new system will react appropriately to whatever unfolds.
In addition to writing The Kelly Letter for delivery to subscribers every Sunday morning, I'm the author of The 3% Signal, which introduced the Sig strategy framework mentioned above. My nine other books include The Neatest Little Guide to Stock Market Investing, a BusinessWeek best seller now in its fifth edition; and its companion volume, Stock Market Contest.
I hope to welcome you to The Kelly Letter. Please subscribe at http://jasonkelly.com/letter/
Investment Banker. Chartered Accountant. Ex-Googler.
In his current avatar, Mihir works full-time with the investment banking team of an integrated financial services entity i.e. Ashika Group. He is based out of India's financial and entertainment capital Bombay and can be found hanging out with amazing people at phenomenal food joints. In love with creating interesting and insightful content, Mihir consistently prefers doing something he hasn't done before. A self-proclaimed fan of formula one racing, Elon Musk and his companies, everything tech, carefree lifestyle of Charlie Sheen and so on and so forth, he never runs out of topics to talk on. So, if you are looking to have an engaging conversation about anything under the sun, feel free to contact him on email@example.com
I am 38 years old, married and have two daughters 4 and 6. I live upstate New York near Ithaca.
My aim is to be objective about the macro investment environment and to provide sound analysis on stocks.
I'm a fan of the following people to help give a perspective of my biases I may hold with regards to investment and economics: Adam Smith, Milton Friedman, Charles Schwab (Steel Tycoon), Martin Armstrong, Peter Bernstein (Author), Henry Ford, Ayn Rand, to name a few.
If you’re on my profile page, you probably want to know a little more about me before signing up for the Mortgage REIT Forum. That seems reasonable.
Why is my name hidden?
I see things that are problems in the world and I work to correct them. I shine a light on places where companies don't want anyone looking. A few CEOs have reached out to me because they appreciated the thorough analysis; others have taken great offense because I go against the grain by calling out poor investments. Most analysts simply apply hold ratings or move on to find a different company to discuss. Executives of companies that are performing poorly on a fundamental level don’t want extra attention, so ignoring them is the safer course. Since I choose to highlight those problems, I keep my name off the site. Hiding my name makes it a little more difficult for those companies to try to silence me with nuisance suits.
Why did I pick mortgage REITs?
As I learned the sector, I began building more and more complicated models to estimate the fluctuations in value and performance across different mortgage REITs. I became even more interested as I found certain economic theories, such as efficient market prices, clearly did not apply. The lack of high quality public analysis meant investors were often poorly informed which set the stage for price failures. Economics would suggest that the rewards from this analysis must be the fair compensation for the talent that goes into finding them, but efficient markets still requires that the adjustment be immediate. It is not. Do you want an example? Look at the price movement in Resource Capital Corporation leading up to and following the earnings release (03/14/2017). There was a gap, even the morning of the earnings release, because the other professionals covering them needed time to update their expectations.
How did I build my system?
I was good at math and decent (certainly not great) at excel. I spent a great deal of time theorizing about how things worked and building models to represent that view. Then I would pull historical data from a company and see if my model was correct. If it was, great, I could expand the sample size. If it was wrong, I would look for the reason. I try to nail down as many variables as possible. The result of working long hours and constantly reassessing my beliefs as I tested them against the historical data was a deeper understanding of how the parts actually worked. This is why you may see me criticize analysts that put in a weak effort or try to cut large corners.
What is my view on risk?
There is a world of difference between the ways an investor can generate their returns. The traditional view is to see earning excess returns as compensation for taking on high levels of risk. I believe it is far better to focus on earning returns from catching market failures. These failures happen due to poor liquidity and investors (including analysts) working with incomplete information. I believe that by knowing the individual companies well, the investor can step in when the “risk” is heavily skewed in favor of “returns”. They should hunt for opportunities where there should be sufficient room for positive returns and very low probabilities of any major decline.
That theory guides my investment decision making. I do not try to generate higher returns, I try to generate more consistent returns by reducing the downwards risk. Occasionally that results in exceptionally high returns when something corrects, but it also means I am willing to pass on several decent opportunities because I want the risk/return profile skewed heavily in my favor.
It is also a reason you’ll see me emphasize preferred shares as an investment strategy. Some of these have very stable valuations and strong yields. At the same time, I will also look to sell the shares if I believe they are overvalued. This can be challenging for many buy and hold investors, but it is another way to take advantage of liquidity. I pay less attention to setting up those limit-sell orders on the preferred shares if I have a large cash position already, but if I see several things at attractive prices then I don’t want to stay in a share if I could reallocate the capital to something that is materially more attractive.
The subscription platform allows me to do a few things very well. It allows me to share the research I’m doing for my own investment decision making. It allows me to communicate rapidly with investors that are willing to pay for my best work. The editorial process takes time, but subscription articles can be posted as quickly as I can write them and upload the file. This is critical for updating investors to a liquidity event.
It also allows me to diversify income streams. With the growth in ad-blocking technologies and widespread use of mobile devices, I want more sources of revenue for my work. This is the only method I’ve found that works. Don’t take my word for it though, consider reviews from my subscribers. I’m still maintaining a perfect 5 star average rating.
Want Recent Examples?
Look at the tickers for RSO, ORC, and WMC. I was able to call a buy rating and two sell ratings. I would consider RSO and ORC homeruns (price movement over 15% within a month) and WMC a solid double (falling 7% to 8% to land within my suggested range for closing shorts). Disclosure: Long RSO.
Private Investor - Ex FX trader - Freelance investment writer - Part-time blogger. Background in investing in small caps and day trading stocks. Now focused in longer term investing and detailed company analysis.
Frank Curzio, Jr. is the editor of Small Stock Specialist, an investment advisory which focuses on undervalued growth stocks with small market caps.
Prior to joining Stansberry & Associates in 2009, Frank worked for one of the richest hedge-fund managers on Wall Street, where his job was to analyze stocks in the "under $10" sector. He also wrote a "stocks-under-$10" newsletter for Frank has an incredible investment background, having been around Wall Street, investing, and the advisory business almost his entire life. His late father, Frank Curzio, Sr., was famous for calling the 1987 stock market crash, was a six-time winner of the Wall Street Journal's Dartboard contest, and wrote an advisory letter that was ranked numerous times by Hulbert Financial Digest.
Small Stock Specialist was created specifically to capitalize on the lucrative secrets Frank has uncovered during his 15-plus years as a professional small-stock analyst, targeting gains of 25%-200% for every low-priced stock recommendation he makes. As a result, subscribers to this service have seen excellent gains in Westport (116%), Dyncorp (58%), and Dendreon (49%), among many others. When Frank first joined S&A, one of our subscribers wrote, "I can't believe that you snagged Frank Curzio for an S&A analyst. I can tell you the guy is one of the best. He knows small caps like nobody else. You have a winner in Frank Curzio. His advice has made me a lot of money."
Frank is also the lead editor of our exclusive Phase 1 Investor advisory, which takes a "venture capital" approach to investing. Using his expertise in small-stock research, Frank looks for small-cap speculative stocks with outstanding growth potential, focusing on natural resource stocks and emerging technologies in the high-tech, life science, and biotechnology industries.
He is also the host of S&A Investor Radio, one of the most widely followed financial broadcasts in the country. After spending 15 years studying and networking with some of the smartest people on Wall Street, Frank has direct access to the best investors, financiers, bankers, and financial journalists as guests on his weekly program.
As a nationally recognized expert on small-stock research, Frank's expertise and success have led to guest appearances on Fox Business News, CNBC's The Kudlow Report, and CNBC's The Call. He has also been mentioned numerous times on Jim Cramer's Mad Money, is a featured guest on CNN Radio, and has been quoted in many major financial publications.
I am a licensed professional engineer specializing in control systems. I originate from near Liverpool England and now live in Maui, Hawaii - which gives me a sense of great achievement :)
I am a long term investor with 30 years experience and a focus on businesses with exceptionally high growth prospects.
In my spare time, I am an undercover organizer of Maui Business Brainstormers, a project manager for A Big Wow, and a bodysurfer.
1969-2006 Registered representative beginning with Bache & Co. and other firms.
1983 to present : Founder and President of Advisor's Capital Investments Inc, a registered investment advisor.
1998 to present, Founder and President of Advisor's Capital Corp., a holding company for two advisory firms. additional information available at www.advisorinfo.sec.gov.
I Know First is a financial services firm that utilizes an advanced self-learning algorithm to analyze, model and predict the stock market. Co-Founder Dr. Lipa Roitman, a scientist, with over 20 years of experience created the market prediction system. The algorithm is based on artificial intelligence, machine learning and incorporates elements of artificial neural networks as well as genetic algorithms to model and predict the flow of money between 3,000 markets from 3-days to a year: stocks, ETF's, world indices, gold, currencies, interest rates, and commodities. The algorithm outputs a predicted trend as a number, which in turn, is used by traders to identify when to enter and exit the market. While forecasts can be used for intra-day trading, the predictability tends to become stronger over longer time-horizons such as the 1-month, 3-month and 1-year forecasts. Visit us at iknowfirst.com
I have over 20 years of investment and financial management experience, and have actively managed my own investment portfolio for 15 years.
I have held management positions with multiple large companies, including Fortune 500.
I'm a long-term investor. My current portfolio comprises of small cap growth, dividend paying stocks, and high yield ETFs. Largest stock holdings: TSLA (since IPO), KNDI.
I'm fascinating with green technologies, and special situation. Currently electric car companies and China's embrace of NEV are on the top of my list.
Follow me on StockTwits (mnguyen_saa). I frequently post breaking news from China, charts, facts etc. mostly for KNDI, and some TSLA.
I am a retired global analyst, currently busy in investing and writing articles about stocks at several investing publications and websites. I have also developed strategies for creating winning portfolios according to specific formulas.
In January 2015, I was ranked among the world’s top 10 financial bloggers according to TipRanks, which holds financial experts accountable for their recommendations by disclosing their stock ratings since 2009:
I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities. I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick. I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece. I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.
Chris Orr CCM has been advising traders and investment firms about weather and climate trends for more than 20 years. In his 35+ year career as a meteorologist, he has also forecast weather for power utilities, airlines, corporate aviation, construction, major motion pictures and agriculture. You can follow him on Twitter @ChrisOrrCCM . Chris publishes an e-newsletter about how extreme weather will impact stocks and commodities over the next 1 month to 1-1/2 years. He is a consultant to Precision Profits, a newsletter published by The Sovereign Society (at TheSovereignInvestor.com). Chris was designated a Certified Consulting Meteorologist by the American Meteorological Society in 1997 and is one of about 325 board certified meteorologists. He specializes in long-range extreme weather forecasting using proprietary methods.