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Author of Quantitative Risk & Value, two 4-star books and weekly newsletters. Designer of the systemic market risk indicator MTS10.
Fred gained extensive experience in the software industry, information systems consulting and marketing before discovering an interest in the financial markets. Self-taught in this field, he has built his own methodology on what he learned in his previous activities. From his years in research he has the ability to combine a systemic point of view and an analytic approach. As a software architect he knows that simplicity is a factor of robustness. As a consultant he experienced the real economy in various sectors: energy, banking, healthcare, manufacturing and public agencies. And he learned from marketing that human group behavior can sometimes be modeled, but never predicted. He has a PhD in computer science, an MSc in software engineering and an MSc in civil engineering.
Fred publishes weekly newsletters covering various investing styles and objectives. Most of them include the risk indicator MTS10 and ETF strategies based on it. You can find below a summary of the services, their investing styles, and the links to subscribe. Click "Send Message" if you want more information.
Quantitative Risk & Value hosted by SeekingAlpha is Fred's flagship service and the best way to have a free trial of MTS10 and its user's manual. It also includes a 20-stock dividend model portfolio and a list of value stocks to consider in every sector.
Market Neutral Portfolio is Fred's core portfolio with 25 stocks. It includes MTS10.
VIX Trading Signals is high risk/high reward trading on volatility ETPs. It includes MTS10.
Growth Weekly Portfolio has 10 ETFs (tactical allocation) and 9 stocks (quantitative value) in 5 models. 5 stocks are in overlap with Market Neutral Portfolio. It includes MTS10.
Dividend & Discount CEF Portfolio is for dividend investors interested in the high yields and discounts to NAV in closed-end funds. It doesn't include MTS10.
A regular guy (still alive from New York!) who shows how he would manage a model (not actual) portfolio for educational purposes only, my personal finances are my own business and the disclosure statement is only for the portfolio we are discussing (if an asset is held personally, I will note that in the disclosure). I give absolutely no advice, and only offer suggestions on how I could manage a portfolio. My personal portfolio and finances can change at any time, which has nothing to do with the educational value of any article.
The main reason for a subscriber to "Follow" me, especially for the model portfolios (TARP or otherwise), is to glean some knowledge to become a better investor and not simply place bets. Money management is every bit as important as any other aspect of investing, and by following a portfolio and the actions taken, you can gain some insight into a somewhat higher level of investing acumen. There are no requirements, and this is not "rocket science" - it is simply a powerful way for you to put the money you have worked hard for to work even harder for you. My message will be consistent, and my hope by doing this is to share my own experiences, illustrated in the model mock portfolios I build exclusively for Seeking Alpha. Knowledge is power, and many folks shy away from the investing world because that very world makes it more confusing each and every day in an effort to sell you something: stock picks, technical strategies, books, videos, subscriptions with "secret ideas," gadgets, and even snake oil. My promise to you is that my work here will remain free to all of my followers, with the hope of giving to you some of the things that took years for me to learn myself.
PLEASE SEE WEBSITE FOR FULL DISCLAIMER: WWW.PUMPSTOPPER.COM
I produce high quality, original research free of charge for the public good. Please see the website for more information, and subscribe to The Pump Stopper email list to receive free, high quality research reports before the rest.
I am always committed to publishing the accurate truth. If you are involved with a company that has been mentioned in a report and find any factual errors, please submit a dispute to Seeking Alpha and it will be reviewed.
If you have any tips on companies misleading investors, please submit them on The Pump Stopper website. I always welcome collaboration and have absolute respect for your anonymity. There are multiple ways to submit documents anonymously, as outlined on the website, and I strongly recommend you send information this way.
And remember to always invest wisely.
Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business news summary, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It's designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including on mobile devices), and is published before 7:00 AM ET every market day.
Wall Street Breakfast readership of over 900,000 includes many from the investment-banking and fund-management industries.
Sign up here to receive the Wall Street Breakfast in your inbox every business day: http://seekingalpha.com/account/email_preferences
To avoid criticism, do nothing, say nothing, be nothing. -Elbert Hubbard.
I have a Masters degree in Computer Science, and worked for 14 years in development, technical publications and software quality assurance. I have been investing for 20 years. Currently, I do writing, international editing, and photography. My short fiction can be found at http://50centflash.com/ "The fascination with the human face has never left me... Every face I see seems to hide - and sometimes fleetingly to reveal - the mystery of another human being. Capturing this revelation became my goal and passion." – Photographer Philippe Halsman
Over the last few years I have worked diligently towards refining several of my favorite and most successful stock options strategies. My hard work and diligence have proven to be a success and now I want to share my ideas and strategies with a limited group of like-minded investors. My options strategies are not “get rich quick” strategies, rather sound options strategies based on three basic ideas - patience, position-sizing, and long-term performance.
After speaking with hundreds of investors, I discovered that the majority of investors were not looking for a ‘get rich quick’ scheme, or a foolproof method of trading options (we all know there isn’t one). What they wanted was a service with established capital preservation goals and historically proven long-term successful investment strategies. They wanted options strategies that would produce consistent, modest gains month after month, year after year. They also wanted to know that unnecessary risks were not being taken, but rather a methodical, tested set of rules were being utilized which would produce long-term gains.
My Options Portfolio was born from the collection of ideas mentioned above. After trading and back-testing almost every known options trading strategy, I fulfilled the requests of the investors and traders I spoke with and have identified several historically proven stock options strategies for long-term success in bull and bear markets. Again, all of my options trading strategies are based on three simple principles: patience, position-sizing, and a focus on long-term performance.
I encourage you to learn more about my stock options strategies by joining my FREE weekly options newsletter. Furthermore, every day in my daily blog I will provide an in-depth look at my trading strategies, including specific trading guidelines as well as the research and back-testing data that went into developing the rules. You will also receive valuable educational tools as well as trading tools regarding the tax-advantages of trading my strategies. Diversify your portfolio, better yet, educate yourself with one of my alternative investment strategies.
Andrew Crowder has been investing in stocks and options for over 15 years. A graduate of the University of Oregon and Northern Arizona University, Andrew’s work experience includes working for the medical division of W.L. Gore and Associates in Flagstaff, AZ, Oppenheimer & Co. in New York City and more recently working as a professional options trader, research analyst and financial columnist for a prominent stock options newsletter and advisory service.
I have been a finance/investment writer for more than 20 years. My areas of expertise range from dividend growth stocks to municipal and corporate bonds. I also write about personal finance and small business issues. My work as a finance writer has been published in The Bond Buyer, Forbes, The Street, Yahoo Finance, Insider Monkey and NBC News.
Adam Beaty is more than just your typical options strategist. His passion for business and his entrepreneurial mindset have taken him on a stock trading adventure. Starting with only $500 in his portfolio, Adam began to visualize his dream. Already 'hooked' on the stock market and the charts they produced, he further developed a unique awareness of a niche market, options, and the infinite plays he could run with them.
His work with weekly options earned him recognition in the Wall Street Journal at the age of twenty-four. After receiving dual majors in Finance and Marketing, and graduating Magna Cum Laude, Adam continues to study the market, pour through the charts, paying attention to the smallest details that may have an affect as he looks for the next big setup!
I just joined Actinver, the biggest public Mexican-based Brokerage House, with AUM of over $18 billion.
I am currently a Portfolio Manager and will be glad to be asked anything about the Mexican or US market, as I am a passionate follower of both. If you want to diversify and invest in Mexican companies, feel free to contact me.
I started writing articles in May 2012, keep the feedback coming, I write about anything that interests me at the time, it can be academic, long & short ideas, I am now focusing on company valuations, feel free to suggest a company you would like valued.
Follow me on Twitter @respinosa6
Publisher of options newsletter TerrysTips.com since 2001.. Thirty years experience trading options virtually every day. including stint as seat holder and market maker on the C.B.O.E. MBA from Harvard Business School and DBA from Univ. of Virginia Darden School. Author of Making 36%: Duffer's Guide to Breaking Par in the Market Every Year, In Good Years and Bad (4th revision - 2012) and Coffee Can Investing: A Better Idea Than Mutual Funds in an IRA or 401(K), 2014.
TerrysTips.com is a newsletter that carries out eight different option portfolios which many subscribers mirror on their own or through auto-trade at several brokers who make all the same trades in individual customer accounts. Each portfolio offers something different (bullish, neutral, or bearish),and different underlyings (GOOG, SPY, SVXY, and other individual companies).
In 2005, the S.E.C. brought an action against Dr. Terry Allen, claiming that he was managing money for people without being a registered investment advisor because of the auto-trade service offered by several brokers who placed trades in their customer accounts based on Terry’s Tips newsletter recommendations. A second complaint was for a single statement on his website that they believed was incorrect and therefore fraudulent.
Although two large law firms assured Dr. Allen that if he went to court on the first issue, he would win because there was a Supreme Court decision stating that investment newsletters are exempt from registration requirements - it would be a violation of their First Amendment rights. However, they estimated that his legal expenses would be greater than settling with the S.E.C. (and a year or two of his time tied up in court proceedings), and both firms recommended that he accept the settlement offer while not admitting any guilt.
The second issue (fraud) involved a single statement that was true when it was written but a couple of years later, option prices fell to 10-year lows, and it was no longer true. The S.E.C. argued that the statement was not removed from the website in a timely enough fashion.
For the past eight years since the settlement with the S.E.C., Dr. Allen has have been publishing the Terry’s Tips newsletter (and recommendations are executed in customer accounts at thinkorswim by TD Ameritrade through their Auto-Trade program), and the S.E.C. has not objected to any of his activities.
Dr. Ahanotu is a graduate of Stanford University with over twenty-five years of experience doing analytic modeling, executing pricing strategies through price optimization, and implementing, developing, and selling enterprise software. He adds to this industry experience another five overlapping years of research in knowledge management and organizational learning.
Duru Ahanotu, Ph.D. founded Ahan Analytics, LLC to deliver data-driven approaches for improving business performance with a focus on local non-profits, small businesses, and local governments. For example, he built a scheduling optimization model for a small OBGYN practice that took into account the stochastic arrivals of babies that interrupt clinic appointments. He also provided recommendations to improve the public-facing web site for a Bay Area police department that increased completion rate of incidence reports.
Dr. Ahanotu currently writes and maintains a financial blog (http://www.drduru.com/onetwentytwo) that demonstrates the use of data analysis to understand financial markets. He particularly focuses on the innovative use of a custom technical indicator. The blog includes the analysis of housing markets, currencies, commodities, high-tech, and historical/seasonal market trends.
Dr. Ahanotu is also developing a learning module to help youth make better decisions through analysis and structured thinking.
Dr. Ahanotu earned a Master’s and Ph.D. in Engineering-Economic Systems (1999), a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering, and Honors in Values, Technology, Science, and Society (1991) - all at Stanford University.
I am a freelance author and model developer. I currently work as a consultant for a couple of select firms designing ETF asset allocation models and small-cap systems.
If your firm is looking for a research consultant on a casual or part-time basis - please reach out to me. I have some very high performing small-cap models that may interest you. I also design custom models to fit any of your needs upon request.
Contact me directly at firstname.lastname@example.org
I have been trading max pain type data since 2007 after noting odd trading patterns centered around options expiry. I am a more conservative trader/investor and only take high probability trades. I prefer to know where stocks won’t be rather than guess where they will be. Trading with this mind set gives you 80% plus probability of being correct.
I have always been a stock market enthusiast. My formal training is that of informal. I am self taught, soaking up as much knowledge as can be absorbed. I love the financial industry and would work for free. I am a fundamental investor at heart and like crunching the numbers. I picked up on Max Pain theory and use option data as a main thesis in taking my positions.
In the beginning; when studying Max Pain I was truly amazed at the power it had in pulling or pushing AAPL around. I have seen the stock drop 5% out of nowhere with no news. The only news would be it was the 3rd Friday of the month. I then picked up on hitting the Max Pain strike was about 50/50 odds. Max Pain would give you a tell on what direction AAPL would start heading for expiry. I started to build a strategy from my studies. Using the Max Pain strike is not really tradable, good to know, but not tradable. So I started to study open interest (OI) and its affect on AAPL. Long story short, I have altered the original Max Pain theory and morphed it into what my own studies have concluded. I call this OI/Max Pain, it uses open interest and a range. This way it is tradable as I now have a high probability range. It doesn’t stop there, using OI will tell you so much more. How a stock reacts at each strike depending on the amount of OI is a major tell.
Conclusion: When using open interest you can accomplish multiple things. We can use it for OI/Max Pain when AAPL is stuck in a range and we can use it for catching breakouts, breakdowns, buy and sell points. Enjoy.
I want to give a special thanks to some of my early influences: Turley Muller, Andy Zaky and Jason Schwarz. I thank Philip Elmer-Dewitt for his coverage on AAPL and letting us have a voice, Horace Dediu for his tireless studies and anyone attached to the AAPL community.
I worked for many years in management in the health care industry in the UK, in Bermuda, and for the last 20 years in Florida. The day I turned 59 1/2 I just got out of bed and decided I didn't want to work any more and that I would just take my various pensions from different countries, such as they were, roll them all into one big IRA, and just see if I could live by my wits. My investment objective is, therefore, to make enough so that I never have to work again, although it would be easy for me to do so if I wanted.
I could probably get by very well with a 10% annual yield on my capital, but of course more is more and much more is much more.
When I started out investing in stocks, I really didn't know what I was doing, but I had the occasional bit of luck, like investing every penny I had in BP in the summer of 2010, just when it couldn't go any lower. And it didn't. Then again I staked every dime I had on out of the money options on a drug that had a PDUFA date in January 2011. It was approved. Phew! But I was a nervous wreck and figured there had to be a better way.
Then about a year ago I started to study the whole business of options strategies, got myself a few books, and found out that you could sell options as well as buy them. This was a bit of a revelation, to say the least, because I had noticed that whenever I thought a stock would go up, it went down,and when I thought it would go down, it usually went up, but by selling options you could let other people's optimism work for you.
Then I found out about volatility. I had always known that the whole game was rigged, but now I began to understand how and why
I'm hoping that with some blog posts or articles here I can inform others about some of the things that I have learned in my time as a full time investor and personal hedge fund manager (O.K., layabout) so that they can avoid some basic errors, and I hope to attract enough criticism to be able to learn from those who know much more than me.
I have been in the securities business for 20 years. Previously I was a branch manager for a major Wall St. firm, I held series 3,6,7,9,10,56 and 63 NASD registrations. Currently I am a portfolio manager for an advisory firm.. I manage a covered call portfolio and implement option strategies for high net worth investors with concentrated equity positions. I also own Fat Tail Trading & Research, LLC and publish a newsletter with ideas for investors who use options. I enjoy following the markets and analyzing market data. I write a weekly column on finance and investing in the Sierra Sun Newspaper which serves the Truckee- Lake Tahoe area and am the host of a radio show, Ken's Bulls and Bears report, heard on 99.1 FM in the Northern Nevada area.
I started writing for Seeking Alpha in early 2012. With an interest in both fundamental and technical analysis, and a strong belief that both should be used when investing, I try to incorporate both in the bulk of my articles.
My goal is to bring a fresh viewpoint to the table on the equities I cover. I'm always "learning." Never stop! I encourage readers to do the same! I believe you can learn a lot from the 30 year veterans, but even the veterans must keep an open mind to the new guy. Each remains closed minded at their own peril.
Robert Hauver, MBA, is a Registered Investment Advisor Representative., who publishes SA articles under the name
TipRanks rates DoubleDividendStocks in the Top 25 of all financial bloggers, and Seeking Alpha rates us in the Top 5 of several categories, including Dividend Ideas, Basic Materials, and Utilities.
We offer 2 investing services:
"Hidden Dividend Stocks Plus", a new Seeking Alpha Marketplace service, which focuses on undercovered and undervalued income vehicles. HDS+ scours the world's markets to find solid income opportunities with dividend yields ranging from 5% to 10%-plus, backed by strong earnings.
DoubleDividendStocks.com, an investment newsletter/website that features the best dividend stocks and option selling strategies for income investors looking to enhance their yields.
The https://www.DoubleDividendStocks.com website also features High Dividend Stocks By Sector Tables, Covered Calls and Cash Secured Puts Tables, a Dividend Stocks blog, and a a Stock Market News and Data pages. 845-225-4094
Kim Klaiman is a full time options trader and founder of SteadyOptions.com. He trades mostly non-directional strategies, like pre-earnings strangles and iron condors. Kim likes to trade strategies with negative correlation. He lives in Toronto, Canada. Visit the SteadyOptions.com forum. SteadyOptions offers a combination of a high quality education and actionable trade ideas using variety of Non-Directional option trading strategies for Steady and Consistent Profits. Email: email@example.com Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SteadyOptions_ SteadyOptions performance: https://steadyoptions.com/performance
Mateo Blumer is an investment advisor and portfolio manager specializing in publicly traded and alternative investments. Previously, Mateo was working directly with senior executives at The Economist Group in London as part of their Management Training Program. Mateo graduated from Claremont McKenna College in California with dual bachelor's degrees in Financial Economics and International Relations.
Parsimony Research provides dividend stock research and analysis to investors subscribed to the Dividend Investors Club. The Dividend Investors Club is made up of thousands of do-it-yourself dividend and income investors working toward one common goal...generating consistent income!
Our strategy is simple:
1. Buy great dividend stocks at reasonable prices.
2. Enhance income with conservative option strategies.
3. Manage risk through diversification and exit strategies.
Our research (which includes dividend stock rankings, online stock profiles, Buy Zones, Profit Zones, Action Ratings, stock screens, and model portfolios) will give you all the tools you need to build and monitor your own DIY Dividend Portfolio and super charge that portfolio with conservative option strategies (cover calls and cash-secured puts).
Visit the Dividend investors Club website to learn more...
I am retired after 40 years in the Financial Services Industry. As an Actuary and Statistician, my primary focus was Risk Management. I served as a consultant to some of the largest Financial Institutions and taught advanced risk management skills to top level investing professionals.
My articles focus primarily on Portfolio Management Techniques and balancing risk/reward opportunities. With over 40 years of personal investing history my knowledge and background has been modified by real-life experiences. I relate not only the theoretical aspects but the problems and opportunities encountered in everyday investing life.
My goal is to provide readers a thoughtful look at the stock market and suggest techniques that can help them invest better while reducing risk.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports, dividend reports, and ETF reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information.
Visit our website at www.valuentum.com
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613. Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
I have been seriously into stocks since the early 1990's and into options for the past several years. Since early 2010 I've become particularly interested in dividend growth stocks to hold for the long term. In conjunction with that I occasionally use options to boost performance. Prior to that, made and lost a lot of money in the market with each boom and bust.
Since late 2010 I have been working on a system for picking dividend growth stocks with the best potential for sustainable growth. The system ranks the stocks based on their Potency Score, a metric I have devised that uses a multitude of fundamental, valuation, performance, and other data and their inter-relations to forecast a stock's ability for sustainable dividend growth. A stock with such ability is bound to also produce respectable capital gains. My math background has come handy in the process.
I have also created a 12-ETF portfolio strategy named The Immortal Portfolio, which is intended to beat the market in the long run. I have described both of these systems in my SA articles.
Currently working a full time job (non-financial business) and managing my own personal investment accounts.
Founder of Bern Factor LLC, a registered investment advisory firm located in Virginia, and the sole investment advisor representative of the firm at present. My association with the Marketplace subscription service, Friedrich Global Research, is a collaboration with Mycroft Friedrich, another contributor on Seeking Alpha. Together we have nearly 80 years of investing and analysis experience. I am a former CPA (1990 -2017) and became a CFA charter holder in 2000. I consider myself an expert in Quantitative and Qualitative analysis and have extensive experience in Technical Analysis. I also have a deep interest in stock market history and hold degrees in Economics (BSBA) and Management Information Systems (MBA). I have been actively involved with investment analysis and investment management since 1985 but have been a student of investing since the 1960s. I owned my first individual stock position while still in high school. I am a student of Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. I have achieved a uniquely diverse experience from multiple careers that has allowed me to develop a broad perspective enabling me to look at the big picture of macroeconomics all the way down to the detail of a retail unit or factory floor. In my youth I was in retail, then served in reconnaissance during my tours in Vietnam. I have been a blue collar, union worker in a factory and a manager in services, hospitality and transportation as well as a manager of professional staffs. I have more than 20 years of experience each in both public and private sectors. I have personal points of reference that many analysts will never have. I bring more to the table than just the theories and models I have studied or built. To understand more about my investing philosophy please visit my website.
Finance is my passion. I am an independent equity research professional, with particular interest in the technology and telecom sectors, and a slight hobby of quantitative analyses. I am excited to announce that I am well on my way to launching an independent sell-side research platform in late 2012, and encourage you to follow me on Seeking Alpha to keep abreast of future developments.
As for education, I have an MBA from UNC's Kenan-Flagler Business School (dual concentrated in Investment Management and Corporate Finance) and am a CFA Level II Candidate.