Opportunity Offshore: With Just 5 Offshore Turbines, The U.S. Off-Shore Wind Industry Is About To Pop, Benefiting GE And Dong Energy

Sep. 15, 2016 8:24 AM ET, , , , , , , , , , 18 Comments
Keith Williams
8.8K Followers

Summary

  • First US offshore wind farm, Block Island Wind Farm a $300 million 30MW project, completed and to commence commercial operation in November.
  • US East Coast : Massachusetts Energy Bill creates market for 1.6 GW offshore wind farms.
  • US West Coast : US Bureau of Ocean Energy Management request for floating wind farms off California coast; Trident Winds proposes 0.765 GW wind farm 33 miles off coast.
  • Europe : Latest offshore wind project costed at record low of $67.43/MWh. Siemens-Gamesa to acquire 50% of Adwen for Euro 60 million.
  • National US Offshore Wind Strategy suggests 86 GW Offshore Wind by 2050.

Source : US Department of Energy

Only a month ago I wrote about the quickening pace of the wind industry both on- and off-shore. A lot is changing for offshore wind and it all looks positive after years of uncertainty in the US.

This week Swedish Government owned power company Vattenfall trumped Dong Energy's (DC:DENERG) recent record low bid of $73/MWh, by bidding Euro $60 ($67.47)/MWh for two offshore wind farms. This is 20% lower than Dong Energy's bid. The dramatic reduction in cost of offshore wind is evident in the following figure, with the Dutch, Dong Energy project indicated in red. The Vattenfall project is not on the figure but it sits 20% below the Dong project.

The Vattenfall farms are special (cheaper) because they are close to the Danish coast. The Danish Government still needs to approve the tenders, but if approved the windmills could commence operation in 2020, with a capacity of 350 MW.

This week the US Government released a National Offshore Wind Strategy to stimulate offshore US wind developments. The report has a 34 year horizon and it envisages 86 GW of offshore wind by 2050, which is a long way from 30 MW today.

The National Offshore Wind strategy document says almost 80% of US energy demand is located in coastal cities which offshore wind could service. There is the capacity to generate twice the power needed to service these cities. Holdups have been cost, technical risk, regulation, environmental risk & better understanding of cost/benefit.

While the new national strategy is a big picture document, at the end of last month a new energy bill in the Massachusetts House and Senate mandated long term (at least 15 years) power purchase of up to 1.6 GW of offshore-produced wind power. The deadline is tight and because only two commercial

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8.8K Followers
Keith began his career as a research scientist (developmental biology, biochemistry, molecular biology) at the Australian National University, University of Oxford (UK), the Max Planck Institute for Biochemistry (Munich, Germany) and finally Macquarie University (Sydney) where he held a Chair in Biology and established the Centre for Analytical Biotechnology. Pioneering the area of proteomics (with Marc Wilkins in his group coining the term), Keith established the world’s first government-funded Major National Proteomics Facility (Australian Proteome Analysis Facility) which was involved with industrialising protein science. Keith left academe with his team to found Proteome Systems Ltd in 1999 to commercialise proteomics. The company had a strong focus on intellectual property, engineering/technology and bioinformatics. As CEO he led the company to ASX listing in 2004. Since 2005 Keith has been involved in new business development in biotech, e-health and other emerging technologies. Keith sees climate change and sustainable development as a major issue for humankind and also a major business disruptor/risk and opportunity. Keith holds a Bachelor Agr Science from the University of Melbourne and a PhD from the Australian National University. He is a Fellow of the Australian Academy of Technological Sciences & Engineering and received an AM (Member of the Order of Australia) for services to the Biotechnology Industry. He has received various industry awards including an Innovation Hero Medal from the Warren Centre for Advanced Engineering. With 300 scientific papers and many patents written, Keith has a clear view of innovation in the Biotechnology and Climate/Renewable Energy space. He is not a financial advisor but his perspective adds relevance to decision-making concerning feasibility and investment in technology innovation.

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