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Avi Gilburt is founder of ElliottWaveTrader.net, a live trading room and member forum focusing on Elliott Wave market analysis with over 3000 members and over 450 money manager clients. Avi emphasizes a comprehensive reading of charts and wave counts that is free of personal bias or predisposition.
Avi is an accountant and a lawyer by training. His education background includes his graduating college with dual accounting and economics majors, and he then passed all four parts of the CPA exam at once right after he graduated college. He then earned his Juris Doctorate in an advanced two and a half year program at the St. John’s School of Law in New York, where he graduated cum laude, and in the top 5% of his class. He then went onto the NYU School of Law for his masters of law in taxation (LL.M.).
Before retiring from his legal career, Avi was a partner and National Director at a major national firm. During his legal career, he spearheaded a number of acquisition transactions worth hundreds of millions to billions of dollars in value. So, clearly, Mr. Gilburt has a detailed understanding how businesses work and are valued.
Yet, when it came to learning how to accurately analyze the financial markets, Avi had to unlearn everything he learned in economics in order to maintain on the correct side of the market the great majority of the time. In fact, once he came to the realization that economics and geopolitics fail to assist in understanding how the market works, it allowed him to view financial markets from a more accurate perspective.
For those interested in how Avi went from a successful lawyer and accountant to become the founder of Elliottwavetrader.net, his detailed story is linked here.
Since Avi began providing his analysis to the public, he has made some spectacular market calls which has earned him the reputation of being one of the best technical analysts in the world.
As an example of some of his most notable astounding market calls, in July of 2011, he called for the USD to begin a multi-year rally from the 74 region to an ideal target of 103.53. In January of 2017, the DXY struck 103.82 and began a pullback expected by Avi.
As another example of one of his astounding calls, Avi called the top in the gold market during its parabolic phase in 2011, with an ideal target of $1,915. As we all know, gold hit a high of $1,921, and pulled back for over 4 years since that time. The night that gold hit its lows in December of 2015, Avi was telling his subscribers that he was on the phone with his broker buying a large order of physical gold, while he had been accumulating individual miner stocks that month, and had just opened the EWT Miners Portfolio to begin buying individual miners stocks due to his expectation of an impending low in the complex.
One of his most shocking calls in the stock market was his call in 2015 for the S&P500 to rally from the 1800SPX region to the 2600SPX region, whereas it would coincide with a “global melt-up” in many other assets. Moreover, he was banging on the table in November of 2016 that we were about to enter the most powerful phase of the rally to 2600SPX, and he strongly noted that it did not matter who won the 2016 election in the US, despite many believing that the market would “crash” if Trump would win the election. This was indeed a testament to the accuracy of the Fibonacci Pinball method that Avi developed.
I am the founder and director of three companies: Euro Pacific Capital (www.europac.net), a full service, registered broker-dealer and RIA which specializes in foreign securities; Euro Pacific Precious Metals (www.europacmetals.com), a gold & silver coin and bullion dealer; and Euro Pacific Asset Management (www.europacificfunds.com), a fund management company that is building a family of mutual funds based on my economic philosophy.
I am most well-known for accurately and publicly predicting the collapse of the housing and credit markets, the subprime crisis, and the increasing price of gold relative to the US dollar, resulting in the viral YouTube video "Peter Schiff Was Right."
I fly around the country and the world speaking to diverse groups, from academic conferences to Tea Party rallies. I have also appeared regularly on cable news stations since the mid-2000s trying to warn people of the impending economic collapse brought on by destructive fiscal and economic policy in Washington.
To that end, I published my first book, "Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse," in early 2007, predicting the 2008 economic crisis while the mainstream commentators were saying it was impossible. Then, at the height of the crisis, I released "The Little Book of Bull Moves in Bear Markets," in which I showed readers how to help protect their finances in turbulent times. I've written updated versions of both Crash Proof and The Little Book since then, talking about how my predictions fared and why the worst of the crash is still ahead of us. I also wrote a book with my brother based on a popular comic book my dad wrote in the '70s. "How an Economy Grows and Why It Crashes" is an illustrated fable that starts with three guys on an island and uses allegory to explain exactly how we got into our current mess.
In the 2010 election season, I ran for the US Senate seat of retiring Senator Chris Dodd in my home state of Connecticut in order to bring attention to the mounting problems in this country. While I did not win the seat, my message of fiscal and monetary sanity was brought to a new audience of voters and political leaders.
I've had a regular video blog on YouTube since 2009, called The Schiff Report (www.youtube.com/user/SchiffReport) and, after giving up my long-running Wall Street Unspun podcast, I am now the host of a nightly radio show called The Peter Schiff Show (www.schiffradio.com).
I have been an active investor for almost 20 years. My main focus is on high-yield stocks, particularly MLPs, and high-growth oil companies in the Eagle Ford shale. I have a portion of my portfolio allocated to short-term trading, with a focus on over-reactions to company news and directional plays on VIX-based ETFs. I am happy to answer just about any question sent my way, especially from those new to the stock market.
James A. Kostohryz has accumulated over twenty years of experience investing and trading virtually every asset class across the globe.
Kostohryz started his investment career as an analyst at one of the US's largest asset management firms covering sectors as diverse as emerging markets, banking, energy, construction, real estate, metals and mining. Later, Kostohryz became Chief Global Strategist and Head of International Investments for a major investment bank. Kostohryz currently manages his own investment firm, specializing in proprietary trading and institutional portfolio management advisory.
Born in Mexico, Kostohryz grew up between south Texas and Colombia, has lived and worked in nine different countries, and has traveled extensively in more than 50 others. Kostohryz actively pursues various intellectual interests and is currently writing a book about the impact of culture on economic development. He is a former NCAA and world-class decathlete and has stayed active in a variety of sports.
Kostohryz graduated with honors from both Stanford University and Harvard Law School.
You can receive custom delivery of all of Mr. Kostohryz's published work on Seeking Alpha, The Street, and other media, as well as exclusive material, by following the link below. It is absolutely free:
You may connect with Mr. Kostohryz via the following social networks:
When connecting, be sure to identify yourself as a Seeking Alpha reader.
I use two complementary strategies for investing:
One is a quantitative, algorithm based, statistically modeled market timing strategy that I began developing in 1990, and started using 1994. The algorithms rely heavily on intra-day data, and none are based on “traditional” TA.
The original algorithms were developed using very short term intraday data and tested on reams of data, generating tens of thousands of signals. These are somewhat similar to directional HFT algorithms used today, basically searching out statistical “fingerprints” of high probability countertrend reversal points. The intention was to create a trading system requiring very limited human decision making. Since markets are fractal, these algorithms were found to work well with all time times, and are therefore not “curve fitted” to longer term daily or weekly time frames where they may trigger signals a very limited number of times (a dangerous practice). Automated analysis of multiple time frames form the basis of buy/sell signals, and incorporate risk control. The system is very selective. Longer term signals are generated infrequently, and have proved very reliable.
The second strategy is a fundamentally-based, bottoms-up, Graham and Dodd style value-based strategy, complemented by an algorithm-based component providing entry and exit points for individual stocks.
Occasional hedging, with both options and short positions, are a part of both strategies. Typically, dollars generated by closing longer term positions are earmarked for reinvestment in other asset classes or, if the continuation of an upward trend is anticipated, are used for short to intermediate trading of stocks or leveraged broad market ETF's (I have disclosed only longer term lower risk positions, and some examples of options hedging strategies in realtime on SA).
In 1998, I decided to invest and trade my own account full time. I have been happily and successfully doing this since then, and have no intention of doing otherwise in the future.
I seek not seek to change hearts and minds, but only to provide a little food for thought to those who are interested, and garner some from others as well. My views are always based on the output of my computers, and other than expressing them in probabilities (which is a realistic necessity), I don’t equivocate, and back them up with positions in the markets.
I believe that approaching both life, and the markets, with a little levity is a good thing. My sense of humor doesn’t show up at all in this bio, but I do have one!
By the way, "Hal" is my computer's name (quantitative strategy).
Not much to tell. Born in NY, NY in 1955 and at age 7 my Jewish dad thought I should go with him to the brokerage house. Not tee ball or pop warner football. Such is life. All I know is the market for 49 years and am now retired at 53 ( now 56) and 3 years living in Panama an 5 before in Costa Rica is good. A 26 year old tica wife also is good.
I have national medical insurance for 12 bucks a month in Costa Rica and private coverage in Panama at a great hospital........ Prices are 60 to 70% cheaper than the US and today I paid my yearly car insurance for $ 115.28.......... What more does a current bio need.
Self employed 35 years and opened 5 businesses and sold all 5..
With good internet a news junkie I am. A little Bloomberg; CNBC, Fox an CNN business........ Plus living outside the US gives a clearer picture.
I developed my own trading system, based on magnetism (physics) and velocity vectors...I find the center of the compression, and factor time with volume which determines the outward velocity vector (linear expansion) thereby predicting price and time.
I have a market update service
I've been in the markets since 1984
Doug Casey is a highly respected author, publisher and professional investor who graduated from Georgetown University in 1968.
Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil: his book Crisis Investing spent multiple weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980 with 438,640 copies sold; surpassing big-caliber names, like Free to Choose by Milton Friedman, The Real War by Richard Nixon, and Cosmos by Carl Sagan.
Then Doug broke the record with his next book, Strategic Investing, by receiving the largest advance ever paid for a financial book at the time. Interestingly enough, Doug’s book The International Man was the most sold book in the history of Rhodesia.
He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News and CNN; and has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post.
Doug, who divides his time between homes in Aspen, Colorado; Auckland, New Zealand; and Salta, Argentina, has written newsletters and alert services for sophisticated investors for over 28 years. Doug has lived in 10 countries and visited over 175.
In addition to having served as a trustee on the Board of Governors of Washington College and Northwoods University, Doug has been a director and advisor to nine different financial corporations.
Doug is widely respected as one of the preeminent authorities on “rational speculation,” especially in the high-potential natural resource sector.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA, winner of the 2016 Dow Award and 2015 NAAIM Wagner Award, is chief investment strategist and co-portfolio manager at Pension Partners, LLC., an investment advisor which manages mutual funds and separate accounts according to its ATAC strategies. Prior to this role, Gayed served as a portfolio manager for a large international investment group, trading long/short investment ideas in an effort to capture excess returns. From 2004 to 2008, Gayed was a strategist at AmeriCap Advisers LLC, a registered investment advisory firm that managed equity portfolios for large institutional clients. In 2007, he launched his own long/short hedge fund, using various trading strategies focused on taking advantage of stock market anomalies. Follow him on Twitter @pensionpartners and YouTube youtube.com/pensionpartners. He has re-released his father's 1990 book Intermarket Analysis and Investing, now available on Amazon.com.
Moon Kil Woong is currently a VP at a SME. Previously he was a tech stock consultant, VP of Research at ING, and sell side Director at Crédit Agricole Indosuez. Moon Kil Woong has a Masters in Public Administration from SJSU.
Methodology: setups require certain criteria to be met before trades can be executed, which include weighted statistical studies on several indicators of price, breadth, volume, and sentiment . Amount of risk taken is proportional to how many indicators are aligned. I mainly trade market indexes, to a much lesser extent commodities, currencies, very rarely individual stocks, and always with defined risk.
MBA with a concentration in finance, The State University of New York. BS in management, concentrations in accounting, and finance. Chartered Market Technician candidate (all exams passed). +6 years professional trading experience.
Publishing Schedule for 2013: A long term update will be put out on the first of the month discussing the long term trend and long term indicators. Short term updates will be published on Mondays and Wednesday discussing the short term indicators and price action. A short comment will be published on Tuesdays and Thursdays. Friday's will have a short market update, as well as a full sentiment update and review for the week.
Nigam Arora is a distinguished master of the financial markets, a popular columnist, an engineer and nuclear physicist by background, has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies, has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures, is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management, is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method to profit from change in trading and investing that has produced unrivaled investment performance in both bull and bear markets over a long period of time. Nigam's advanced mathematics skills have played a key role in the success of the combination of ZYX Change Method and the adaptive ZYX Allocation Model which automatically changes based on market conditions. The adaptiveness has overcome the weakness of conventional models in that they work for a while and then stop working as market conditions change. Nigam is the founder and Chief Investment Officer of the globally well-respected firm The Arora Report. He is also the founder of the Change Management Center. Nigam is a contributor to Forbes, MarketWatch which is an online affiliate of The Wall Street Journal, and Kitco. His writings have also been seen or referenced in numerous additional media and investment research platforms across the globe. Nigam's writings have generated over 50 million page views. His columns are routinely among the most popular and often the headline at MarketWatch. His columns have also been often among the most popular at Forbes and Seeking Alpha. People close to Nigam call him an economist due to his deep knowledge in applying leading economic indicators to call the markets to generate high risk adjusted returns. Nigam is known for his prescient calls from which subscribers to The Arora Report have handsomely benefited. Over the years, Nigam has made thousands of accurate calls on macro, individual stocks, individual ETFs, commodities including precious metals and crude oil, and currencies. Here are some of his major macro calls. STOCKS • Calls to go to 100% cash prior to the 2008 stock market cash for long only investors • Calls to go to 100% short prior to the 2008 crash for investors who were able to short • In the early stages of the decline prior to 2008 crash, calls to go heavily in inverse ETFs • In the 2008 crash when most investors lost half of the value of their portfolios, subscriber to The Arora Report made money by the boat load • Call to take profits on inverse ETFs in February 2009, just before the market bottom • Calls to take profits on all short positions in February 2009, just before the market bottom • Calls to aggressively buy stocks long in February and March of 2009 right at the market bottom • Aggressive hedging and profit taking prior to market downturn in 2011 making 2011 a profitable year for The Arora Report subscribers, a year in which most investors lost money • Staying aggressively long, at times with protective hedges, during the long bull market of 2009-2015 • Calls for up to 50% cash and aggressive hedging in late 2015 prior to the market downturn of early 2016 GOLD AND SILVER • Calls to backup the truck and buy gold in $600s with average of $663 before a run to $1904 • Calls to allocate 20% (maximum allowed under diversification rules) to silver in $16-18 range with average of $17.73 before a run to $50 • Call to sell all of the silver at $48.50 close to the to the top at just over $50 • Call to short sell silver over $50 and holding the short position all the way down to $14 range. • Call to sell half of the gold at the exact top at $1904 and put a stop on the remaining at $1750, subsequently gold fell to $1000 range. • Correctly stayed bearish on gold and silver since 2011 top to early 2016 with numerous calls to trade mostly from the short side and a handful of correct calls to take long positions to profit from countertrend rallies CRUDE OIL • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2007 in the range of $65-73 with an average of $68.71 before a run to the range of $140 in 2008 • Call to sell all of the crude oil position in 2008 at $138.87 in 2008 right near the top in $140 range • Bearish calls to sell crude oil short in 2008 in the range of $121-133 with an average of 127.34 before a fall to the $40 range • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil short position in 2009 at $41.86 right near the bottom • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2009 in the range of $43-49 with an average of $47.18 before a run to the range of $108 in 2011 • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil long position at $103.43 in 2011 • Bearish calls to sell short crude oil in the range of $108 in 2014 right near the top • Correctly stayed bearish on oil in 2014 to early 2016 as oil dropped to $27 range EUROPE • During European sovereign debt crisis when many gurus were calling for failure of euro, made the correct bold call that euro will survive as a currency and European Union would not break up • Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits CHINA • When China GDP was growing at about 12% and everyone with rare exceptions was bullish on China, made a bold bearish call that China super-cycle was over; by 2016 China true GDP growth fell to about 6% • Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits
Erik is the senior market technician for Prometheus Market Insight and has been performing chart analysis since 1995. The software program that he developed to monitor long-term stock market trends has correctly identified 92% of the cyclical turning points in the S&P 500 index since 1940. His Gold Currency Index has predicted every major trend change in the US gold market since its creation in 2005.
Price Headley was inducted into the Traders' Hall of Fame in 2007 and is the founder of BigTrends.com, which provides investors with specific real-time stock and options strategies and investment education to profit from significant market trends. Price appears regularly on CNBC, Fox News, and in a variety of major financial news outlets. Timer Digest recognized the success of BigTrends.com's investment strategies by ranking Price among the Top 10 Market Timers for stock market timing.
Trader - Economist - Health Care Specialist - Chart interpreter
Happy New Year!
2014 may not be kind to equities. Caution for most investors.
Great Year for traders!
YEAR OF THE BEARS - 2014!
I am an economist at heart but trying to learn how to fundamentally invest in a more efficient manner. I graduated from the Lundquist College of Business at the University of Oregon with a Bachelors of Science in Finance with a minor in Economics. I started investing a couple years ago when I figured out just how messed up our economy was and thought I should take some steps to protect myself.
I’m a swing trader of momentum stocks with a holding period of anywhere from a few hours to a few months. I run a number of screens to locate the strongest/weakest stocks out there, using technical analysis to determine my entries and exits. Trying to calculate the intrinsic value of stocks in my opinion is out of date and there is wisdom in crowds.I've developed a market timing system that determines when it's best to be long, short or on the sidelines, using a number of proprietary indicators based on many time frames. I believe that to have longevity in this field one must find ways to calm the mind and trade from a detached point of view. Emotionless trading will allow you to respond to what's going on right now in the markets, rather than reacting to daily fluctuations.View my personal blog http://zentrader.ca/
Cliff Wachtel, CPA, is currently the Director of Market Research, New Media and Training for Caesartrade.com, a fast growing forex and CFD broker. He covers a variety of topics including global market drivers, forex, currency hedged and diversified income investing, and is currently working on a unique project related to that asset class - MLPs.
He is also the author of The Sensible Guide To Forex, and publisher of thesensibleguidetoforex.com. Both the book and website are uniquely dedicated to providing safer, simpler ways for active traders and passive long term income investors to use forex markets to diversify out of currencies like the USD, EUR, JPY, and others that are being debased by central bank policies, and so hedge currency risk and boost returns.
Since the Great Financial Crisis began in 2007, Cliff was among the first financial writers to focus on stocks that provide steady, high yields currency diversification for insurance against currencies being steadily devalued. Articles focus on both top income stocks for exposure to multiple quality currencies, and safer, simpler less demanding types of longer term forex trades than commonly covered on other forex sites.
He also posts a variety of articles on topics ranging from weekly strategic global market analysis, conservative forex trading, assorted special reports, currency diversified income investing, binary options, and trader training articles via multiple websites. His home sites include: globalmarkets.anyoption.com, thesensibleguidetoforex.com, caesartrade.com, globalmarkets.com, and others. Most can also be found at leading financial websites like seekingalpha.com, businessinsider.com, and forex sites like forexfactory.com and fxstreet.com. His work is regularly translated into numerous languages, including Spanish, French, Italian, Turkish and Russian, Arabic, German, and Chinese, often with his express knowledge and permission!
He has appeared in a variety of offline publications including Forex Journal, and John Nyaradi’s book, Super Sectors, in which he was interviewed along with other market experts like Jim Rodgers, Dr.Marc Faber, John Mauldin, Robert Prechter, and Tom Lydon.
Prior to his current positions, he was Chief Analyst at avafx.com, and a 30+ year financial market veteran as investor, trader, writer, analyst and advisor to private clients and institutions. He attended Vassar College and Cornell University, and is a certified public accountant.
He’s married with 5 children and lives in Jerusalem, Israel, where he can follow Asian markets in the early morning, Europe through the workday, and the Americas at night.
Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners.
Publisher of Retirement Sentinel marketplace service on Seeking Alpha.
Visiting Lecturer at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics.
Faculty Advisor to the Ursinus College Finance Scholars.
Sy Harding founded Asset Management Research Corporation in 1988 for the purpose of providing stock market and economic research to institutions and serious investors. Harding’s engineering background, coupled with his experience in operating high-tech businesses through numerous economic cycles, made it natural that the research involves technical analysis and charting, as well as analysis of the economic fundamentals that affect markets and individual stocks.
The firm publishes its research on its website at www.StreetSmartReport.com.
Harding is frequently ranked highly in the ‘Top Ten Market Timers in the U.S.’, and is quoted frequently in the financial media.
He wrote the timely 1999 book Riding the Bear – How to Prosper in the Coming Bear Market, which accurately predicted the 2000-2002 bear market. It also introduced Sy’s remarkable Seasonal Timing Strategy, which more than doubled the performance of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in the nine years since, without a single down year even in the serious 2000-2002 bear market.
He has a new book out ‘How to Beat the Market the Easy Way’, which reveals several new seasonal timing strategies, from short-term to long-term, which have a history of out-performing the market, while exposing investors to less than 50% of market risk.