Will We Hold It Wednesday - Strong Bounce Edition

Philip Davis profile picture
Philip Davis
66.77K Followers

Summary

  • We're still looking for those same strong bounce lines.
  • Notes on Turkish terrorism.
  • Update on Zika funding.

Go kitty cat, go!

On the right is the S&P chart and you can see the huge volume levels as we sold off with 553M shares traded on the S&P ETF (NYSEARCA:NYSEARCA:SPY) in two down days as the S&P fell from 2,113 on Thursday to 1,991 on Monday (122 points, 5.7%). Yesterday, we popped back to 2,036, which is 45 points off the low but the volume on SPY was only 158M.

Let's say, for example, that you are re-building a 122-point wall that was knocked down and there were 550 bricks in the wall and you begin to re-build the wall and, as you are 45-points back up (37%), you realize you only used 158 bricks (29%). Is that wall going to be weaker or stronger than the one that got knocked down? Would you trust your family to be safe behind that wall? Would you trust your investments to be safe?

SPX WEEKLYYes, an 8% difference doesn't seem like a big deal but it's actually 158 out of 203 (37% of 550) that should have been used so we're 45 bricks short, so far, and that's 22.4% short. So, going back to the market, we are getting to the same overbought levels but now with 22.4% less cash supporting the run than we had before. That's really not good!

The market was already a house of cards (as evidenced by our rapid collapse over the UK's vote to leave the EU within the next 2 years - ridiculous!) and now we've removed 22% of the cards yet there are still strong winds blowing in from China, Japan, Brazil, Venezuela (still rioting) and don't even get me started on how we're up again today, rallying over the bodies of 36 dead and 147 injured at the Istanbul Airport. Is terrorism

This article was written by

Philip Davis profile picture
66.77K Followers
Philip R. Davis is a highly respected options trader, entrepreneur, and founder of philstockworld.com, one of the most influential stock and options trading sites on the web. With over 20 years of experience in the financial industry, Mr. Davis has earned a reputation as a trusted authority on options trading, equities, and macroeconomic trends. As the creator of Phil's Stock World, Mr. Davis has built a vibrant community of traders and investors of all levels, providing them with unparalleled insights, analysis, and trading ideas. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned pro, Phil's Stock World offers valuable resources that can help you navigate the complexities of the financial markets and achieve your investment goals. With a unique approach to teaching the art of options trading, Mr. Davis and his team of expert contributors including Optrader, Sabrient, Income Trader, Trend Trader, and Warren the Trader AI provide members with live chat sessions during trading hours, real-time trade alerts, and in-depth technical and fundamental analysis of hundreds of stocks. In addition to his role as an options trader and financial guru, Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur and founder of several successful companies, including Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. He is also the President of Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps companies of all sizes obtain funding and close deals. With his unique blend of wit, humor, and financial acumen, Mr. Davis is a sought-after speaker on options trading and financial markets. His writing style is both entertaining and informative, providing readers with specific and actionable trade ideas, as well as deep insights into the macroeconomic forces that drive market trends. In short, if you're looking for a trusted and experienced options trader and financial expert, Philip R. Davis is the real deal. Join the growing community of traders and investors at Phil's Stock World, and start profiting from his insights and analysis today.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I am/we are long XON, SDS, TZA, SQQQ, UGA, USO, UNG. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Positions as indicated but subject to RAPIDLY change (currently mainly cash and an otherwise bearish mix of long and short positions - see previous posts for other trade ideas). Positions mentioned here have been previously discussed at www.Philstockworld.com - a Membership site teaching winning stock, options & futures trading, portfolio management skills and income-producing strategies to investors like you.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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