I began my investment career as a portfolio manager in 1972 with Western Bancorporation in Los Angeles (name changed to First Interstate Bancorp, now part of Wells Fargo). After nine years in banking, I became Vice-President Institutional Bond Sales as Merrill Lynch in San Francisco, with the major West Coast banks as clients,. later at L.F. Rothschild. I then returned to the 'buy' side in 1987 - not long before the crash as an institutional cash management portfolio manager with BAIMCO. In 1990, I joined Wentworth, Hauser, and Violich as cash manager and later as bond manager and co-head of Fixed Income, leaving in 2004 to start my own firm, TBD Capital LLC, which I operated for 10 years, as a registered investment advisor. In 2014, I terminated my RIA registration to focus on consulting and creating a new blog on wine, traderbillonwine.com, published bi-monthly, which will hopefully lead to a book. For the past ten years, over 1,600 posts, I have published my blog daily at traderbill.com, which is dormant at this time. I am currently writing a book, Wine and Passion and have a wine blog: www.traderbillonwine.com
I am a reformed MD, now with a finance MBA, and studying valuation independently by developing some conservative DCF models using FCF per share. You can make any investment work if you set a low enough discount rate.... that's one of the discouraging things about doing anything other than passive index investing. Forecasting isn't too accurate, those darn standard deviations are too wide. Margins of safety and alpha are rare and hard to separate from the noise.