Gutless Federal Reserve Blames 'Fiscal Policy'

Oct. 30, 2013 5:54 PM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 58 Comments
Gary Jakacky
721 Followers

Congratulations, Fed. You tanked stock, bond, and commodity markets all at once. How? Simply by promising to continue your foolish policies into the indefinite future!

Of course, to deflect the blame, place it on fiscal policy. Revenues pouring into Washington have soared nearly fifty percent since 2010. But I am sure the problem is that horrific decline in spending over the last year or so:

Source: scottgrannis.blogspot.com

Definitely! The government needs to spend more money, quick! Turn on the TV to the House hearings with HHS Secretary Sebelius. Obviously giving her, and other bureaucrats, authority to spend more of our hard earned money is one solution to all of our problems.

In an earlier article, "The Fiscal Cliff...Of 1937", I made it clear that fiscal "stimulus" has never worked, and this was obvious even prior to WWII. 2013 is just another example. Every time we attempt to wean ourselves off of government spending (or lose money) markets swoon like a drug addict denied his latest heroin fix.

Since today's 2 p.m. announcement:

  • bond prices have fallen. So the problem is not slow growth, otherwise they would have risen at the prospect of lower rates.
  • gold prices have fallen. So there is no crisis or inflation imminent, otherwise they would have risen.

And why did stock prices fall? Could it be that long-term investors and short-term traders alike are "FED" up at how clueless our central bank has become?

I expect stock prices to stabilize as shareholders realize the slow growth of the last few years will continue, perhaps at a slightly higher pace in the next few quarters as lower energy prices pump up consumer disposable income. Once bondholders realize there is no reason for the Fed to continue gobbling up $85 billion worth of Treasury paper each month, Tbonds should continue the

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After many years cycling the US and many foreign countries (this is why I haven't written any SA articles lately...) I find myself settled down in the Pacific Northwest. So many changes at SA over the years and it's great to see how well the Website has grown and been adopted.Now any of you already know how I can live on an income most of you would call pocket change. Put my income in the bottom 1% of Seeking Alpha readers and most certainly contributors. Nothing like hanging out with in the G Douglas Fir to cut expenses. Beware of BigFoot! What a great way to avoid the carping on Wall Street. If I read another article about how the market is in a bubble, I shall pull out my hair...which is difficult because I have a shaved head. Seriously though, I am a tried, true, and original Investment Biker. I've already toured in Europe, Asia, North and South America; so I have about 200,000 cycling miles under my belt. It's been a while since I've done a long tour so starting this spring of 2023 I'm hitting the road with my 27 speed "Surly"  bike and riding for as long as I want. Think about it...since I usually 'wild camp' in the forests for nothing, my only real expenses are food and some routine maintenance. I cover those expenses by using the monthly options cycle to generate income from calls, puts, or spreads of various sorts. So while you Seeking Alpha trendies are sitting in front of your screens all day, I'll be out riding in the Sierra, the Cascades, the Rockies, the Appalachians, the Catskills, the Adirondacks, the Green and White Mountains...and thats just this summer! All I need to keep an eye on the markets are a small Grundig AM/FM/Shortwave radio, and a Netbook for trading and fun when I can get internet access...which last time I looked was everywhere. Let's hope the last six months have been the start of a new bull market. Ignore these 'stuck in a rut guys' and pessimists. Hopefully we will return to policies which encourage lower energy prices: from natural gas frackomania, additional oil drilling and exploration, as well as great strides with nuclear, solar, storage and conservation! With our medical research facilities continuing to power forward, we will see lower medical costs and longer lifespans from bioengineering marvels just coming down the pike. When not cycling I am a self employed stock trader and military/political analyst. Live in the US now, lived throughout Asia (Korea, Japan, Russia, Pakistan, India, SE asia) in the 1990s and early 2000s. Statistics and forecasting, using market based socioeconomic data, are my specialty. Sometimes I am an adjunct college professor, teaching statistics, some finance courses, and earth/environmental science classes online. I'll try to submit SA articles from time to time but I enjoy READING the wisdom of many of you writers (thanks to many of you!).

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