The Best REIT You Don't Own: National Storage Affiliates

Tom Flannigan
127 Followers

Summary

  • Storage REITs (PSA, EXR, CUBE, LSI) performed very well until mid-2016.
  • National Storage Affiliates has outperformed peers by executing on a differentiated acquisition strategy.
  • 3Q 2016 results from the major storage REITs demonstrate NSA’s ability to grow revenue and FFO at a faster rate than peers.
  • The biggest risk to NSA and its peers is added supply. Lenders such as Jernigan Capital are helping developers to build new facilities in certain markets.
  • NSA is the newest storage REIT and its balance sheet is not as strong as peers'. However, NSA recently raised its dividend from $0.22 to $0.24 per share.

National Storage Affiliates (NYSE:NSA) is outperforming its larger peers and is currently the only storage REIT that is outperforming the S&P 500 in 2016.

NSA Logo

National Storage Affiliates is a roll-up of regional storage operators that went public in 2015. Since its IPO, it has added an additional regional operator and grown the total portfolio with a plethora of relationship driven acquisitions. While it is much smaller than its peers, the NSA growth story is becoming well known in the storage industry. Its business model is based on acquiring cash flowing properties, cutting costs and improving margins. Given its early success, NSA appears well positioned to continue growing at a rapid pace.

Storage REITs have been the best performing REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) category over the past five years. Growing demand for storage has helped storage REITs achieve good margins and perform relatively well in a low growth environment. While the success of National Storage Affiliates is noteworthy, it also helps to understand how its larger peers have performed.

Storage REITs such as Public Storage (NYSE: PSA) Extra Space Storage (NYSE: EXR) and CubeSmart (NYSE: CUBE) performed very well from 2011 to 2015. However, the major storage REITs have pulled back significantly since mid-2016.

Source: Google Finance

The pullback over the last six months has brought frothy multiples back to earth and nearly every storage REIT is currently down YTD. While the threat of rising interest rates appears to be making an impact, storage REITs also have experienced softening fundamentals that appear to be impacting their stock prices.

The greatest fundamental threat has been additional supply of new facilities. While new supply had been constrained for years, 2016 is shaping up to be the first year with an ample supply of new facilities coming to market.

Storage Undersupply

Source: Jernigan Capital

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This article was written by

127 Followers
Tom is a Commercial Real Estate Investment Advisor. He began his career at a large investment bank as an equity research analyst covering regional banks. Since transitioning to Commercial Real Estate in 2012, Tom has primarily focused on investment sales. Self storage investing and developing is his core competency. His clients include private equity groups, REITs, private investors, and self storage owners.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long NSA, JCAP. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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