Avi Gilburt is founder of ElliottWaveTrader.net, a live trading room and member forum focusing on Elliott Wave market analysis with over 3000 members and over 450 money manager clients. Avi emphasizes a comprehensive reading of charts and wave counts that is free of personal bias or predisposition.
Avi is an accountant and a lawyer by training. His education background includes his graduating college with dual accounting and economics majors, and he then passed all four parts of the CPA exam at once right after he graduated college. He then earned his Juris Doctorate in an advanced two and a half year program at the St. John’s School of Law in New York, where he graduated cum laude, and in the top 5% of his class. He then went onto the NYU School of Law for his masters of law in taxation (LL.M.).
Before retiring from his legal career, Avi was a partner and National Director at a major national firm. During his legal career, he spearheaded a number of acquisition transactions worth hundreds of millions to billions of dollars in value. So, clearly, Mr. Gilburt has a detailed understanding how businesses work and are valued.
Yet, when it came to learning how to accurately analyze the financial markets, Avi had to unlearn everything he learned in economics in order to maintain on the correct side of the market the great majority of the time. In fact, once he came to the realization that economics and geopolitics fail to assist in understanding how the market works, it allowed him to view financial markets from a more accurate perspective.
For those interested in how Avi went from a successful lawyer and accountant to become the founder of Elliottwavetrader.net, his detailed story is linked here.
Since Avi began providing his analysis to the public, he has made some spectacular market calls which has earned him the reputation of being one of the best technical analysts in the world.
As an example of some of his most notable astounding market calls, in July of 2011, he called for the USD to begin a multi-year rally from the 74 region to an ideal target of 103.53. In January of 2017, the DXY struck 103.82 and began a pullback expected by Avi.
As another example of one of his astounding calls, Avi called the top in the gold market during its parabolic phase in 2011, with an ideal target of $1,915. As we all know, gold hit a high of $1,921, and pulled back for over 4 years since that time. The night that gold hit its lows in December of 2015, Avi was telling his subscribers that he was on the phone with his broker buying a large order of physical gold, while he had been accumulating individual miner stocks that month, and had just opened the EWT Miners Portfolio to begin buying individual miners stocks due to his expectation of an impending low in the complex.
One of his most shocking calls in the stock market was his call in 2015 for the S&P500 to rally from the 1800SPX region to the 2600SPX region, whereas it would coincide with a “global melt-up” in many other assets. Moreover, he was banging on the table in November of 2016 that we were about to enter the most powerful phase of the rally to 2600SPX, and he strongly noted that it did not matter who won the 2016 election in the US, despite many believing that the market would “crash” if Trump would win the election. This was indeed a testament to the accuracy of the Fibonacci Pinball method that Avi developed.
Follow me and my trades on Twitter @Keddie
Long time private investor of Stocks and Options. I have been trading Stocks for 14 years and Options for 12+ years. I am extremely creative when it comes to my trades and I almost always attempt to keep things leveraged. The one thing I've learned is an investor should always be hedged and never be "Naked" in your trades.
At Investment Underground, our editors are disciplined, independent journalists who dig into technology, commodities, and stock market news to break the stories that matter. Our active approach to journalism spans analysis and interviews with noteworthy leaders to uncover real news that affects business right now.
Most notably, our insights predicted the departure of Avon CEO, Andrea Jung, and Warren Buffett’s purchase of his first technology stock in over forty years at Berkshire Hathaway.
Our work appears in Google News, Seeking Alpha, Motley Fool, Morningstar, Vatalyst, Value Walk, and Guru Focus, among others.
Cited by Barron's as one of the top financial websites to visit on the weekend, Financial Sense (www.financialsense.com) provides educational resources to the broad public audience through a daily podcast, editorials, current news and resource links on salient financial market issues. Begun in 1985 as a local talk radio program, Financial Sense Newshour (www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour) is a weekly webcast with host Jim Puplava and top financial thinkers. Writing staff of Financial Sense includes: Jim Puplava, Chris Puplava, Ryan Puplava, and Cris Sheridan.
Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets?, (2) How much should we allocate to conservative assets?, (3) What are the most attractive risk assets?, and (4) What are the most attractive conservative assets?
Chris is an expert in identifying the best ETFs from a wide variety of asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and precious metals. The CCM Market Model compares over 130 different ETFs to identify the most attractive risk-reward opportunities.
Chris graduated summa cum laude from The Georgia Institute of Technology with a co-operative degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering. Prior to founding Ciovacco Capital Management in 1999, Mr. Ciovacco worked as a Financial Advisor for Morgan Stanley in Atlanta for five years earning a strong reputation for his independent research and high integrity. While at Georgia Tech, he gained valuable experience working as a co-op for IBM (1985-1990). During his time with Morgan Stanley, Chris received extensive training which included extended stays in NYC at the World Trade Center.
His areas of expertise include technical analysis and market model development. CCM’s popular weekly technical analysis videos on YouTube have been viewed over 700,000 times. Chris’ years of experience and research led to the creation of the thoroughly backtested CCM Market Model, which serves as the foundation for the management of separate accounts for individuals and businesses.
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Nigam Arora is a distinguished master of the financial markets, a popular columnist, an engineer and nuclear physicist by background, has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies, has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures, is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management, is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method to profit from change in trading and investing that has produced unrivaled investment performance in both bull and bear markets over a long period of time. Nigam's advanced mathematics skills have played a key role in the success of the combination of ZYX Change Method and the adaptive ZYX Allocation Model which automatically changes based on market conditions. The adaptiveness has overcome the weakness of conventional models in that they work for a while and then stop working as market conditions change. Nigam is the founder and Chief Investment Officer of the globally well-respected firm The Arora Report. He is also the founder of the Change Management Center. Nigam is a contributor to Forbes, MarketWatch which is an online affiliate of The Wall Street Journal, and Kitco. His writings have also been seen or referenced in numerous additional media and investment research platforms across the globe. Nigam's writings have generated over 50 million page views. His columns are routinely among the most popular and often the headline at MarketWatch. His columns have also been often among the most popular at Forbes and Seeking Alpha. People close to Nigam call him an economist due to his deep knowledge in applying leading economic indicators to call the markets to generate high risk adjusted returns. Nigam is known for his prescient calls from which subscribers to The Arora Report have handsomely benefited. Over the years, Nigam has made thousands of accurate calls on macro, individual stocks, individual ETFs, commodities including precious metals and crude oil, and currencies. Here are some of his major macro calls. STOCKS • Calls to go to 100% cash prior to the 2008 stock market cash for long only investors • Calls to go to 100% short prior to the 2008 crash for investors who were able to short • In the early stages of the decline prior to 2008 crash, calls to go heavily in inverse ETFs • In the 2008 crash when most investors lost half of the value of their portfolios, subscriber to The Arora Report made money by the boat load • Call to take profits on inverse ETFs in February 2009, just before the market bottom • Calls to take profits on all short positions in February 2009, just before the market bottom • Calls to aggressively buy stocks long in February and March of 2009 right at the market bottom • Aggressive hedging and profit taking prior to market downturn in 2011 making 2011 a profitable year for The Arora Report subscribers, a year in which most investors lost money • Staying aggressively long, at times with protective hedges, during the long bull market of 2009-2015 • Calls for up to 50% cash and aggressive hedging in late 2015 prior to the market downturn of early 2016 GOLD AND SILVER • Calls to backup the truck and buy gold in $600s with average of $663 before a run to $1904 • Calls to allocate 20% (maximum allowed under diversification rules) to silver in $16-18 range with average of $17.73 before a run to $50 • Call to sell all of the silver at $48.50 close to the to the top at just over $50 • Call to short sell silver over $50 and holding the short position all the way down to $14 range. • Call to sell half of the gold at the exact top at $1904 and put a stop on the remaining at $1750, subsequently gold fell to $1000 range. • Correctly stayed bearish on gold and silver since 2011 top to early 2016 with numerous calls to trade mostly from the short side and a handful of correct calls to take long positions to profit from countertrend rallies CRUDE OIL • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2007 in the range of $65-73 with an average of $68.71 before a run to the range of $140 in 2008 • Call to sell all of the crude oil position in 2008 at $138.87 in 2008 right near the top in $140 range • Bearish calls to sell crude oil short in 2008 in the range of $121-133 with an average of 127.34 before a fall to the $40 range • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil short position in 2009 at $41.86 right near the bottom • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2009 in the range of $43-49 with an average of $47.18 before a run to the range of $108 in 2011 • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil long position at $103.43 in 2011 • Bearish calls to sell short crude oil in the range of $108 in 2014 right near the top • Correctly stayed bearish on oil in 2014 to early 2016 as oil dropped to $27 range EUROPE • During European sovereign debt crisis when many gurus were calling for failure of euro, made the correct bold call that euro will survive as a currency and European Union would not break up • Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits CHINA • When China GDP was growing at about 12% and everyone with rare exceptions was bullish on China, made a bold bearish call that China super-cycle was over; by 2016 China true GDP growth fell to about 6% • Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits
Jeffrey Saut is Chief Investment Strategist and Managing Director of Equity Research at Raymond James & Associates.
Mr. Saut began his career on a trading desk in New York City. In 1973, he joined E.F . Hutton, where he began following equities and writing research. He subsequently worked as a securities analyst for Wheat First Securities, and then Branch Cabell, where he ran the equity research group as director of research and acted as portfolio manager for the firm's affiliate, Exeter Capital Management. As director of research, he built the research and institutional sales departments for the regional brokerage firm Ferris, Baker and Watts, Inc. and subsequently Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.
Mr. Saut is well known for his insightful and colorful commentary regarding the stock market, and he makes regular media appearances.
Note: Mr. Saut is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Mr. Saut's public commentary.
Sam Subramanian edits AlphaProfit’s investment newsletter and investing blog. The newsletter frequently rises to the top of the Hulbert Financial Digest’s performance rankings and features among MartketWatch’s top 10 investment newsletters.
Sam researches a wide range of securities including exchange traded funds, stocks, and mutual funds to identify profit opportunities for both long-term investing and short-term trading.
Noted financial writers seek Sam’s insights on markets, sectors, industries and companies for their regular columns in financial media such as Forbes, Investors’ Business Daily, and MarketWatch.
Sam holds a Doctorate degree from Syracuse University and MBA (Hons) from the University of Michigan.
Matthew Bradbard serves as a Director at RCM Alternatives & Attain Portfolio Advisors. Matthew began his career in the commodities business as an advisor to clients on asset allocation and buy/sell decisions. Matthew has devised, implemented and executed trading strategies for several firms since entering the commodity business in 2001. Matthew has also managed his own global macro CTA that traded numerous futures and options strategies and operated his own Introducing Broker for 5 years. A prolific commentator, Matthew has published subject-specific articles, market commentaries, and Managed Futures educational pieces for the last decade. Matthew is frequently interviewed for his opinion on commodities and current events as they relate to commodities and their role in an investor’s portfolios.
Brad McFadden manages a proprietary global macro fund.
He invests by trading the primary direction of asset classes and also looks for extreme deep value situations, providing "liquidity" to panic buyers and sellers.
He publishes his investing approach through DailyTradingReport.com, along with actionable advice expressed through various portfolios. Each portfolio has its own risk profile and trading theme. Brad publishes his investing results, updated daily, with a complete performance history.
It is this accountability that he credits as being able to attract a loyal following of many thousands of people.
Through DailyTradingReport.com Brad also runs an Investor Mentor program. This provides a mentoring service for those looking to "take the next step" in their investment education.
Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
Alan Brochstein, CFA, was the first investment professional to devote himself to sharing his observations about the cannabis industry from an investor's perspective publicly. He runs 420 Investor, a subscription-based due diligence platform for investors interested in the publicly-traded cannabis stocks and is also the founder of New Cannabis Ventures, a content aggregation site focused on investors and entrepreneurs in the cannabis industry. Alan has worked in the securities industry since 1986, primarily with the responsibility for managing investments in institutional environments until he founded AB Analytical Services in 2007 in order to provide independent research and consulting to registered investment advisors. In addition to advising several different hedge funds and investment managers, including Friedberg Investment Management, where he participated as a member of its investment management committee, Alan was also a senior analyst for the independent research firm Management CV. In 2008, he began providing a first-of-its-kind subscription-based service for individual investors, Invest By Model, which offered two different portfolios that investors could replicate in their own accounts. Alan also offered The Analytical Trader at Marketfy, where he used fundamental and technical analysis in a disciplined process to offer specific trade ideas geared towards swing traders.
Alan launched www.420Investor.com in late 2013 as the premier source of information for "Green Rush" investors seeking to capitalize on the proliferation of legalized medical and recreational cannabis. In March 2014, Alan, who is a member of the National Cannabis Industry Association, began to focus solely on the cannabis sector. He launched www.NewCannabisVentures.com in late 2015. You can follow Alan on Facebook (www.facebook.com/420investor) or on Twitter (https://twitter.com/Invest420). Alan also moderates a large LinkedIn group focused on the cannabis industry, Cannabis Investors & Entrepreneurs (https://www.linkedin.com/groups/6523904)