Tesla Seems To Be Selling CPOs At A Loss

Summary

  • Tesla's "service and other revenues" segment had a significant change for the worse in its gross margin during Q4 2015.
  • Clearly, this seems to represent a consequence of its CPO sales efforts.
  • This effect will grow and gain relevance over time.

There's one angle about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) that hasn't yet been explored enough. And that's how it runs its CPO (Certified Previously Owned) sales (and associated trade-ins).

We have some data on this segment because Tesla has split its revenues between automotive revenues and "service and other revenue." Trade-ins and CPO sales are accounted for within this segment and are increasingly a large (now probably largest) component of it. Here's the official description of the segment:

Services and other revenue consists of repair and maintenance services, service plans and merchandise, sales of pre-owned Tesla vehicles, sales of electric vehicle powertrain components and systems to other manufacturers, Tesla Energy products, and net sales of non-Tesla vehicle trade-ins.

Source: Tesla 2015 10-K

Tesla started its CPO program during Q2 2015. The program has been growing since then, accounting for $20 million in Q2 2015 revenues, $33 million in Q3 2015 revenues and an unknown value during Q4 2015.

To dig into this program, we will use Tesla's public disclosures, working back from Q4 2015. As it often turns out for Tesla, sometimes it's more important what Tesla stops saying, than what it says. Here's what Tesla had to say regarding "services and other revenue" during Q3 2015:

Q3 Services and Other revenue was $84 million, up 62% from a year ago. This includes $33 million of pre-owned Model S sales. The number of pre-owned Tesla vehicles that we sold in Q3 exceeded the number of customer trade-ins that we received, leading to a 17% sequential reduction in trade-in unit inventory. Q3 Services and Other gross margin increased sequentially to 9.1%.

Source: Tesla Q3 2015 Shareholder Letter

And here's what it said during Q4 2015:

Q4 Services and other revenue was $97 million, up 47% from a year ago. Higher used Tesla vehicle sales, as well as growing service

This article was written by

24.25K Followers

Portuguese independent trader and analyst. I have worked for both sell side (brokerage) and buy side (fund management) institutions. I've been investing professionally for around 30 years.

I have a Marketplace service here on Seeking Alpha called Idea Generator that's focused on deep value, real-time actionable ideas based on valuation and catalysts. The Idea Generator portfolio has beaten the S&P 500 by more than 74% since inception (2015).

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About TSLA Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on TSLA

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
TSLA
--