Watch DaVita From The Sidelines

Mar. 10, 2019 2:22 PM ETDaVita Inc. (DVA) StockDVA3 Comments
Marcello Pinto
910 Followers

Summary

  • DaVita is a great business that provides quality clinical care which drives reductions in healthcare costs and provides significant savings to the U.S. healthcare system.
  • Operating expenses are increasing due to inflation and a tight labor market. The company has not been able to offset this with productivity improvements.
  • With falling Medicare reimbursements, margins will continue to contract. The company still operates in a monopolistic manner and has a strong balance sheet and excellent capital allocation.
  • The company repurchased nearly 7 percent of the shares outstanding and sold off its less profitable medical division, but the future looks tough.

DaVita (NYSE:DVA) is a leading provider of kidney dialysis services in the U.S. for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure, also known as end stage renal disease. The company has everything an investor could look for, high returns on equity, a strong competitive position and excellent capital allocation. However, secular headwinds have gradually eroded the attractiveness of this business over time and the company looks like it is going to continue struggling.

DaVita has a whopping 37% share of the U.S. dialysis market based upon the number of patients they serve. They continue to grow the number of dialysis centers in the United States and increased their footprint by around 5% last year, adding 160 new centers. The company has been able to grow its share of U.S. dialysis patients, the quality of its care, reduced patient mortality rates and the reputation it has with referring physicians. Moreover, DaVita's business is stable and predictable as the total U.S. dialysis patient base is a relatively stable and growing factor. With an ageing population, there is a growing need for dialysis service, and statistics show that the industry has an annual growth rate of around 3.5%.

DaVita ticks all the boxes for an outstanding healthcare company. It provides a superior quality of care, saves the United States healthcare system money and earns very high returns on equity. That is probably why Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) (BRK.B) Ted Weschler decided to invest in the company.

Over time, though, DaVita has seen its unit economics worsen. Rising cost pressures from a tight job market have meant that the company has seen its margins slip. Additionally, as a result of across-the-board spending cuts that took effect in 2012, Medicare payments were reduced by 2% which has been extended all the way through fiscal year 2027. These across-the-board spending cuts have affected and will continue

This article was written by

910 Followers
I run my own private equity fund. My returns have averaged 25+ percent and I have outperformed the S&P 500 by at least 10 points every year. I take high conviction positions, as well engaging in special situation investing-risk arbitrage, liquidations and corporate restructurings.If you are interested building out your portfolio with me, consider joining my All Weather Fund on the Seeking Alpha marketplace. I have also written a book called Monopoly Money, which is available on Amazon

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About DVA Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on DVA

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
DVA
--