Does A $7 Million Boeing 777-200ER Compare To A Brand New Dreamliner? (Part 1)

Summary

  • Lower purchase price provides a $100 mln advantage.
  • Fitting a modern cabin into the Boeing 777-200ER and adding new turbofans will add significantly to the costs.
  • Lower capital costs increase advantage over time.

Delta (DAL) CEO Richard Anderson 'shocked' Boeing (NYSE:BA) investors claiming that it could obtain used Boeing 777-200ERs from Boeing for a price of $7.7 mln. This of course put some pressure on Boeing's share prices as more and more Boeing 777s will come off lease in the coming years and this could seriously impact Boeing's order inflow for the Boeing 777. It is not the first time Delta is not favoring new Boeing aircraft, in 2014 Delta favored Airbus' (OTCPK:EADSF) bid replacement of the older wide bodies over Boeing's.

In this article, I will have a look at how the Boeing 777-200ER compares to the Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner, which could be used as a Boeing 777-200ER replacement.

As the comparison is quite extensive, I will split it in a few parts:

  • Ownership costs
  • Costs for maintenance, crew and navigation
  • Fuel costs

Value

Figure 1: Comparison market value second-hand Boeing 777-200ER and Boeing 787-10 (Source:www.AeroAnalysis.net)

What is clear is that $7.7 mln for a 10-year-old Boeing 777-200ER is reasonable. Fitting a modern cabin into this 10-year-old aircraft might add another $20 mln in costs. Additional costs include a D-Check; costs are assumed to be $3.5 mln and fitting 2 new turbofans on the aircraft costing $20 mln each. Assuming that no other major replacements are required the Boeing 777-200ER that Delta bought for $7.7 mln, will actually cost $67.7 mln to bring it to today's standards in terms of comfort and make it ready for service. This still is much cheaper than the $168.4 mln for the Boeing 787-10.

Costs for the D-Check will be accounted for in part 2 of this article series, which deals with maintenance costs.

The market value or purchase price alone already gives the Boeing 777-200ER a $100.7 mln advantage.

Insurance

The lower market value

This article was written by

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Dhierin-Perkash Bechai is an aerospace, defense and airline analyst.

Dhierin runs the investing group The Aerospace Forum, whose goal is to discover investment opportunities in the aerospace, defense and airline industry. With a background in aerospace engineering, he provides analysis of a complex industry with significant growth prospects, and offers context to developments as they occur, describing how they might affect investment theses. His investing ideas are driven by data informed analysis. The investing group also provides direct access to data analytics monitors. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long BA. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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