The Case For Hedge Funds Is Evaporating

Louis Kokernak, CFA
449 Followers

Summary

  • Hedge funds have delivered poor risk-adjusted returns in the last ten years.
  • Hedge fund performance is overstated as a result of voluntary reporting.
  • It is not feasible to identify good hedge fund managers in advance.

A recent article in the Financial Analysts Journal (FAJ) argued that, despite recent setbacks, hedge funds offer diversification benefits to the investor. Its author based the conclusion on performance measures obtained from hedge fund indices. I differ with his methods and offer an alternative view.

The FAJ Editor's Corner starts off in the right direction by trying to assess performance of hedge funds on a risk­-adjusted basis. The article points out that the Sharpe Ratio of aggregated hedge fund indices has been superior to the S&P 500 since January 2009.

In my view, the Editor's Corner methodology was flawed for a couple of important reasons. It merely compared hedge fund performance to the S&P 500, hardly a comprehensive measure of investable assets. And, secondly, hedge fund indices themselves suffer from a significant self­-reporting bias that inflates the returns driving Sharpe ratios.

Hedge funds theoretically have access to a wide range of financial products. Large cap US stocks such as those found in the S&P 500 are merely a fraction of their opportunity set. One would expect that managers deliver better and better performance (certainly not worse) as their range of options expands.

With that in mind, I expanded the investable benchmark to include bonds. Nothing fancy --­ just used a balanced portfolio comprised of 60% of the S&P 500 and 40% of an aggregate bond index. The aggregate bond index is hardly a niche index intended to inflate benchmark returns. It includes about 80% of the US public debt market. This benchmark was a true investable portfolio as it was constructed from actual returns of a Spyder ETF (SPY) and Vanguard's Total Bond Index (VBTLX).

Two time frames were considered. The period cited by the FAJ author spanned January 2009 to the present. We used that, and also reviewed the trailing ten years

This article was written by

449 Followers
I have been a fee only financial advisor since 2002 and am a Chartered Financial Analyst and Certified Financial Planner. The cornerstone of the life savings strategy at Haven Financial Advisors is the investment in multiple asset classes with low cost and low turnover.The investment process is transparent.There are no "black box" funds or sudden swings in risk taking.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long SPY, AGG. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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