Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.
Individual investor focused upon a limited number of diversified stocks. Seeks stocks selling below fair value; favors dividend growth. Advocates fundamental investment analysis, supplemented by the technical charts. Options strategies primarily employed to generate additional income or hedge risk.
Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
My previous moniker was Trader Fool - it was changed after I published my first article in Seeking Alpha here.
I have been investing and trading in various stock markets for over 15 years, with actuarial and financial background of more than 20 years. I have a deep passion in financial markets especially on the risk management side. In 2014, I made the commitment to become a full-time, active investor and trader in the US Stock and Options market.
My investing and trading style is varied. A core part of me is a Value Investor, a relatively newer part is Dividend Growth Investor, and at heart, I'm also a trader. I frequently write Options (both Puts and Calls), and I trade Options (for leverage), when opportunity suits. Except for writing options, I'm frequent wrong as often as I'm right, and that's based on thousands of trades. My Swing Trading results are not great - win rate typically range 50% or so, win size just a little bit more than loss, but my recent AAPL trade was the best in recent memory. My Day Trade results are also not that great, but when the trend was strong, it was very good. Whenever I got greedy, Mr Market will eventually teach me an expensive lesson on the importance of position sizing. The trader part in me is not committed to being long, I take the short side too like the recent Gold trade before closing out. In general, I don't believe that any single style is superior/inferior to others, it is my strong belief that different market conditions favors different trading approaches. Whilst I love trading, I also enjoy the interaction here in Seeking Alpha and so favors a less intense form of trading, unless I feel there is a strong opportunity to make money :-) Despite the lower returns, a strong part of me believes that it is much easier, less volatile, more relaxing to be a Value Investor and a DGI investor, and over the long term (20-40 years from today), has the highest probability of being successful practically.
Senior Options Trading Strategist at Optionity, MBA.
Our trading approach starts with the fundamentals, then through short-term technical analysis, to finally leverage options trading (with the combination of long and short positions) to achieve favorable risk and reward ratio trading plays.
Our main strategy is "Solid Stock + Cash Flow + Options"
"I have the option to give up, but I will never give up my options"
Global value investor, focusing on the US and Vietnam equities. Co-author of the MOATS (a book 'bout 70 great businesses that Berkshire Hathaway is holding). CEO - Vietnam Green Investment Holdings
John Nyaradi is publisher of Wall Street Sector Selector, Your Home for ETF Investing! (www.wall-street-sector-selector.com) a financial media site focused on news, analysis and information about exchange traded funds and global financial and economic developments. John writes a weekly guest column for MarketWatch.com and is a regular contributor to Investor’s Alley, a widely read internet site. His investment articles have appeared in many online publications including Trading Markets, Money Show, Yahoo Finance, Investors Insight, Fidelity, SeekingAlpha, ETF Daily News, iStock Analyst and many others. He has also appeared as a guest on National Business Talk Radio, Sound Investing, and The Index Investing Show and has been a speaker at The Money Show, Las Vegas. His book, "Super Sectors: How to Outsmart the Market Using Sector Rotation and ETFs," is published by John Wiley and Sons and included among the Years Top Investment Books in the 2011 Stock Trader’s Almanac. Every business day, Wall Street Sector Selector: Your Home for ETF Trading!, publishes multiple articles of news, analysis and opinion in the world of exchange traded funds and global economics. John’s articles can be viewed in the “Executive Suite: Wall Street Sector Selector.com ETF News Updates.”