Exxon, Chevron, And Texas Pacific Land: Titans Of The Permian

Summary

  • Russia and Saudi Arabia each currently produce about 10 million barrels of oil per day.
  • However, Russia’s production is likely to decline as a result of failure to invest in new technology.
  • And Saudi Arabia, having squandered one of the world’s great aquifers, must use 1 million of their barrels per day to desalinate sea water.
  • The Permian Basin in west Texas, once thought mostly played out, is now producing as much as OPEC member Kuwait -- and closing fast.
  • Here is the best way to play this “hiding in plain sight” opportunity.
  • Looking for more? I update all of my investing ideas and strategies to members of The Investor's Edge®. Start your free trial today »

In the next 48 months, the Permian basin alone is projected to surpass the daily production of the nations of Brazil, United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Iran, and China – from just one basin.

Please look carefully at this chart of the world’s current three biggest producers of oil…

I wrote the following on Seeking Alpha back in 2010, the *beginning* date for the chart above.

“When I began my career in the brokerage business in 1972, our firm’s analysts put out a report about the world running out of oil. Since then, we have more than doubled our estimates of the oil, gas and coal remaining under the earth’s crust and have barely begun to explore in parts of Africa and under the world’s seas. (A few weeks later, these same analysts also sent out buy recommendations based upon the “certainty,” then all the rage among leading scientists that, because of our addiction to fossil fuels, the planet was rapidly cooling and we were all going to freeze to death unless we developed alternatives to oil.)

Since then (2010) the United States has *again* doubled its production and more than doubled its estimates of reserves of oil and natural gas!

Make no mistake, it is U.S. shale that had delivered this good news. U.S. shale growth is turning the world’s oil and gas calculus on its head. Erstwhile providers to the world’s largest consumer markets, the United States and Europe, who reckoned they could dictate terms geopolitically because of the economics of oil and gas, are running scared and the US is in the driver’s seat.

Even those vehemently opposed to using Mother Nature’s compressed fuel in the form of highly efficient oil and gas might enjoy this good news. After all, all those billions spent kowtowing to bullying dictators sitting atop

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This article was written by

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Joseph Shaefer is a geopolitical, economic, and resource analyst. He is a retired military Flag Officer with deep experience in Special Operations and Intelligence. He is also a former university professor and a retired Senior V.P. at Charles Schwab & Co. He is today the leader of the investing group The Investor's Edge®. His approach to investing is both specific and universal. On one end of the "barbell" he makes especially deep dives into Energy, Resources, Aerospace and Defense, and Infrastructure. On the other end, a thorough research into the safest and best-paying income ETFs, CEFs, BDCs, and companies and their preferred shares. Unique features exclusively for subscribers at The Investors Edge® include the Growth & Value sample portfolio, early notification of articles likely to be discussed with the general Seeking Alpha audience, notification of purchases and sales prior to execution, and short notes and articles for subscribers on an as-it-happens basis. It also includes 5 decades of experience, 2 to 4 articles monthly exclusively for subscribers, and access to Joseph and his community in a chat corner that is reviewed daily.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long XOM, CVX, TPL. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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