Vical Back On The Move

Theodore Cohen
713 Followers

I last covered Vical, Inc. (VICL) on the first of November in my article entitled Vical: All Systems Are Go. The article was positive, both from a fundamental as well as a technical standpoint. At the time the article was written, VICL was up in pre-market trading on the release of 3Q11 results. The stock’s price had recently broken through the 50-day moving average (at $3.00) and was again marginable. The 200-day moving average, at $3.25, represented resistance. The Daily MACD line was positive, indicating money was flowing into the issue.

At the close on November 4, the stock closed at $3.72, up almost 8% from the previous day’s close, and clearly in a new uptrend. Here are the latest graphics for both the Daily and Weekly technical data (courtesy StockCharts.com.):

On the Daily chart, the stock is approaching overbought levels (where it could remain for quite some time) while the MACD line shows that the smart money is continuing to flow into the stock. The weekly chart looks strong as well, with the MACD line about to turn positive.

What happened?

Well, several things, not the least of which was the recent, very encouraging presentation by Vijay Samant, Vical’s President and Chief Executive Officer. But beyond that, the company picked up a new recommendation from Credit Suisse, which started Vical at "outperform" with a $7 target. By the way, Vical will present at the Credit Suisse 2011 Healthcare Conference coming up next week (VICL, November 9 at 7:30 a.m. MT/9:30 a.m. ET). Vical had picked up another recommendation in April from Canaccord Genuity, which maintains a "Buy" on Vical and a price target of $8.00.

Anything else? Well, yes ... there’s this. On November 3, The New England Journal of Medicine carried an article titled "Hemophilia A Induced by

This article was written by

713 Followers
Theodore J. Cohen, Ph.D., a research scientist, has been an investor for more than 50 years. Since 1980, he has focused his attention on investment research and investigative analyses of companies developing therapeutic drugs in the biotech sector. Dr. Cohen is a frequent contributor of Guest Opinions (op-ed pieces) to the Bucks County (PA) Courier Times (circulation: 80,000), where, since 2007, he has addressed such varied subjects as the conflicts of interest (COIs) associated with two members of the Provenge advisory committee (AC); the U.S. Senate’s Durbin Amendment, to tighten COI reviews of FDA AC members; and naked short selling. Cohen is the author of the award-winning novels Death by Wall Street: Rampage of the Bulls (AuthorHouse, 2010) and House of Cards: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Outskirts Press, 2011), which were inspired by real events. The books are available from Amazon.com, B&N, and 26,000 online bookstores worldwide. For details, see https://www.theodore-cohen-novels.com.

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