S&P 500 Weekly Update: While The Uptrend Pauses, Earnings Season Is Off To A Good Start

Summary

  • Investors are still concerned over the "issues", but China, crude oil and interest rates show stability.
  • The synchronized global market rally pauses, and that isn’t a bad development.
  • Corporate earnings aren't as bad as forecast, keeping the overall market resilient.
  • Looking for more? I update all of my investing ideas and strategies to members of The Savvy Investor. Start your free trial today »

"Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing." - Warren Buffett

This week's price action was more backing and filling, leaving investors looking at a sideways pattern. The S&P 500 closed at 2,907 on Friday April 12th, and at the end of trading on Thursday, it closed the week at 2,905. So the index sits less than 1% off the highs and up 15+% for the year. As predicted, the indices are now slowly testing resistance at the prior highs. As the days pass, some are getting nervous. However, the message remains the same this week. All should expect that resistance might prove tough to clear the first time it's tested.

"Conviction"

No, I'm not referring to the criminal interpretation, but rather the following definition.

Con·vic·tion - noun, a firmly held belief or opinion. Synonyms - belief, opinion, position, persuasion, idea, stance.

When an investor assembles their plan, and puts that strategy into practice, it has to be done with conviction. Therein lies yet another obstacle for investors. The stock market has a way of challenging these plans and the "will" of investors over and over. December 2018 was the latest example of that.

In the world of investing, conviction can also be defined by the willingness to take risk and express beliefs through a bold course of action to achieve long-term goals. That does not suggest that an active trader strategy is better by simply taking on more risk, but a fair amount of risk is indeed necessary to add substantial value to a portfolio. Like everything else in life, it is all about balance.

More importantly, I believe conviction to an investment strategy can be the anchor that keeps an investor grounded and focused on their plan. Without it, an individual will tend to waffle, change direction with each change of the

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This article was written by

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Fear & Greed Trader is an independent financial adviser and professional investor with 35 years of experience in all market conditions. His strategies focus on achieving positive returns and preserving capital during bear and bull markets and he has a documented track record of calling the equity market correctly for the 10+ years.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long UNH. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

My portfolios are ALL positioned to take advantage of the bull market with NO hedges in place. I am LONG all positions in every portfolio mentioned. This article contains my views of the equity market, it reflects the strategy and positioning that is comfortable for me. Of course, it is not suited for everyone, as there are far too many variables. Hopefully it sparks ideas, adds some common sense to the intricate investing process, and makes investors feel more calm, putting them in control. The opinions rendered here, are just that - opinions - and along with positions can change at any time. As always I encourage readers to use common sense when it comes to managing any ideas that I decide to share with the community. Nowhere is it implied that any stock should be bought and put away until you die. Periodic reviews are mandatory to adjust to changes in the macro backdrop that will take place over time.

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