Dr Pepper Snapple Reaches Into The Stratosphere

Josh Arnold
24.84K Followers

Summary

  • DPS continues to report decent growth in earnings.
  • But the gains are coming from efficiencies as demand remains very weak.
  • And DPS is very expensive on an earnings and yield basis.

Dr. Pepper Snapple (DPS) has been one of the best performing stocks in the entire market for the past couple of years. The chart is beautiful as shares have moved from bottom left to upper right with very little downward action. And while DPS has shown more growth potential than KO, for instance, is it enough? DPS' Q2 report was fine but didn't exactly provide torrid growth so what is going to make this stock continue to go up?

DPS saw total sales up 2% during the quarter as price and mix contributed as well as a 1% gain in volume. This has been a problem for DPS for some time as it and others in the carbonated beverages space face declining demand over time for traditional soft drinks. DPS has the Snapple business that provides some much needed diversification but still, volume is always going to be an issue. And a 1% gain in volume is nothing to get excited about and it certainly changes the valuation picture because you know there will always be a lid on sales growth.

In addition, the global nature of DPS' business saw two percent of sales removed by forex translation. This is a problem for virtually any multinational as the dollar has been mostly holding up against some rapidly depreciating major currencies around the globe. The dollar is always going to be a problem for DPS and with the Fed being the only major central bank in the world that is even talking about tightening, I suspect this will get worse before it gets better. DPS' dollar exposure is by no means unmanageable but every little bit counts when you're talking about volume being up 1%.

To its credit, DPS continues to find ways to boost margins as its segment operating profit rose

This article was written by

24.84K Followers
Josh Arnold has been covering financial markets for a decade, utilizing a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to identify potential winners early on in their growth cycles. Josh's focus is mainly on growth stocks. His goal is efficient and profitable use of capital, which overly rigid buy-and-hold strategies do not allow. Josh is the leader of the investing group Timely Trader where he focuses on limiting risk and maximizing potential reward. Features of Timely Trader include: real-time alerts, a model portfolio, technical charts, sentiment indicators, and sector analysis to find the best trading opportunities. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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