It was six men of Indostan To learning much inclined, Who went to see the Elephant (Though all of them were blind), That each by observation Might satisfy his mind. The First approach'd the Elephant, And happening to fall Against his broad and sturdy side, At once began to bawl: "God bless me! but the Elephant Is very like a wall!" The Second, feeling of the tusk, Cried, -"Ho! what have we here So very round and smooth and sharp? To me 'tis mighty clear This wonder of an Elephant Is very like a spear!" The Third approached the animal, And happening to take The squirming trunk within his hands, Thus boldly up and spake: "I see," quoth he, "the Elephant Is very like a snake!" The Fourth reached out his eager hand, And felt about the knee. "What most this wondrous beast is like Is mighty plain," quoth he, "'Tis clear enough the Elephant Is very like a tree!" The Fifth, who chanced to touch the ear, Said: "E'en the blindest man Can tell what this resembles most; Deny the fact who can, This marvel of an Elephant Is very like a fan!" The Sixth no sooner had begun About the beast to grope, Then, seizing on the swinging tail That fell within his scope, "I see," quoth he, "the Elephant Is very like a rope!" And so these men of Indostan Disputed loud and long, Each in his own opinion Exceeding stiff and strong, Though each was partly in the right, And all were in the wrong! MORAL. So oft in theologic wars, The disputants, I ween, Rail on in utter ignorance Of what each other mean, And prate about an Elephant Not one of them has seen!
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Gareth Hatch is the Interim CEO and Executive Director of Alabama Graphite Corp. (TSX.V:CSPG), an aspiring specialty-graphite producer focused on the future production of battery-ready natural-graphite products from its Coosa property in Alabama, USA. He is also co-founder, President and Director of Innovations Metals Corp. (IMC), a private, Toronto-based company specializing in cost-effective processing solutions for metals vital to high-tech and green energy, such rare-earth elements (REEs) and lithium, nickel and cobalt. Gareth is the co-inventor of IMC’s patent-pending RapidSX™ separation and purification process for these metals.
Gareth is also a Founding Principal of Technology Metals Research, LLC, a well-known advisory and consulting firm operating in the critical-materials sector. He was previously Director of Technology at U.S.-based Dexter Magnetic Technologies, Inc., and holds five patents on a variety of magnetic devices.
During 2014-2016, Gareth served as Principal Investigator on a multi-million-dollar research program on innovative processes for REEs, funded by the U.S. Army Research Laboratory, part of the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD). He has advised the DoD, NATO, the European Commission (EC), the U.K. Parliament and members of the U.S. Congress on threats to the strategic-materials supply chain. Gareth has authored numerous peer-reviewed journal articles and has been cited by reports published by the DoD, the U.S. General Accountability Office, the U.S. Department of Energy, the U.S. Geological Survey, the British Geological Survey, the EC and many others.
Gareth is a Fellow of the Institute of Materials, Minerals & Mining (IMMM), a Fellow of the Institution of Engineering & Technology (IET), a Chartered Engineer registered through the U.K. Engineering Council and a Senior Member of the Institute of Electronic and Electrical Engineers (IEEE). In 2017, he was Director of a NATO-sponsored lecture series on REEs, presented in several locations in North America and Europe. Gareth is also a member of the Canadian ISO TC/298 Mirror Committee, working to develop international standards for the REE industry.
A two-time graduate of the University of Birmingham in the United Kingdom, Gareth holds a Bachelor of Engineering degree with Honours in Materials Science & Technology and a Doctor of Philosophy degree in Metallurgy & Materials, focused on rare-earth permanent-magnet materials. Email: ghatch-(at)-innovationmetals.com [replace the -(at)- with @].
Joe is CEO of Stanford Wealth Management and a retired SVP of Charles Schwab. He served 36 year in active and reserve military service in special operations and the intelligence community. He brings that geopolitical experience and rational systematic perspective to his research and analysis. He is the author of the investment primer "Bringing Home the Gold" and a member of the SA Marketplace.
If you have a $500,000 portfolio ($250,000 for solely mutual funds & ETFs) you may contact Joe for a no-obligation "second opinion" on your current portfolio: firstname.lastname@example.org.
Gold Stock Trades Editor Jeb Handwerger is a highly sought-after stock analyst syndicated internationally and known throughout the financial industry for his accurate and timely analysis of the equities markets, particularly the metals and mining sector. Subscribe to his FREE Newsletter right now at: http://goldstocktrades.com.
Nigam Arora is a distinguished master of the financial markets, a popular columnist, an engineer and nuclear physicist by background, has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies, has been involved in over 50 entrepreneurial ventures, is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management, is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method to profit from change in trading and investing that has produced unrivaled investment performance in both bull and bear markets over a long period of time. Nigam's advanced mathematics skills have played a key role in the success of the combination of ZYX Change Method and the adaptive ZYX Allocation Model which automatically changes based on market conditions. The adaptiveness has overcome the weakness of conventional models in that they work for a while and then stop working as market conditions change. Nigam is the founder and Chief Investment Officer of the globally well-respected firm The Arora Report. He is also the founder of the Change Management Center. Nigam is a contributor to Forbes, MarketWatch which is an online affiliate of The Wall Street Journal, and Kitco. His writings have also been seen or referenced in numerous additional media and investment research platforms across the globe. Nigam's writings have generated over 50 million page views. His columns are routinely among the most popular and often the headline at MarketWatch. His columns have also been often among the most popular at Forbes and Seeking Alpha. People close to Nigam call him an economist due to his deep knowledge in applying leading economic indicators to call the markets to generate high risk adjusted returns. Nigam is known for his prescient calls from which subscribers to The Arora Report have handsomely benefited. Over the years, Nigam has made thousands of accurate calls on macro, individual stocks, individual ETFs, commodities including precious metals and crude oil, and currencies. Here are some of his major macro calls. STOCKS • Calls to go to 100% cash prior to the 2008 stock market cash for long only investors • Calls to go to 100% short prior to the 2008 crash for investors who were able to short • In the early stages of the decline prior to 2008 crash, calls to go heavily in inverse ETFs • In the 2008 crash when most investors lost half of the value of their portfolios, subscriber to The Arora Report made money by the boat load • Call to take profits on inverse ETFs in February 2009, just before the market bottom • Calls to take profits on all short positions in February 2009, just before the market bottom • Calls to aggressively buy stocks long in February and March of 2009 right at the market bottom • Aggressive hedging and profit taking prior to market downturn in 2011 making 2011 a profitable year for The Arora Report subscribers, a year in which most investors lost money • Staying aggressively long, at times with protective hedges, during the long bull market of 2009-2015 • Calls for up to 50% cash and aggressive hedging in late 2015 prior to the market downturn of early 2016 GOLD AND SILVER • Calls to backup the truck and buy gold in $600s with average of $663 before a run to $1904 • Calls to allocate 20% (maximum allowed under diversification rules) to silver in $16-18 range with average of $17.73 before a run to $50 • Call to sell all of the silver at $48.50 close to the to the top at just over $50 • Call to short sell silver over $50 and holding the short position all the way down to $14 range. • Call to sell half of the gold at the exact top at $1904 and put a stop on the remaining at $1750, subsequently gold fell to $1000 range. • Correctly stayed bearish on gold and silver since 2011 top to early 2016 with numerous calls to trade mostly from the short side and a handful of correct calls to take long positions to profit from countertrend rallies CRUDE OIL • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2007 in the range of $65-73 with an average of $68.71 before a run to the range of $140 in 2008 • Call to sell all of the crude oil position in 2008 at $138.87 in 2008 right near the top in $140 range • Bearish calls to sell crude oil short in 2008 in the range of $121-133 with an average of 127.34 before a fall to the $40 range • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil short position in 2009 at $41.86 right near the bottom • Bullish calls to buy crude oil long in 2009 in the range of $43-49 with an average of $47.18 before a run to the range of $108 in 2011 • Call to take profits on all of the crude oil long position at $103.43 in 2011 • Bearish calls to sell short crude oil in the range of $108 in 2014 right near the top • Correctly stayed bearish on oil in 2014 to early 2016 as oil dropped to $27 range EUROPE • During European sovereign debt crisis when many gurus were calling for failure of euro, made the correct bold call that euro will survive as a currency and European Union would not break up • Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits CHINA • When China GDP was growing at about 12% and everyone with rare exceptions was bullish on China, made a bold bearish call that China super-cycle was over; by 2016 China true GDP growth fell to about 6% • Made several specific investment calls stemming from the foregoing macro call that have generated large profits
Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets?, (2) How much should we allocate to conservative assets?, (3) What are the most attractive risk assets?, and (4) What are the most attractive conservative assets?
Chris is an expert in identifying the best ETFs from a wide variety of asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and precious metals. The CCM Market Model compares over 130 different ETFs to identify the most attractive risk-reward opportunities.
Chris graduated summa cum laude from The Georgia Institute of Technology with a co-operative degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering. Prior to founding Ciovacco Capital Management in 1999, Mr. Ciovacco worked as a Financial Advisor for Morgan Stanley in Atlanta for five years earning a strong reputation for his independent research and high integrity. While at Georgia Tech, he gained valuable experience working as a co-op for IBM (1985-1990). During his time with Morgan Stanley, Chris received extensive training which included extended stays in NYC at the World Trade Center.
His areas of expertise include technical analysis and market model development. CCM’s popular weekly technical analysis videos on YouTube have been viewed over 700,000 times. Chris’ years of experience and research led to the creation of the thoroughly backtested CCM Market Model, which serves as the foundation for the management of separate accounts for individuals and businesses.
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James A. Kostohryz has accumulated over twenty years of experience investing and trading virtually every asset class across the globe.
Kostohryz started his investment career as an analyst at one of the US's largest asset management firms covering sectors as diverse as emerging markets, banking, energy, construction, real estate, metals and mining. Later, Kostohryz became Chief Global Strategist and Head of International Investments for a major investment bank. Kostohryz currently manages his own investment firm, specializing in proprietary trading and institutional portfolio management advisory.
Born in Mexico, Kostohryz grew up between south Texas and Colombia, has lived and worked in nine different countries, and has traveled extensively in more than 50 others. Kostohryz actively pursues various intellectual interests and is currently writing a book about the impact of culture on economic development. He is a former NCAA and world-class decathlete and has stayed active in a variety of sports.
Kostohryz graduated with honors from both Stanford University and Harvard Law School.
You can receive custom delivery of all of Mr. Kostohryz's published work on Seeking Alpha, The Street, and other media, as well as exclusive material, by following the link below. It is absolutely free:
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After having been in the investing world for more than 25 years from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital; I have pretty much "been there and done that" at one point or another. I am currently a silent partner for an RIA in Houston, Texas.
The majority of my time is spent analyzing, researching and writing commentary about investing, investor psychology and macro-views of the markets and the economy. My thoughts are not generally mainstream and are often contrarian in nature but I try an use a common sense approach, clear explanations and my “real world” experience in the process.
I am the Chief Editor of the REAL INVESTMENT REPORT, a weekly subscriber based-newsletter that is distributed nationwide. The newsletter covers economic, political and market topics as they relate to your money and life.
I also write a daily blog which is read by thousands nationwide from individuals to professionals at www.realinvestmentadvice.com.
I have never been a dancer, but some might accuse me of being a diva. I liked the alliterative properties of the name and was reading a book about dancers at the time of my Seeking Alpha signup.
Born in "da Bronx" in 1956, now living in California, I spend much of my time managing the family finances, researching and trading stocks. I'm retired (as is my spouse); my background is in economics, with expertise in grains analysis. During the almost 20 years I worked for a grains exporter, a major food company and a couple of brokerage firms - always in grains analysis. In my last job, I was given the go-ahead to trade. Trading grain futures is a great way to build wealth but I've seen too many others lose it quickly, so I walked away from it in 1997 (to the surprise of many) and transferred that passion to stock analysis in 2005, several years after our son was born. The slower pace of the stock market is better suited to our advancing ages and desire for capital preservation.
What I enjoy most about the markets is the continuous learning process and read Seeking Alpha in pursuit of actionable knowledge.
Avi Gilburt is founder of ElliottWaveTrader.net, a live trading room and member forum focusing on Elliott Wave market analysis with over 3000 members and over 450 money manager clients. Avi emphasizes a comprehensive reading of charts and wave counts that is free of personal bias or predisposition.
Avi is an accountant and a lawyer by training. His education background includes his graduating college with dual accounting and economics majors, and he then passed all four parts of the CPA exam at once right after he graduated college. He then earned his Juris Doctorate in an advanced two and a half year program at the St. John’s School of Law in New York, where he graduated cum laude, and in the top 5% of his class. He then went onto the NYU School of Law for his masters of law in taxation (LL.M.).
Before retiring from his legal career, Avi was a partner and National Director at a major national firm. During his legal career, he spearheaded a number of acquisition transactions worth hundreds of millions to billions of dollars in value. So, clearly, Mr. Gilburt has a detailed understanding how businesses work and are valued.
Yet, when it came to learning how to accurately analyze the financial markets, Avi had to unlearn everything he learned in economics in order to maintain on the correct side of the market the great majority of the time. In fact, once he came to the realization that economics and geopolitics fail to assist in understanding how the market works, it allowed him to view financial markets from a more accurate perspective.
For those interested in how Avi went from a successful lawyer and accountant to become the founder of Elliottwavetrader.net, his detailed story is linked here.
Since Avi began providing his analysis to the public, he has made some spectacular market calls which has earned him the reputation of being one of the best technical analysts in the world.
As an example of some of his most notable astounding market calls, in July of 2011, he called for the USD to begin a multi-year rally from the 74 region to an ideal target of 103.53. In January of 2017, the DXY struck 103.82 and began a pullback expected by Avi.
As another example of one of his astounding calls, Avi called the top in the gold market during its parabolic phase in 2011, with an ideal target of $1,915. As we all know, gold hit a high of $1,921, and pulled back for over 4 years since that time. The night that gold hit its lows in December of 2015, Avi was telling his subscribers that he was on the phone with his broker buying a large order of physical gold, while he had been accumulating individual miner stocks that month, and had just opened the EWT Miners Portfolio to begin buying individual miners stocks due to his expectation of an impending low in the complex.
One of his most shocking calls in the stock market was his call in 2015 for the S&P500 to rally from the 1800SPX region to the 2600SPX region, whereas it would coincide with a “global melt-up” in many other assets. Moreover, he was banging on the table in November of 2016 that we were about to enter the most powerful phase of the rally to 2600SPX, and he strongly noted that it did not matter who won the 2016 election in the US, despite many believing that the market would “crash” if Trump would win the election. This was indeed a testament to the accuracy of the Fibonacci Pinball method that Avi developed.
Former long-time business editor of major US women's magazine and contributing editor at dozens of different "trade" and consumer publications. Author of over 3,000 print magazine articles in past 30 years.
Penn Ph.D., centrist Republican.
Please visit my blogsites:
Baby Boomers-The Angriest Generation http://angriestgeneration.wordpress.com
The Rest of U.S. (for and about political Centrists) http://newcentristera.wordpress.com
and my brand-new blog about Markets:
Capital Punishment-Markets Through the Looking Glass http://marketslookingglass.wordpress.com
David Nelson, CFA is the Chief Strategist of Belpointe Asset Management. The members of his firm, DC Nelson Asset Management LLC (DC Nelson), recently merged into Belpointe. At Belpointe he will continue to manage his Alpha Select Portfolio. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), a designation issued solely by the CFA Institute (formerly the Association for Investment and Research or “AIMR”). Follow on Twitter @davidnelsoncfa Relevant Experience: David founded his own investment firm in October 2000. Prior to forming DC Nelson, David was a portfolio manager at Lehman Brothers’ New York City office, where from 1997-2000, he was responsible for managing the assets of high net worth clients and small institutions. Lehman approached David at Morgan Stanley Dean Witter where, from 1995-1997, he played an active role in management at their flagship New York City office. Previously, he was a Financial Consultant for Merrill Lynch. He is a frequent commentator and guest on Fox News, and Bloomberg TV where he discusses markets, politics and individual securities. David also frequently lectures on the financial markets, including several recent appearances before the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII). David’s investment career follows his well-publicized success in the entertainment industry where he performed with recording artists The Turtles, David Johansen and Nektar.
Jack Lifton is an Independent consultant and commentator, focusing on the market fundamentals and future end use trends of the rare metals. He specializes in the sourcing of nonferrous strategic metals and on due diligence studies of businesses in that space. His work includes exploration, mining, refining and the recovery of metal values by the recycling of not only metals and their alloys but also of metal-based chemicals used as raw materials for component manufacturing.
Mr. Lifton has more than 55 years of experience in the global OEM automotive, heavy equipment, electrical and electronic, mining, smelting, and refining industries. His background includes the sourcing, manufacturing, and sales of platinum group metal products, rare earth compounds, and ceramic specialties used to make catalytic converters, oxygen sensors, batteries, and fuel cells. He is knowledgeable in locating and analyzing new and recycled supplies of 'minor metals' including tellurium, selenium, indium, gallium, silicon, germanium, molybdenum, tungsten, manganese, chromium, and the rare earth metals.
Today he primarily consults to institutional investors doing due diligence on metals related opportunities and to natural resource ventures on technologies and markets.
Jack wrote a weekly column on minor metals for Resource Investor for three years until December 2008, during which he authored more than 125 original articles. He is also speaks on minor metals fundamentals and end-uses at private, public, and professional meetings. Since 2008 Jack has written more than 400 articles, and since 2007 he has made presentations at conferences, seminars, and workshops all over the world more than 100 times.