Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015. From his website: INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors. Rules of Investment Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing. Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off. Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.) Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'. Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions. More information on CGTS is available at: http://home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS142.htm His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJCwriting.htm Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014. CGTS: THE NEW SCIENCE OF INVESTING
Long / short equities. Bonds /option trading/ commodities; Equity analyst, farmer, property management and RE development.
"The illusion [....] will continue as long as it's profitable to continue the illusion. At the point where the illusion becomes too expensive to maintain, they will just take down the scenery, they will pull back the curtains, they will move the tables and chairs out of the way and you will see the brick wall at the back of the theater."
- Frank Zappa
Long term investments for the most part, with some options trading on positions that I am willing to own over the long-term.
Hold the following Stocks currently:
HealthCare: ABBV, ABT, AKAO, ARRY, CLDX, JNJ, MRNS, NBIX, PETX, PIRS, SRPT, UNH
Semiconductor: AMD, MU, NVDA, QCOM, TXN
Technology: ACN, AMZN, CHGG, DATA, FB, MA, MSFT, RHT, SHOP, SQ, V
Industrials: BA, MMM, UNP, UTX
Financials: BRK.B, JPM
REITs: COR, DLR
Entertainment: ATVI, DIS, EA, NFLX
Consumer Goods: DPS, MO, NKE, PEP, PM, UAA
Retail: HD, ROST, TJX
In addition, also own these ETFs/Mutual Funds for some diversification:
BOTZ, FOCKX, FCNKX, FBIOX, VIIX, VMCPX, XBI
Disclaimer: Please note that this is not an investment advise and always make sure to do your own prior due diligence before buying or selling any equities.
In Gold / Silver since 2002 Was smart in 2008 when gold/silver got smashed - not so smart or lucky in 2011 . Since 2016- 2017 gave up that it still a bull market in gold .
Canceled all my interest in gold completely - feel sorry for Gold bugs now .
Much better opportunities in general Markets than gold these days .
Avi G. will join me in this but he does not know it right now -
May 2018 : Avi G. still has not join me in my believe that it's OVER for gold for now .
Expecting HUI to drop to 100 by late Sept. - early Oct.
Specializes in Value Investing, Growth-At-a-Reasonable-Price (GARP), Dividend Investing and Market-Neutral/Long-Short Strategies. Although I have been learning to appreciate reading the SEC documents (10-K, 10-Q, Conference Calls, etc.), my methodologies tend to lean towards Quantitative Value coupled with good Fundamental Analysis along with some basic Technical Analysis (Quantitative Portfolio Management). I am a numbers guy who looks to see if the investment story (narrative) is possible, plausible and probable.
It is looking at the forest from the trees mentality. There are strengths and weaknesses in either being: 1) a very detailed person and 2) a "Big Picture" guy. I may miss some details along the way. However, this helps me look at the "Big Picture" in broad brush strokes and helps me determine the long-run economics of a company from a high level.
I am an experienced professional with expertise in financial statement analysis, value investing, and financial modeling. Past employment with the government (Internal Revenue Service), banking, commercial real estate, insurance, education, and accounting service sectors. In addition, I am also CFA® charterholder and a licensed CPA with individual and corporate tax compliance experience.
How am I different?
I'm willing to make tough calls when other analysts may shy away. I am a Value Investor at heart, but I created Value Hedging so I recommend both Longs and Shorts. A surprising statistic is 80% of analysts' recommendations are buys. My average is a lot lower because I apply Hedge Fund techniques called Market-Neutral/Long-Short Portfolio strategies a good amount of time. The result is hopefully better risk-adjusted returns. I am not employed by a big fancy brokerage firm, which makes me independent. If this is investment poker, I call an ace-an-ace and a spade-a-spade. I call it like I see it. Like Jim Cramer, I'm not here to make friends-I'm here to help make you mad money!