Morgan Stanley - At 5.85%, The New Issue Is Compelling

Jan. 24, 2017 11:31 PM ETMorgan Stanley (MS) Stock, , , , , 16 Comments
Rubicon Associates
5.46K Followers

Summary

  • Morgan Stanley issued into the preferred market today to raise $1 billion in capital.
  • Initial talk for the issue was north of 6%, but the firm ultimately got it done below 6%.
  • While this isn't the "yieldiest" MS preferred, it is the closest to par of all their fixed rate preferred stock.
  • My thoughts on the issue versus other MS preferreds as well as their peers.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) raised capital today with one billion of fixed to float perpetual preferred stock.

The details of the offering are:

Morgan Stanley has the following ($25 par) preferred stocks outstanding:

Importantly, unlike the Series G, the new issue is a fixed to float structure, which shortens the duration of the issue. I like the new issue, as it is close to par and has the fixed to float structure, unlike many of its peers. From a yield perspective, I like the Series F at a 6.32% stripped yield and seven years until the optional redemption date. The cost for this additional 44 basis points of yield is paying over $2 in premium to par (creating a yield-to-call of 5.30%, which really isn't that bad).

Note that the lowest-priced preferred within the MS complex is the Series A floating rate. The Series floats at 3-month LIBOR + 70 bps with a floor of 4%.

The following table shows the new issue and the Series F versus peers Goldman Sachs (GS), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), JPMorgan (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC).

The yield on the new issue MS is roughly equivalent to many of the peers, with the exception of the BAC Ws, which yield 6.28% for just a little more than $1 over par. Of the above securities, only the Goldman and MS preferreds are fixed to float - which, in my opinion, is a preferable structure.

The Goldman floater - GSpA - floats at 3-month LIBOR + 75 bps and has a 3.75% floor. While it has a 5 bps higher margin, I would take the 25 bp higher floor of the MSpA (and the 20 bp additional yield).

Graphically, the stripped yield looks as below:

The stripped price:

In order to get a feel for

This article was written by

5.46K Followers
Rubicon Associates is headed by a Chartered Financial Analyst charter holder with over 20 years of experience in the investment management industry focused on the analysis, investment and management of fixed income and preferred stock portfolios. Over the years, he has analyzed and invested in both public and private companies around the world as well as advised institutional clients on fixed income strategies and manager selection. The principal has been responsible for managing nearly seven billion dollars in credit investments across the capital structure and overseeing the research and trading of credit market activities. Rubicon Associates has written for Seeking Alpha, Learn Bonds, a newsletter and TheStreet.com in addition to advising institutional and private investors.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long C, BAC. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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