Best News I've Heard All Month On BlackBerry

The Sound of Money
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BlackBerry (BBRY) came out with the greatest piece of news after the market closed on December 12, 2013. The company is extending the purchase option deadline for additional convertible debentures. The $1 billion of the debentures were already purchased by a group of investors including Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited, the largest shareholder of BlackBerry common stock. The extension will enable BlackBerry to provide financial results to prospective investors after the December 20, 2013 release date. A quiet period has been in force since the initial closing and the extension will be until January 13, 2014.

Read between the lines

I see this as an extremely bullish signal for BlackBerry. My reasoning is in the thought that investors will only commit an additional $250 million if the Q3 financial results and forward guidance from the company are positive. There would be no reason to extend the deadline if the financial results were going to be a disaster. Sophisticated investors would be very skeptical if the results were anything but exceptional and the company included a solid business strategy.

Expect some exciting news

I expect the Q3 results to have significant forward guidance concerning where BlackBerry will be aiming in the next few quarters. In a previous article for Seeking Alpha I outlined quotes from John Chen that give some insight into his past strategies with Sybase. One of the main strategies Chen concentrated on was making sure the things Sybase committed to were bringing in revenues. The dotcom bubble was disastrous for a multitude of tech companies but Sybase was able to sidestep the bubble with solid revenue growth instead of fluffy delusions that a website was better than a good P/E ratio.

BlackBerry has many ways to increase their revenues and drop parts that lose money. The monetization of BBM is

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I am a consultant with a PhD and background in securities, insurance, and education. My securities background includes stock and options trading for over twenty years, econometric modeling, and the completion of the Chartered Financial Consultant designation (ChFC). My insurance work and training includes estate planning, life insurance sales, and the completion of the Chartered Life Underwriter designation (CLU).

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