Deep Value And 18.5% Yield From Washington Prime

Summary

  • WPG 2018 earnings in line with initial guidance. Fundamentals continue to improve despite recent bankruptcies.
  • WPG’s redevelopment program hits the ground running. Growth should start to return in 2020.
  • The dividend is yielding over 18% and is likely safe through 2019.
  • Strong insider buying in late 2018 is reassuring.
  • Investing in WPG is "chasing value", not "chasing yield".  The dividend yield is the cherry on the cake.
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Washington Prime Group (WPG) is a mall REIT that is beaten down and trading at highly opportunistic valuations. Investors have been very negative on anything that is retail related, despite the fact that WPG has made significant progress in re-positioning their portfolio and is set to return to growth soon. No credit is being given by Mr. market for this progress. The dividend yield is today sky-high at 18.5% and unlikely to be reduced anytime during the year 2019. The bears have been betting on a dividend cut, and they have been wrong. We will explain in our report why we are very bullish on WPG, and this is likely one of the best opportunities in the Property REIT space.

Washington Prime Group has seen their share prices fall due to extreme pessimism surrounding malls, highly publicized tenant bankruptcies like Sears Holdings (SHLDQ), and the actions of CBL Properties (CBL) a REIT in the same space which has dramatically cut its dividend.

When the market is at its most pessimistic, it can create an opportunity to invest in a solid company at a substantial discount. We believe this is the case with WPG.

  • WPG malls remain high-quality real estate with fundamentally strong values. Malls are changing, not dying.
  • WPG has a good plan to redevelop vacant and soon to be vacant big box stores. The new tenants will be more attractive to modern consumers and will pay higher rents.
  • WPG has the ability to fund their plan, without taking extraordinary measures.
  • WPG is committed to maintaining their dividend at $1.00/year.
  • Significant insider buying suggests that those who know the most believe shares are trading at a significant discount and that insiders' interests are well-aligned with shareholders.

'Retail Redefined' Source: WPG website

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This article was written by

122.39K Followers

Rida Morwa is a former investment and commercial Banker, with over 35 years of experience. He has been advising individual and institutional clients on high-yield investment strategies since 1991.

Rida Morwa leads the Investing Group High Dividend Opportunities where he teams up with some of Seeking Alpha's top income investing analysts. The service focuses on sustainable income through a variety of high yield investments with a targeted safe +9% yield.

Features include: model portfolio with buy/sell alerts, preferred and baby bond portfolios for more conservative investors, vibrant and active chat with access to the service’s leaders, dividend and portfolio trackers, and regular market updates. The service philosophy focuses on community, education, and the belief that nobody should invest alone.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long WPG, WPG.PH, WPG.PI. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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