Georg Vrba is a professional engineer who has been a consulting engineer for many years. In his opinion, mathematical models provide better guidance to market direction than financial "experts." He has developed financial models for the stock market, the bond market, yield curve, gold, silver and recession prediction, most of which are updated weekly at http://imarketsignals.com/.
Jeffrey Saut is Chief Investment Strategist and Managing Director of Equity Research at Raymond James & Associates.
Mr. Saut began his career on a trading desk in New York City. In 1973, he joined E.F . Hutton, where he began following equities and writing research. He subsequently worked as a securities analyst for Wheat First Securities, and then Branch Cabell, where he ran the equity research group as director of research and acted as portfolio manager for the firm's affiliate, Exeter Capital Management. As director of research, he built the research and institutional sales departments for the regional brokerage firm Ferris, Baker and Watts, Inc. and subsequently Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.
Mr. Saut is well known for his insightful and colorful commentary regarding the stock market, and he makes regular media appearances.
Note: Mr. Saut is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Mr. Saut's public commentary.
I believe that our economic situation is vastly misunderstood. The future adverse consequences of this misunderstanding can not be understated. It is for this reason that I write about our economic condition, with a focus toward (economic) Sustainable Prosperity and the future economic condition of the United States.
As for my background: I have investment experience dating back to 1988. This includes advanced knowledge and experience in equities, options, futures, futures options, forex, and economic research. Much of what is written in this site is a corollary to the analytical and modeling work I do, and have done, concerning the financial markets.
I also have corporate experience. This includes Finance, Pricing, Strategy, Business Analysis and Business Planning; and various aspects of Marketing Management.
My education includes an MBA from University of Chicago and an Undergraduate Degree (B.S.) in Business from Indiana University.
Prior publishing credits include Barron’s, Director’s Monthly, and a contributor to the book “The Art of M&A Integration.”
Tom’s book "Successful Stock Signals for Traders and Portfolio Managers" is available on StockCharts.com. He received his MBA in Accounting from St. John's University, where he taught courses on the stock market. He marketed fundamental research at Woolcott Research, technical research at Hoenig & Co,also quantitative research at Koenig Advisers. His StocksInDemand.com system is designed to make money using a combined fundamental and technical grade for each stock. Any small investor can beat the Index. (Only the mutual fund managers have trouble for good reasons, but the small investor has no such problem.) Swing traders using weekly longs/shorts can also make money.. Investors can use the signals for selling calls to increase portfolio returns.
For each stock in the Index we have a daily fundamental and technical buy/sell signal and an overall buy/hold/sell signal.We have a paper model portfolio for investors and a long/short portfolio for weekly traders. See our daily, public, live charts on StockCharts with all the important signals.
Adam Zingg, CFA offers both practical and theoretical perspectives that will benefit readers who wish to learn more about how to execute on views or strategies that interest them.
Whatever your overarching philosophy or expertise, I believe there is value in understanding how trading works. This is perhaps especially true for investors, who often take a more philosophical, less mechanical view when it comes to their processes.
It is not my goal to:
1) convince you which side of the market to be on
2) establish your trading time frames
3) have you directly follow any specific trade ideas
Instead, I aim to demonstrate how complicated sounding ideas can be simplified and accessible. My hope is to grow your tool kit of resources, and give you healthy confidence to execute your own personalized strategy.
Trading and investment are fascinating, applicable across a wide variety of fields and disciplines. Greater focus on targeting, execution, and exit strategies build transferable life skills.
In reading my work, it is my goal that you will consistently glean useful insights and build skills that enhance your ability to trade and make important decisions.
Self-taught long only investor. Completed three CFA exams. I own 7 stocks in high concentrations. Recommended books: Little Book of Common Sense Investing (Bogle), Security Analysis (Graham/Dodd), Margin of Safety (Klarman); When Genius Failed (Lowenstein), Common Stocks Uncommon Profits (Fisher), Memos from Oaktree Capital (Marks), Zhuangzi (Zhuangzi), Meditations (Marcus Aurelius), The Brothers Karamazov (Dostoevsky), Romance of the Three Kingdoms (Luo Guanzhong)
I am an internationally recognized market technical analyst and trader since 1997. Through www.TheTechnicalTraders.com my mission is to help clients boost their investment performance while reducing risk exposure and portfolio volatility. Through years of research, trading and helping thousands of individual traders and investors around the world I designed an automated algorithmic trading system indicators for the S&P 500 index which solves investor’s biggest problem related to the stock market - the ability to profit in both a rising and falling market. My focus is to educate individuals on how to swing-trade indexes, stocks, ETF's, precious metals, and energy at: http://www.TheTechnicalTraders.com
Seeking Alpha's product team is responsible for the development of all of our product-related projects from start to finish. These projects include the Seeking Alpha Portfolio apps on the App Store and Google Play, our Real Time email alert product, and optimization across the Seeking Alpha website.
The purpose of this profile is to allow us to share with our readers all new product developments. Please follow us on Seeking Alpha to receive updates. We look forward to your input and feedback!
SA Product Team
I've been in investment management since 1990, currently as the money manager for Worm Capital. I received my law degree from the University of Oregon in 1984, worked as an accountant for the international accounting firm KPMG, then got involved in investing. I've written over 300 columns for The Financial Times, TheStreet.com, Realmoney.com and SeekingAlpha.com.
DANIEL NEVINS, CFA, is the author of Economics for Independent Thinkers and proprietor of nevinsresearch.com. He has invested professionally for thirty years, including more than a decade at both J.P. Morgan and SEI Investments. Apart from his book, he is perhaps best known for his behavioral economics research, which was included in the curriculum for the Chartered Financial Analyst® program and earned him recognition as one of the founders of goals-based investing. He has an economics degree from the Wharton School of Business and a degree from the University of Pennsylvania’s engineering school.
Brad Lamensdorf, a seasoned money manager started SQZZ ETF to take advantage of short squeeze opportunities. He also writes is The Lamensdorf Market Timing Report, a newsletter designed to help investors improve performance via market timing by assessing the environment of the stock market using a variety of technical, fundamental and sentiment-oriented tools from powerful independent research firms. Many investors mechanically enter and depart the market without a true “game plan.” Studies have shown that retail investors, in particular, are very poor market timers, tending to invest at or near market peaks and sell at or near market lows. The newsletter is designed to provide risk parameters for both professional and retail investors around the short-term stock market environment, giving subscribers better insight about when to allocate assets into or out of the equity markets.
Lamensdorf, a frequent guest commentator and analyst on major business networks including CNBC, CNN and Fox Business News.
Lamensdorf, also has managed investment portfolios for the Hughes family and acted as principal of Tarpon Partners, managing a long/short fund that was up more than tripling the fund over six years. Earlier in his career, he was as an equity trader/market strategist for Taylor and Company, the Bass brothers’ trading arm, co-managing a short-only strategy in a derivative format with notional exposure. He also served as the in-house market timing strategist for the entire internal and external network of Bass managers.
Doug Short is first-wave boomer with a lifelong interest in markets and the economy. His professional career had been a satisfying split between academia (English Professor at North Carolina State University) and Information technology (IBM and GSK).
Doug retired in 2006 to devote himself full-time to his dshort.com financial website. The domain has now been acquired by Advisor Perspectives, and Doug has been appointed the Vice President of Research.
Doug is especially interested in the economy, long-term market trends and behavioral finance.
Brian Gilmartin, is a portfolio manager at Trinity Asset Management, a firm he founded in May, 1995, catering to individual investors and institutions that werent getting the attention and service deserved, from larger firms. Brian started in the business as a fixed-income / credit analyst, with a Chicago broker-dealer, and then worked at Stein Roe & Farnham in Chicago, from 1992 - 1995, before striking out on his own and managing equity and balanced accounts for clients. Brian has a BSBA (Finance) from Xavier University, Cincinnati, Ohio, (1982) and an MBA (Finance) from Loyola University, Chicago, January, 1985. The CFA was awarded in 1994. Brian has been fortunate enough to write for the TheStreet.com from 2000 to 2012, and then the WallStreet AllStars from August 2011, to Spring, 2012. Brian also wrote for Minyanville.com, and has been quoted in numerous publications including the Wall Street Journal.
Nicholas Vardy is ETF Strategist and contributor to InvestmentU.com for The Oxford Club, a Baltimore-based financial publisher. He has been a columnist for TheStreet.com and for Dow Jones Markewatch. He has been cited in Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Forbes, Investors Business Daily,Yahoo! Finance, theStreet.com, and MSN Money Central. He has appeared on CNBC Asia, Fox Business News and CNN International. Vardy is a graduate of Stanford and Harvard Law School, and former Fulbright scholar.
I am retired after 40 years in the Financial Services Industry. As an Actuary and Statistician, my primary focus was Risk Management. I served as a consultant to some of the largest Financial Institutions and taught advanced risk management skills to top level investing professionals.
My articles focus primarily on Portfolio Management Techniques and balancing risk/reward opportunities. With over 40 years of personal investing history my knowledge and background has been modified by real-life experiences. I relate not only the theoretical aspects but the problems and opportunities encountered in everyday investing life.
My goal is to provide readers a thoughtful look at the stock market and suggest techniques that can help them invest better while reducing risk.
Quantitative Strategies utilizing Empirical Analysis, Pattern Recognition and Statistical Arbitrage techniques. Identifies high-probability long/short opportunities with short-medium term horizon in large caps, ETFs, commodities and FX. Macro Commentary and Market Research.
Scott Grannis was Chief Economist from 1989 to 2007 at Western Asset Management Company, a Pasadena-based manager of fixed-income funds for institutional investors around the globe. He was a member of Western's Investment Strategy Committee, was responsible for developing the firm's domestic and international outlook, and provided consultation and advice on investment and asset allocation strategies to CFOs, Treasurers, and pension fund managers. He specialized in analysis of Federal Reserve policy and interest rate forecasting, and spearheaded the firm's research into Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). Prior to joining Western Asset, he was Senior Economist at the Claremont Economics Institute, an economic forecasting and consulting service headed by John Rutledge, from 1980 to 1986. From 1986 to 1989, he was Principal at Leland O'Brien Rubinstein Associates, a financial services firm that specialized in sophisticated hedging strategies for institutional investors.
Visit his blog: Calafia Beach Pundit (http://scottgrannis.blogspot.com/)
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016. My worst years were 2013-2015 & 2017. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
Over 35 years of investing in individual stocks. Extensive business experience with small to mid-size companies, including as CEO. Many hundreds of blog posts on financial and economic matters since 2008. Focus on value with catalysts for upside price action; and biotech. Background as a physician and pharmaceutical inventor and entrepreneur.
David Moenning is a professional investor with more than 30 years of portfolio management experience. Dave focuses on a risk-managed approach to capital markets via a modern approach to portfolio design and dynamic adaptation to ever-changing macro environments. Dave has been the proprietor of an independent investment research firm since 1989 and most recently was Chief Investment Officer for a $1.3 billion RIA firm.
I'm an Army veteran and former energy dividend writer for The Motley Fool. My goal is to help all people learn how to harness the awesome power of dividend growth investing to achieve their financial dreams, and enrich their lives. With 22 years of investing experience, I've learned what works and more importantly, what doesn't, when it comes to building long-term wealth and income streams. I'm currently on an epic quest to build a broadly diversified, high-quality, high-yield dividend growth portfolio that:
1. Pays 5% to 6% yield
2. Offers 6% to 7% annual dividend growth
3. Pays dividends AT LEAST on a weekly, but preferably, daily basis
Our mission is to help you identify underlying trends in the market so that you can make more thoughtful investment decisions. We focus on economics, equity markets, bonds, and currencies. We are not here to feed you stock ideas. We are here to help you better understand what is causing certain things to happen in the market and what it means for the future impact.
Michael Kramer spent ten years before starting Mott Capital as a buy-side international and domestic equity trader and over 20 years of industry experience. He gives insightful and thoughtful color on what is driving trading, and how identifying daily movements can help predict longer term trends.
Please feel free to check out the service for free for two weeks.
Michael Roat began financial trading at age 18 and has over 7 years of experience. He currently manages an independent portfolio. Michael invests based on a combination of numerous macroeconomic input variables such as foreign exchange, economic data, central bank policy, interest rates, commodity prices, global equity markets, bond yield differentials and cross-correlations. He believes financial markets can be viewed as electronic monetary flows across global asset classes. Michael’s knowledge of central banking and credit cycles allow him to compete in highly competitive financial markets.
Brad Zigler's stints as a contributing editor for the Corporate Communications Broadcast Network, the Journal of Indexes, and CRB Trader set the stage for his role as managing editor of Hard Assets Investor and later as alternative investments editor of Wealth Management (formerly Registered Rep.) magazine, the most highly subscribed publication for financial advisors. Brad's feature articles have appeared in Registered Rep./Wealth Management, Mutual Funds, Financial Planning, Financial Advisor, Futures and Ticker magazines, TheStreet.Com and MarketWatch Web sites, and in journals published by Institutional Investor. After heading up marketing, research and education at the Pacific Exchange's (now NYSE Arca's) option marketplace and Barclays Global Investors, Brad became a financial correspondent for the European Press Network, and a Public Broadcasting System/National Public Radio affiliate. He continues his work as a financial research and communications consultant for a number of private and public organizations.
Hi I'm Chaim Siegel. I've run Elazar since inception in 2004.
In my career working at Morgan Stanley, SAC, JLF and my own firm I've always been known to be a stock picker with the ability to uncover the big calls.
I don't think it's so so complex. It's a process. I speak to companies, understand how businesses work and how different scenarios affect the earnings.
Our earnings numbers have been included in the official street numbers and we've appeared in the Wall Street Journal and MarketWatch.
We have a service here on Seeking Alpha, "Nail Tech Earnings" where we work for you to find the best tech stocks with the most upside potential.
PS We think we are going into an absolute multi-year tech boom which is why we're doing this service for you here. Not bubble, tech boom.
We speak to a ton of company managements, show you all our work, take your requests, have great interaction through the day on chat, give you our models before they hit the street, and tell you which stocks can make you the most money.
If you have any questions on anything what-so-ever, please let me know.
Wishing you happy and profitable investing.
Mr. Taylor is editor of J Taylor’s Gold & Technology Stocks newsletter and host for the popular radio show, Turning Hard Times into Good Times. His interest in the role gold has played in U.S. monetary history led him to research gold and into analyzing and investing in junior gold shares. In 1981 he began publishing North American Gold Mining Stocks, which preceded his current newsletter. His continuing interest in gold mining prompted him to study geology at Hunter College in New York City, supplementing his MBA in Finance & Investments from Baruch College, NYC. Throughout his career Mr. Taylor worked as a commercial, then as an investment banker. Most recently, he worked in the mining and metals group of ING Barings in New York. Prior to that he was involved in the first gold loan made in modern times in the U.S. to Amax Minerals, a 250,000 oz. loan facility led by Citicorp. In 1997 he resigned from ING Barings to devote himself full time to researching mining & technology stocks, writing his newsletter and assisting companies in raising venture capital. Along with the publishing of his newsletter he currently also hosts the web-based radio show “Turning Hard Times Into Good Times.”
Philstockworld.com is the fastest growing stock and option newsletter on the Web. "High Finance for Real People - Fun and Profits" is our motto and our Basic and Premium Chat Sessions offer readers a chance to speak to Phil live during the trading day as well as authors like Optrader, Sabrient, Income Trader and Trend Trader - who send out Alerts during the market sessions and discuss trade ideas live with Members. We even have a new low-cost "Trend Watcher" Membership that lets readers view our chat sessions without directly participating a great solution for people who want to test-drive the site and profit from our experience! Trend Watchers get to view all of our Chat Archives, weekly Webinars - as well as the amazing PSW Wiki, which gives you Phil's recent opinions and trade ideas as well as technical and fundamental analysis of hundreds of stocks that we follow. Philip R. Davis is a founder of Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com), a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders. Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur, having founded software company Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and is also the President of the Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps large and small companies obtain funding and close deals. He was also the founder of Accu-Search, a property data corporation that was sold to DataTrace in 2004 and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. Phil was a former editor of a UMass/Amherst humor magazine and it shows in his writing -- which is filled with colorful commentary along with very specific ideas on stock option purchases (Phil rarely holds actual stocks). Visit: Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com)
Kevin T. Jacques is a former senior economist with the U.S. Treasury Department in Washington, D.C. During his 14 years with the Treasury Department, he worked on topics including risk measurement and management systems, bank capital regulations, and systemic risk. In the mid-1990's, he served as staff on the President's Working Group in Financial Markets examining systemic risk in the U.S. financial system. In addition, during his time in Washington, Dr. Jacques taught finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University.
Dr. Jacques’ economic and financial commentaries have received hundreds of radio, television and newspaper citations including Bloomberg Financial News, National Public Radio (NPR), PBS television, American Banker, U.S. News & World Report, and others.
Currently, he teaches investments at Baldwin Wallace University. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Michigan State University.
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: he has been a partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm. Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics and Finance from the University of Tampa. Chuck is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a Veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.