I buy established, good companies with strong management, solid balance sheets, free cash flow, growing earnings, and increasing dividends. This is a long strategy, which buys value situations, combining the fundamentals of Growth at a Reasonable Price, with Dividend Growth Investing. This style has been coined as "I-GARP" by Clay King.
To further reduce my risk and enhance my returns, I enter positions by selling puts, also known as short puts. I practice Teddi Knight's strategy of using option premium capital to build positions, and use technical analysis, (Bollilnger Bands, 10-20-30 moving averages, and earnings misses) to enter trades, as practiced by Teddi and Dr. Samir Elias.
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: he has been a partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm. Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics and Finance from the University of Tampa. Chuck is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a Veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.
Most recently, Jeremy held the title of Assistant Vice President at a listed investment bank's asset management group as a buy-side analyst. Previously he worked as a senior valuation analyst for a large international accounting firm. He has also worked in sales for a separate listed investment bank and as a consultant to the insurance brokerage industry. Currently, he manages a long-focused equity and debt portfolio. His financial research interests include capital budgeting, capital markets history, political economy, accounting, speculative patterns in securities prices and firm valuation. He is also interested in military history, modern philosophy and literature. Jeremy is a CFA charter holder.
I manage time to my best advantage. When I make a comment, I add (for the convenience of others) that I will uncheck after X-hrs. This generally avoids time wasted on repetitive comments, nonsense, zonderkites, and arguments. Thereafter, if I make additional comments, I mentally reset my unck period. (I also respond to PMs.)
My journey as a self-directed investor (SDI) began in 1973, and resulted in financial independence at age 52, which also allowed me to retire from corporate life in Feb 1995.
I’m now 75. Over the 22 years of my retirement (including 2 major recessions, and soon 7 years of increasing annual RMDs), and without additional contributions, through YE2016, my IRA increased 277%, whereas inflation increased 64%. There are many concerns for retirees to worry about...but for those who retire financially independent, and remain well-diversified, 'running out of money before running out of life' can be moved toward the bottom of their list.
The IRA I discuss on SA is but 1 of our 6 portfolios (and about 1/4th our net worth). I mention this as evidence young professionals can have a family and career, and also attain financial freedom as their career advances over the decades to follow IF they (and spouse) are willing to live a few percentage points below their means (deferring a measure of material gratification) so as to invest sufficient sums for compounded total returns so as to ensure their future retirement at a lifelong living standard as high (or higher) than they enjoyed in pre-retirement. True financial independence doesn't require any level of positive market performance--but instead assures a comfortable living standard in spite of negative market performance.
The income paid to my IRA equals twice our basic annual living expenses for food, clothing, shelter, taxes, transportation, entertainment, and various insurances (but excluding our normally generous variable expenses for travel and gifting).
My primary goal remains as it has always been--total return (price change + distributions). Mine is the age-old strategy of Growth & Income. Though 100% of my IRA’s positions pay dividends, growth of its income leg is a secondary goal to growth of price return. My IRA's total returns from price compounding are far superior to those from distributions during this 8-year bull market. (DGI is a cousin strategy that focuses upon income rather than total return--I often defend DGI when it is attacked.)
Though I own a handful of REITs and a couple ETFs holding MLPs, I am of the opinion C Corps (and especially those tilted toward growth of revenues and earnings) offer superior TR in a rising rate environment. C corps having long records of paying and increasing dividends signal management’s ability to generate excess free cash flow for which their BoD funnels a portion directly to shareholders--to do so consistently requires conservative management.
Price compounding is improved to the extent investors are willing to diversify into low-yield high-growth dividend-payers as well as into pure growth companies (paying no dividends). Chuck Carnevale has authored several articles making this point. In addition, today's pure growth companies are almost certain to become the attractive dividend-payers in the future. In particular, by comparing IVE (the S&P500's value stocks) to IVW (its growth stocks) over the last 1, 3, 5, 10 & 15 years, we find growth out-performed value in each period.
In recently adding IVW and BXMX (yielding 1.4% & 6.4%) to my portfolio, I've added exposure to some growthier dividend-payers and pure growth companies I would not otherwise have room for in my portfolio (e.g., dividend-payers AAPL, Home Depot, United Health, JP Morgan, & Walt Disney), as well as some great pure growth names I've too long avoided (e.g., Amazon, Facebook, Alphabet, Berkshire Hathaway, Celgene & Priceline). It follows both improved total return and a smoother-ride are the probable result of my adding growth ETFs to my portfolio. This also applies to my recent diversification into ETFs covering foreign, and emerging markets.
Finally (but especially germane to myself): Due to age and recent health events, I’m proactively engaged in modifying my IRA to make it yet more conservative, and (when necessary) able to operate passively for long periods on “autopilot”.
2017 OBJECTIVE -- MAJOR PORTFOLIO TWEAKS
I’ve set the following objectives to be met by year-end (or soon thereafter):
(1) Shift time priorities--adding more daily quality of life pursuits, while subtracting from monitoring stocks, markets & economy;
(2) Diversify asset classes--adding bond ETFs (primarily as a income source also serving as a shock-absorber to periodic severe and/or prolonged declines in equities);
(3) Extend my allocation to growthier dividend-payers to include pure growth (which I've too long ignored since 2008), plus foreign and emerging market stocks.
MY IRA CONSISTS OF 2 SUB-PORTFOLIOS
My CORE Portfolio focuses upon businesses whose model includes a COMPETITIVE MOAT that endures through COMPLETE BUSINESS CYCLES, and produces EXCESS FREE CASH FLOWS beyond that required to maintain its moat, and shares that excess with its shareholders via DIVIDENDS.
The majority of my Core positions have these characteristics: They are defensive positions having top and bottom line growth rates which categorize them as 'slow-growth' and 'bond-substitute'; they're generally found among Consumer Staples, Utilities, Healthcare, and Telecoms. Also, almost all outperformed the S&P500 in 2008, the only calendar year of the Great Recession.
I'll trim positions when overvalued. I’m strongly of the opinion investments are "tools with which to meet goals"--we should not marry our stocks, nor otherwise be forever committed to them. A broken stock is no different than a broken circular saw, pliers, or drill press--until repaired or replaced, they mostly take up space.
CORE PORTFOLIO UPDATE -- JULY 2017
My Core Portfolio (30 of 51 total positions), is by design quite conservative. Positions are selected for reduced risk (as opposed to greatest possible return). This portfolio is dominated by companies categorized by Morningstar as 'slow growth' companies sometimes derisively called 'bond-substitutes'. With a few exceptions (noted in the next paragraph), my Core positions are assigned to defensive sectors (i.e., Consumer Staples, Utilities, Healthcare, and Telecom)--generally, they plod along rather steadily, and also under-perform the S&P500 over the long-term (Morningstar provides 15-yr data).
Nonetheless, I'm pleased to report 10 positions have out-performed the market over that long-term: UL, NEE, AMGN, SYK, O, OHI, VTR, MCD, CSX AND NSC. In addition, the 2 bond funds (LQD and TLT) out-performed 6 of my equity positions (KO, MDLZ, MRK, PFE, & VZ).
Columns 1 and 2 demonstrate my defensive Core positions significantly out-performed the market in the last severe recession, which suggests they will do so again (the S&P's actual peak-to-valley decline from Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 was -58%). This is particularly important to retirees, as their greatly reduced life expectancy generally suggests a strong defensive allocation, including bonds.
Columns 3 and 4 reflect the past 15-year performance (TR) of my Core positions relative to the S&P.
Due to on-going recovery from a June 23rd surgical procedure, this update is a couple weeks late; thus data in columns 4 and 5 below is as of July 14th:
. . . . . . . . . . . (1) . . . . . . . (2) . . . . . . (3) . . . . . . . (4)
. . . . . . . . . . 2008 . . . . . 2008 . . . . 15-Yr. . . . . 15-Yr.
. . . . . . . . Position . . . . . S&P . . . Position . . . . S&P
. . . . . . . . Tot. Ret. . . Tot. Ret. . . Tot. Ret. . . Tot. Ret.
Consumer Staples (6):
PG . . . . . -13.7% . . . -37.0% . . . . . 6.9% . . . . 9.0%
UL. . . . . . -35.8% . . . -37.0% . . . . . 9.1% . . . . 9.0%
KHC. . . . . . 0.3%. . . . 16.1% . . . . . 0.3%. . . . 16.1%
[KHC reflects 1-Yr TR data]
KO. . . . . . -23.8% . . . -37.0% . . . . . 5.6% . . . . 9.0%
PEP . . . . . -25.7% . . . -37.0% . . . . . 8.4% . . . . 9.0%
MDLZ. . . . -14.3% . . . -37.0% . . . . . 4.7% . . . . 9.0%
NEE . . . . . -23.1% . . . -37.0% . . . . 13.2% . . . . 9.0%
D . . . . . . . -21.1% . . . -37.0% . . . . . 8.7% . . . . 9.0%
EXC . . . . . -29.4% . . . -37.0% . . . . . 6.7% . . . . 9.0%
SO . . . . . . . -0.2% . . . -37.0% . . . . . 7.4% . . . . 9.0%
AMGN. . . . . 24.5% . . . -37.0% . . . 19.4% . . . . 9.0%
ANZ. . . . . . . 0.3% . . . -37.0% . . . . . 6.9% . . . . 9.0%
[ANZ --Sold OOM CC options]
BMY. . . . . . . -6.5% . . . -37.0%. . . . . 8.1% . . . . 9.0%
[BMY--Sold OOM CC options]
JNJ. . . . . . . . 7.6% . . . -37.0%. . . . . 8.1% . . . . 9.0%
MRK . . . . . -45.1% . . . -37.0% . . . . 4.5% . . . . . 9.0%
PFE . . . . . -16.5% . . . -37.0% . . . . 2.6% . . . . . 9.0%
MDT . . . . . -35.9% . . . -37.0% . . . . 6.7% . . . . . 9.0%
SYK . . . . . -46.0% . . . -37.0% . . . 16.5% . . . . . 9.0%
OHI (REIT). . 6.9% . . . -37.0% . . . 14.9% . . . . . 9.0%
VTR (REIT) -21.3% . . . -37.0% . . . 15.7% . . . . 9.0%
T. . . . . . . . -27.6%. . . . -37.0% . . . 4.9% . . . . . 9.0%
VZ . . . . . . -21.5% . . . . -37.0% . . . 4.9% . . . . . 9.0%
Other Equity (6):
O (REIT). . . -8.2% . . . -37.0% . . . 11.2% . . . . . 9.0%
DEA (REIT) . . n/a . . . . . .n/a . . . . . 6.7% . . . . .16.0%
[DEA reflects 1-yr TR]
MCD. . . . . . 8.3% . . . . -37.0%. . . 13.7% . . . . . 9.0%
[MCD is a Cons. Disc. Stk, but customers 'trade-down']
CSX. . . . . -24.4% . . . . -37.0% . . . 17.2% . . . . . 9.0%
NSC . . . . . . -4.3% . . . . -37.0% . . . 13.6% . . . . 9.0%
[CSX & NSC are Industrials, but railroads are near-monopolies]
SPHD (ETF). n/a . . . . . . -37.0% . . . 12.8% . . . . 9.0%
LQD (ETF) . . 2.4% . . . . -37.0%. . . . 6.0%. . . . . 9.0%
TLT (ETF) . . 33.9% . . . . -37.0% . . . . 7.4%. . . . 9.0%
Core Portfolio Report on 2017 Objectives:
I planned to exit CVS, CMCSA, and SBUX.
I exited those 3 stocks, and initiated planned positions in identified ETFs.
OPPORTUNISTIC PORTFOLIO UPDATE -- JULY 2017
By definition cyclical stocks are expected to out-perform during bull markets, and under-perform in bear markets (the recession being the obvious example of under-performance). I keep my cyclicals (21 of 51 positions) in my OPPORTUNISTIC Portfolio. in a bear market, I will heavily trim or exit them. In addition, over several years, and so as to further moderate risk, I’ll likely exit most of my cyclical stocks, placing the proceeds in diversified ETFs.
. . . . . . . . . . . (1) . . . . . . . (2) . . . . . . (3) . . . . . . . (4)
. . . . . . . . . . 2008 . . . . . 2008 . . . . 15-Yr. . . . . 15-Yr.
. . . . . . . . Position . . . . . S&P . . . Position . . . . S&P
. . . . . . . . Tot. Ret. . . Tot. Ret. . . Tot. Ret. . . Tot. Ret.
BMO . . . . . -49.9% . . . . -37.0% . . . . 11.2%. . . 9.0%
TD . . . . . . . -45.4% . . . . -37.0% . . . . 13.3%. . . 9.0%
WFC . . . . . . . 2.0% . . . . -37.0% . . . . . 7.4% . . . 9.0%
MA. . . . . . . -33.3% . . . . -37.0%. . . . . 22.6%. . . 9.0%
[MA reflects 10-yr TR data]
PFG . . . . . . -66.6% . . . . -37.0% . . . . . 6.7% . . . 9.0%
NRZ m(REIT) . n/a . . . . . . . n/a . . . . . 19.2%. . . 10.2%
[NRZ reflects 3-yr TR data; sold OOM CC options]
BXMX (CEF) -26.8% . . . . -37.0% . . . . . 6.9% . . . 9.0%
CSCO. . . . . -39.8% . . . . -37.0% . . . . . . 6.3%. . . 9.0%
MSFT . . . . . -44.1% . . . . -37.0%. . . . . . 8.3%. . . 9.0%
INTC. . . . . . -43.0% . . . . -37.0%. . . . . . 6.1%. . . 9.0%
Consumer Cyclical (1):
LVS . . . . . . -94.3%. . . . -37.0%. . . . . . 0.8%. . . . 7.0%
[LVS reflects 10-yr TR data; sold OOM CC options]
XOM . . . . . -13.1%. . . . . -37.0%. . . . . . 7.6% . . . 9.0%
RDS.B . . . . -34.3%. . . . . -37.0%. . . . . . 5.6% . . . 9.0%
AMLP (ETF) . n/a . . . . . . . . n/a . . . . . . . 1.1% . . 15.1%
[AMLP reflects 5-yr TR data]
AMZA (ETF) . n/a . . . . . . . . n/a . . . . . . . 6.0% . . 16.2%
[AMZA reflects 1-yr TR data ]
GE. . . . . . . -53.0%. . . . . -37.0% . . . . . 2.3% . . . 9.0%
[GE--Sold OOM CC options]
Other Equities (5):
IVW (ETF) . -34.8% . . . . -37.0% . . . . . 9.3% . . . 9.0%
IJR (ETF) . . -31.5% . . . . -37.0%. . . . 11.5% . . . 9.0%
EEMV (ETF) . . n/a . . . . . . . n/a . . . . . . 3.1% . . . 3.3%
[EEMV reflects 5-yr TR data]
IDV (ETF) . -52.0%. . . . . -37.0% . . . . . 0.7% . . . 7.0%
[IDV reflects 10-yr TR data]
IEUR (ETF). . . n/a . . . . . . . n/a . . . . . . 2.2% . . 10.2%
[IEUR reflects 3-yr TR data]
Opportunistic Portfolio Report on 2017 Objectives:
I planned to use limit-sell orders to reduce or exit these OPPORTUNISTIC Positions in 2017:
General Electric (GE) -- Reduced position, plan to exit this year.
Starwood Property (STWD) -- Exited position with assistance of OOM covered calls.
New Residential (NRZ) -- Significantly reduced position with assistance of OOM covered calls, plan to exit this year.
InfraCap MLP ETF (AMZA) -- Reduced, will reduce a little more this year.
LIFE IS GREAT--it's been an unbelievably awesome ride!
Quad 7 Capital, parent company of Quad 7 Research and Quad 7 Poker, was founded in 2017 by a long time investor, Seeking Alpha author, professor and politician. The company has expertise in policy, economics, mathematics, game theory and the sciences. The company has experience with government, academia, and private industry. Quad7Capital.com covers a wide range of sectors and companies, with particular emphasis on growth companies, REITS, biotechnology/ pharmaceuticals, precious metals, blue chips and small-cap companies. It further offers money saving tips and market news. Quad 7 Partners focuses on current events, earnings, and timely developments. Quad 7 Research aims to conduct 2-3 analyses per business day in addition to working with clientele, personal portfolio advisement and conduct freelance research
David Fry writes a subscription newsletter focused on technical analysis of exchange-traded funds, called ETF Digest (www.etfdigest.com). Dave founded the ETF Digest in 2001 and was among the very first to see the need for a publication that provided individual investors with information and actionable advice on global ETF investing.
We particularly like the overview of financial markets that his work provides. Even if you're not a fan of chart analysis, Dave provides insight and commentary into which global markets are "working" and why.
Specializing as a market strategist and tactician, Fry focuses on evaluating, creating and implementing a variety of ETF portfolios for individual investors and financial professionals. His philosophy and approach incorporates fundamental with technical analysis in pursuit of risk management and capital preservation especially during uncertain and volatile times.
His new eBook, The Best ETFs: U.S. Equities,is now available on Amazon Kindle. Written as a cheat sheet to only the best ETFs for you or your client’s portfolios. For those that don't have a Kindle, you can purchase the pdf here: The Best ETFs: US Equities [https://gumroad.com/l/The%20Best%20ETFs]
I am a software engineer for hire. It has been my trade since my first gig ca. 1985, and as a full-time employee and as a consultant during and since my C.S. degree. This profession requires continuous and independent learning to keep up with the fresh college graduates.
I am a financial engineer of necessity, should I hope to ever become financially independent. I apply the same learning approach to economic and financial matters that I use to keep up my employment-related knowledge and skills.
I read everything. Company reports, Fed publications, financial times, scientific journals, economic papers, the wsj, mother earth news, and much more covering agriculture, automotive, aviation, botany, chemistry, construction, economics, electronics, firearms, geology, hvac, history, irrigation, law, medicine, physics, plumbing, wiring, yeast, and a bunch more are on the bookshelf and nightstand just behind my right shoulder. My short-term goal is to know about everything, with more about what I need or want to learn at present. My long-term goal is to know everything about everything.
While history may not repeat exactly the same, I believe it does rhyme. Thus the importance of Cicero's, "Not to know what happened before one was born is always to be a child."
History has led me to invest in companies with a history of growing their dividend. Capital gains are only useful once you turn them into cash flow. History shows you get better results if you skip the conversion. So I invest for cash flow, not for capital gains.
Thru my study of science, history, economics and sociology, I've found the Austrian school of economics to have the most valid explanations of why it happened, how it happened, and what will happen. Because of that I know that silver and gold are money, and so part of my portfolio has long been in Ag and Au for diversification, and part for insurance against history rhyming as pointed out by Mises:
There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of the voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved. --Ludwig von Mises
I don't see any sign of "the voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion."
For those who think everyone but them thinks like lemmings: I do not watch fox news or cnn or msnbc or TV. I listen to the radio 0.75-1.0 hours per day while I commute. Over 90% of that time the station tuned is rock -- alternative, classic, hard, ... but sometimes country. Less than 10% of the time is split between country and a local ABC affiliate for local news and traffic. I'll sometimes listen to time-shifted recordings of financial-related talk shows while working. For entertainment/variety sometimes while working and while I fall asleep I listen to time-shifted recordings of Coast to Coast AM which have the ads removed, typically 4-6 weeks after they air. ("time-shifted" so I can skip the annoying segments be they callers or guests.) I also like to watch the children or the cows or the cat or the birds or the deer or the fox. (The chickens are gone. Gave the last two away as the fox was getting far too bold.)
Alan Brochstein, CFA, was the first investment professional to devote himself to sharing his observations about the cannabis industry from an investor's perspective publicly. He runs 420 Investor, a subscription-based due diligence platform for investors interested in the publicly-traded cannabis stocks and is also the founder of New Cannabis Ventures, a content aggregation site focused on investors and entrepreneurs in the cannabis industry.
Alan has worked in the securities industry since 1986, primarily with the responsibility for managing investments in institutional environments until he founded AB Analytical Services in 2007 in order to provide independent research and consulting to registered investment advisors. In addition to advising several different hedge funds and investment managers, including Friedberg Investment Management, where he participated as a member of its investment management committee, Alan was also a senior analyst for the independent research firm Management CV. In 2008, he began providing a first-of-its-kind subscription-based service for individual investors, Invest By Model, which offered two different portfolios that investors could replicate in their own accounts for $20 per month. Alan also offered The Analytical Trader at Marketfy, where he used fundamental and technical analysis in a disciplined process to offer specific trade ideas geared towards swing traders.
Alan launched www.420Investor.com in late 2013 as the premier source of information for "Green Rush" investors seeking to capitalize on the proliferation of legalized medical and recreational cannabis. In March 2014, Alan, who is a member of the National Cannabis Industry Association, began to focus solely on the cannabis sector. He launched www.NewCannabisVentures.com in late 2015.
You can follow Alan on Facebook (www.facebook.com/420investor) or on Twitter (https://twitter.com/Invest420). Alan also moderates a large LinkedIn group focused on the cannabis industry, Cannabis Investors & Entrepreneurs (https://www.linkedin.com/groups/6523904)
Author, online media, paid content and ecommerce industry analyst, financial blogger and co-founder of of eReports, a leading aggregator of instantly delivered market research, industry analysis, business insights and company valuation reports.
Editor for The Biotech Forum & The Insiders Forum; two of the most subscribed to services available via SeekingAlpha's MarketPlace. Long time Real Money Pro contributor. Biotech investor for a quarter century and frequent speaker on the topic at investment conferences like the MoneyShow and in interviews. For FREE weekly investment reports on small, attractive biotech stocks just register at biotechfreereports.com. To get my articles and instablogs as soon as they are published, please hit my profile and become a real-time follower.
Former long-time business editor of major US women's magazine and contributing editor at dozens of different "trade" and consumer publications. Author of over 3,000 print magazine articles in past 30 years.
Penn Ph.D., centrist Republican.
Please visit my blogsites:
Baby Boomers-The Angriest Generation http://angriestgeneration.wordpress.com
The Rest of U.S. (for and about political Centrists) http://newcentristera.wordpress.com
and my brand-new blog about Markets:
Capital Punishment-Markets Through the Looking Glass http://marketslookingglass.wordpress.com
Matthew Potter is a contributor at DefenseProcurementNews.com (http://www.Defenseprocurementnews.com/) as well as writing about life and politics at his personal site. After serving in the US Navy, he began work as a defense contractor in Washington DC specializing in program management and budget development and execution. He recently relocated to Huntsville, AL, where he supports the US Army in the execution of aviation programs. In the last 15 years Mr. Potter has worked for several companies, large and small, involved in all aspects of the US defense industry. He holds two degrees in history and is a great student of the Civil War in Northern Virginia.
Brad Thomas is a research analyst and he currently writes weekly for Forbes and Seeking Alpha where he maintains research on many publicly-listed REITs. In addition, Thomas is the Editor of the Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter. He is on the Advisory Board of NY Residential REIT and he is a shareholder and publisher on TheMaven (MVEN).
Thomas has also been featured in Forbes Magazine, Kiplinger’s, US News & World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, CNN, Newsmax, and Fox. He is the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014, 2015, and 2016 (based on page views).
Thomas has co-authored a book, The Intelligent REIT Investor, and is the author of The Trump Factor: Unlocking The Secrets Behind The Trump Empire (available on Amazon).
Thomas received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business/Economics from Presbyterian College and he is also on the Advisory Board of the Donald J. Trump Presidential campaign.
MBA from UNLV. Intrepid stock follower for over 20 years.
Have constructed several mathematical models for following stocks. Primary model:
evaluate highs and lows of most or all applicable stock stats by dates identifying
unique stocks and most desirable cycles for further investigation or investment.
Actual desired mathematics: curve fitting to the discovered cycle, identify maxes,
mins, and inflection points by taking the mathematical derivative of the discovered
function. Project these functions and points forward or into the future through a
range of realistic possibilities generating several most likely realistic future scenarios.
If the confidence level is high on the data, at least 90%, preferably 95% or higher,
making the investment is probably a good idea.
Residing in Colorado Springs, Colorado.
Has been trading and coaching using a self-developed option trading system for 10 years. Philosophically conservative, accurately trades weekly options with a strong risk management approach.
Well sought after by investors around the world, he teaches a minimum and hand-selected number of students each quarter how to trade his system.
Besides investing his interests are: Acoustic Guitar, Kayaking, Mountain Biking
Stephen Simpson, CFA, is a freelance financial writer and investor.
I have worked for both sell-side and buy-side firms (equities and fixed income), with the largest percentage of my working time spent in med-tech. At this point I am now effectively in a "working retirement".
I write because I find that the process helps me take better notes, be more disciplined about modeling, and come up with a more coherent investment view for my portfolio management needs. If I'm writing about a stock, it's generally because I'm interested in it as an investment prospect or I think there's an interesting story to tell.
I don't share my models, so please don't ask.
More of my writings can be found at my blog Kratisto Investing (kratistoinvesting.blogspot.com), or Twitter (@Kratisto_Invest).
Kim Klaiman is a full time options trader and founder of SteadyOptions.com. He trades mostly non-directional strategies, like pre-earnings strangles and iron condors. Kim likes to trade strategies with negative correlation. He lives in Toronto, Canada. Visit the SteadyOptions.com forum. SteadyOptions offers a combination of a high quality education and actionable trade ideas using variety of Non-Directional option trading strategies for Steady and Consistent Profits. Email: email@example.com Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SteadyOptions_ SteadyOptions performance: https://steadyoptions.com/performance
I have thirty four years experience investing as an individual, as an adviser to trustees of a son's Guardianship Trust, as co-trustee of a Special Needs Trust, as sole trustee of a supplemental needs trust for my sister, and previously assisting parents to manage a substantial portfolio. In viewing investments I use a blended approach of fundamental analysis, technical analysis, hedging and incorporating an economic perspective. I have a BS in Economics and a BA with a major in Chemistry, both from the University of Minnesota, Minneapolis. I spent most of my career as an industrial process systems engineer and recently several years as a part-time mortgage banker.
I'm a long-term investor looking for both "Growth" and "Value" companies. With over 15 years of experience in the marketplace, my main focus continues to be on small and mid-cap companies in the U.S. as well as companies from abroad, since I believe international markets will play a bigger role in the world's economy in the next decade.
I usually invest in companies through the use of options, but from time to time I also buy shares of stock. Options, when used properly, provide enormous advantages to limit your downside and risk exposure.
My goal in the investing world is to keep things as simple as possible. Defining a plan and sticking to it on every investment premise is my ultimate objective.
Brad Zigler's stints as a contributing editor for the Corporate Communications Broadcast Network, the Journal of Indexes, and CRB Trader set the stage for his role as managing editor of Hard Assets Investor and later as alternative investments editor of Wealth Management (formerly Registered Rep.) magazine, the most highly subscribed publication for financial advisors. Brad's feature articles have appeared in Registered Rep./Wealth Management, Mutual Funds, Financial Planning, Financial Advisor, Futures and Ticker magazines, TheStreet.Com and MarketWatch Web sites, and in journals published by Institutional Investor. After heading up marketing, research and education at the Pacific Exchange's (now NYSE Arca's) option marketplace and Barclays Global Investors, Brad became a financial correspondent for the European Press Network, and a Public Broadcasting System/National Public Radio affiliate. He continues his work as a financial research and communications consultant for a number of private and public organizations.
James A. Shell is currently working as an ISO9001 Quality Systems Consultant and a technical consultant to various other industries,
A veteran of 3 decades in the petrochemical supply chain, I have worked with customers in 19 countries on four continents on formulation development, business development, recycling, logistics, and process improvement projects.